Featured
-
-
Editorial |
Mountains of change
The world’s glaciers are shrinking, with knock-on impacts for local communities. We need a better grasp of the hazards they leave behind.
-
Article |
Increased outburst flood hazard from Lake Palcacocha due to human-induced glacier retreat
Human-induced warming is responsible for the retreat of Palcaraju glacier and the associated increase in glacial lake outburst flood hazard, according to an analysis of observations and numerical models.
- R. F. Stuart-Smith
- , G. H. Roe
- & M. R. Allen
-
Article |
Moist heat stress extremes in India enhanced by irrigation
Intensive irrigation in India cools the land surface, but increases the moist heat stress in South Asia, according to an analysis of observational datasets and meteorological models.
- Vimal Mishra
- , Anukesh Krishnankutty Ambika
- & Matthew Huber
-
Editorial |
Up in smoke
Where there is smoke, there are radiative feedbacks. With wildfires becoming a growing problem in the Anthropocene, we need to better understand the influence of fire on the climate system.
-
Comment |
Arctic fires re-emerging
Underground smouldering fires resurfaced early in 2020, contributing to the unprecedented wildfires that tore through the Arctic this spring and summer. An international effort is needed to manage a changing fire regime in the vulnerable Arctic.
- Jessica L. McCarty
- , Thomas E. L. Smith
- & Merritt R. Turetsky
-
Perspective |
Transparency on greenhouse gas emissions from mining to enable climate change mitigation
Direct and indirect greenhouse gas emissions from mining for green technologies need to be accurately and transparently accounted for, as highlighted by a case study of Chilean copper mining.
- Mehdi Azadi
- , Stephen A. Northey
- & Mansour Edraki
-
Article |
Heat accumulation on coral reefs mitigated by internal waves
Internal waves can relieve coral reef heat stress, according to an analysis that isolates the effect at different depths using a compilation of high-resolution temperature records.
- Alex S. J. Wyatt
- , James J. Leichter
- & Toshi Nagata
-
Article |
Amplification of mega-heatwaves through heat torrents fuelled by upwind drought
The European mega-heatwaves in 2003 and 2010 were intensified by torrents of hot air that were transported in from desiccated regions upwind, suggests an analysis of observations and reanalysis data together with a Lagrangian heat-tracking framework.
- Dominik L. Schumacher
- , Jessica Keune
- & Diego G. Miralles
-
Comment |
Emerging Asian aerosol patterns
The climate of South and East Asia is affected by anthropogenic aerosols, but the magnitude of the aerosol imprint is not well known. As regional emissions are rapidly changing, potential related climate risks must be quantified.
- Bjørn H. Samset
- , Marianne T. Lund
- & Laura Wilcox
-
Article |
California forest die-off linked to multi-year deep soil drying in 2012–2015 drought
Deep soil drying, caused by high evaporation, can explain California forest die-off in the droughts during 2012–2015, according to analyses of patterns of die-off and moisture deficit.
- M. L. Goulden
- & R. C. Bales
-
Article |
Interruption of two decades of Jakobshavn Isbrae acceleration and thinning as regional ocean cools
Jakobshavn Isbrae, the largest source of ice mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet, has been re-advancing since 2016 after a decades-long retreat, reveals an analysis of airborne altimetry and satellite data. The advance coincides with regional ocean cooling.
- Ala Khazendar
- , Ian G. Fenty
- & Josh Willis
-
Editorial |
The complexities of wildfires
Wildfires are a natural part of many ecosystems, but they can become destructive and less predictable, especially when the system is perturbed. Human activities and climate change lead to interactions with fire dynamics that need our attention.
-
Article |
Palaeocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum prolonged by fossil carbon oxidation
Delivery of fossil carbon to the oceans strongly increased about 15 kyr after the onset of the Palaeocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum as a result of oxidation of sedimentary carbon, suggests an analysis of geochemical measurements with a biomarker mixing model.
- Shelby L. Lyons
- , Allison A. Baczynski
- & Katherine H. Freeman
-
Article |
Twenty-first century glacier slowdown driven by mass loss in High Mountain Asia
Changes in glacier speed in High Mountain Asia are closely linked to mass balance through gravitational driving stress, and largely insensitive to basal conditions, according to satellite-derived ice-flow observations.
- Amaury Dehecq
- , Noel Gourmelen
- & Emmanuel Trouvé
-
News & Views |
Warming and freshening trends
While anthropogenic influence on global climate is clear, human impact on the Southern Ocean has been difficult to pin down. A new detection and attribution study achieves just that.
- Nathaniel L. Bindoff
-
Article |
High riverine CO2 emissions at the permafrost boundary of Western Siberia
Rivers in the Western Siberian Lowland, the world’s largest peatland, play a significant role in the release of terrestrial carbon to the atmosphere, according to in situ measurements of carbon dioxide emissions from rivers.
- S. Serikova
- , O. S. Pokrovsky
- & J. Karlsson
-
Comment |
Future winters glimpsed in the Alps
January 2018 was an unusually warm and wet month across the Western Alps, with widespread landslides at low elevations and massive snowfall higher up. This extreme month yields lessons for how mountain communities can prepare for a warmer future.
- Markus Stoffel
- & Christophe Corona
-
News & Views |
Tree height matters
Tall trees are more resilient to drought than short trees, suggests a comparison of the sensitivity of photosynthesis to soil moisture in Amazon forests.
- Paulo Brando
-
-
News & Views |
Grounded meets floating
A comprehensive assessment of grounding-line migration rates around Antarctica, covering a third of the coast, suggests retreat in considerable portions of the continent, beyond the rates expected from adjustment following the Last Glacial Maximum.
- Ryan T. Walker
-
Perspective |
Land radiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation
Land management with the aim of reducing incoming solar radiation could help with regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation as well as ecosystem services, and avoids several shortcomings of global geoengineering.
- Sonia I. Seneviratne
- , Steven J. Phipps
- & Ben Kravitz
-
Article |
Southward shift of the global wind energy resource under high carbon dioxide emissions
Wind power for energy generation is projected to decrease in northern mid-latitudes and increase in the tropics and Southern Hemisphere, suggests an analysis of climate model simulations utilizing an industry wind turbine power curve.
- Kristopher B. Karnauskas
- , Julie K. Lundquist
- & Lei Zhang
-
News & Views |
Muddying Greenland's meltwaters
Satellite measurements indicate that Greenland's meltwater rivers are exporting one billion tons of sediment annually, a process that is controlled by the sliding rate of glaciers. This rate is nearly 10% of the fluvial sediment discharge to the ocean.
- Matthew A. Charette
-
Article |
Reduced North American terrestrial primary productivity linked to anomalous Arctic warming
Anomalous Arctic warming has been linked to colder North American winters. Analyses of weather and productivity observations reveal that Arctic–North American teleconnections reduce gross primary productivity in the US.
- Jin-Soo Kim
- , Jong-Seong Kug
- & Kevin Schaefer
-
News & Views |
River redirected
Glaciers and ice sheets are retreating in response to climate warming. An analysis of drainage patterns of a huge glacier in Yukon, Canada shows that glacier retreat has led to a drastic change in the destination of its meltwater in spring 2016.
- Rachel M. Headley
-
Article |
River piracy and drainage basin reorganization led by climate-driven glacier retreat
River piracy—the diversion of one stream’s headwaters into another—has occurred on long timescales. An analysis of streamflow and digital elevation models documents river re-routing in response to glacier retreat in Yukon, Canada in May 2016.
- Daniel H. Shugar
- , John J. Clague
- & Gerard H. Roe
-
Perspective |
Complexity in estimating past and future extreme short-duration rainfall
The atmosphere can hold more water in a warming climate, which may lead to more extreme rainfall events. An analysis suggests that links ofrainfall extremes with daily temperature variations do not provide a reliable basis for projections.
- Xuebin Zhang
- , Francis W. Zwiers
- & Alex J. Cannon
-
News & Views |
Far-flung effects of Arctic warming
Arctic warming affects weather and climate thousands of miles to the south. Scientists are split on how large this effect is.
- James A. Screen
-
News & Views |
Climate-induced pumping
Groundwater resources are directly affected by climate variability via precipitation, evapotranspiration and recharge. Analyses of US and India trends reveal that climate-induced pumping indirectly influences groundwater depletion as well.
- Jason J. Gurdak
-
Article |
Depletion and response of deep groundwater to climate-induced pumping variability
Drought affects deep groundwater through changes in natural recharge with a multi-year time lag. Rapid changes in US groundwater storage in response to climate variability reflect the human response to drought through groundwater pumping.
- Tess A. Russo
- & Upmanu Lall
-
Article |
Relative contribution of monsoon precipitation and pumping to changes in groundwater storage in India
Groundwater storage has declined in northern India and increased in southern India over the past decade. Trend analysis shows that much of this variability can be explained by changes in irrigation in response to monsoon precipitation.
- Akarsh Asoka
- , Tom Gleeson
- & Vimal Mishra
-
Article |
Centennial glacier retreat as categorical evidence of regional climate change
Glaciers have been retreating almost globally over the past century. An analysis using signal-to-noise ratio as a metric of individual glacier change reveals that glacier retreat constitutes categorical evidence for regional climate change.
- Gerard H. Roe
- , Marcia B. Baker
- & Florian Herla
-
Editorial |
A step up for geoengineering
The clock is ticking for climate change mitigation. Geoengineering is gaining ground as an option, but it needs to be examined at a large scale to determine its effectiveness and associated risks.
-
-
Letter |
Intensification of landfalling typhoons over the northwest Pacific since the late 1970s
Landfalling typhoons can cause great damage in East and Southeast Asian countries. An analysis of bias-corrected data sets reveals that the proportion of the strongest landfalling typhoons has at least doubled over the past decades.
- Wei Mei
- & Shang-Ping Xie
-
Correspondence |
A post-Paris look at climate observations
- A. Johannes Dolman
- , Alan Belward
- & Adrian Simmons
-
Review Article |
Storm track processes and the opposing influences of climate change
Extratropical storms contribute to precipitation, wind and temperature extremes. A synthesis of the influences of a changing climate on storm tracks reveals competing effects on meridional temperature gradients, which make projections difficult.
- T. A. Shaw
- , M. Baldwin
- & A. Voigt
-
News & Views |
Carbon losses in the Alps
Soil carbon stocks depend on inputs from decomposing vegetation and return to the atmosphere as CO2. Monitoring of carbon stocks in German alpine soils has shown large losses linked to climate change and a possible positive feedback loop.
- Guy Kirk
-
-
Letter |
Enhanced Atlantic sea-level rise relative to the Pacific under high carbon emission rates
Different ocean basins warm at different rates in response to climate change. A coupled carbon–climate model reveals that high carbon emission rates will lead to greater sea-level rise in the Atlantic than the Pacific on centennial timescales.
- J. P. Krasting
- , J. P. Dunne
- & R. W. Hallberg
-
Review Article |
Climate-sensitive northern lakes and ponds are critical components of methane release
Lakes are sources of the greenhouse gas methane. A synthesis of measurements of methane emissions reveals that lakes and ponds above 50 °N emit 16.5 Tg methane annually, and emissions may increase by 20 to 50% with longer ice-free seasons.
- Martin Wik
- , Ruth K. Varner
- & David Bastviken
-
Commentary |
Policy thresholds in mitigation
Some climate change impacts rise fast with little warming, and then taper off. To avoid diminishing incentives to reduce emissions and inadvertently slipping into a lower-welfare world, mitigation policy needs to be ambitious early on.
- Katharine L. Ricke
- , Juan B. Moreno-Cruz
- & Ken Caldeira
-
Letter |
Downturn in scaling of UK extreme rainfall with temperature for future hottest days
Extreme daily precipitation is thought to increase with warming at a rate of 6.5% per K. High-resolution simulations for the southern UK show this scaling for present conditions, but above 22 °C this scaling fails owing to changes in dynamics.
- Steven C. Chan
- , Elizabeth J. Kendon
- & Stephen Blenkinsop
-
News & Views |
Unattributed hurricane damage
In the United States, hurricanes have been causing more and more economic damage. A reanalysis of the disaster database using a statistical method that accounts for improvements in resilience opens the possibility that climate change has played a role.
- Stéphane Hallegatte
-
Article |
Economic losses from US hurricanes consistent with an influence from climate change
The observed increases in hurricane losses are often thought to result solely from societal change. A regression-based analysis of US economic losses reveals an upward trend between 1900 and 2005 that is not explained by increasing vulnerability.
- Francisco Estrada
- , W. J. Wouter Botzen
- & Richard S. J. Tol
-
Letter |
Systematic change in global patterns of streamflow following volcanic eruptions
Following large explosive volcanic eruptions, precipitation decreases over much of the globe. An analysis of streamflow records from fifty large rivers reveals statistically significant flow reductions in some regions, but increases in others.
- Carley E. Iles
- & Gabriele C. Hegerl
-
Article |
Coastal vulnerability across the Pacific dominated by El Niño/Southern Oscillation
The dynamic components of coastal water level can add metres to water levels during extreme events. A data synthesis reveals that Pacific regional wave and water level fluctuations are closely related to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation.
- Patrick L. Barnard
- , Andrew D. Short
- & Derek K. Heathfield
-
Letter |
Rainfall consistently enhanced around the Gezira Scheme in East Africa due to irrigation
Land-use changes can modify regional climate patterns. A comparison of climate simulations and observations show that a large-scale irrigation scheme in East Africa inhibits rainfall over the irrigation scheme, while enhancing it further away.
- Ross E. Alter
- , Eun-Soon Im
- & Elfatih A. B. Eltahir
-
News & Views |
Soil carbon in a beer can
Decomposition of soil organic matter could be an important positive feedback to climate change. Geochemical properties of soils can help determine what fraction of soil carbon may be protected from climate-induced decomposition.
- Eric A. Davidson