Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Article
  • Published:

Depletion and response of deep groundwater to climate-induced pumping variability

Abstract

Groundwater constitutes a critical component of our water resources. Widespread groundwater level declines have occurred in the USA over recent decades, including in regions not typically considered water stressed, such as areas of the Northwest and mid-Atlantic Coast. This loss of water storage reflects extraction rates that exceed natural recharge and capture. Here, we explore recent changes in the groundwater levels of deep aquifers from wells across the USA, and their relation to indices of interannual to decadal climate variability and to annual precipitation. We show that groundwater level changes correspond to selected global climate variations. Although climate-induced variations of deep aquifer natural recharge are expected to have multi-year time lags, we find that deep groundwater levels respond to climate over timescales of less than one year. In irrigated areas, the annual response to local precipitation in the deepest wells may reflect climate-induced pumping variability. An understanding of how the human response to drought through pumping leads to deep groundwater changes is critical to manage the impacts of interannual to decadal and longer climate variability on the nation’s water resources.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Figure 1: Average groundwater level depth below ground surface for deep wells.
Figure 2: Average groundwater level rate of change from wells with statistically significant trends (p < 0.1) observed between 1940 and 2015.
Figure 3: Groundwater response to annual precipitation variability.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Döll, P. et al. Impact of water withdrawals from groundwater and surface water on continental water storage variations. J. Geodyn. 59–60, 143–156 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Famiglietti, J. S. The global groundwater crisis. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 945–948 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Maupin, M. et al. Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2010: USGS Circular 1405 (US Geological Survey, 2014).

    Book  Google Scholar 

  4. Siebert, S. et al. Groundwater use for irrigation—a global inventory. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 14, 1863–1880 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Scanlon, B. R. et al. Groundwater depletion and sustainability of irrigation in the US High Plains and Central Valley. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 109, 9320–9325 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Konikow, L. F. Groundwater Depletion in the United States (1900–2008) Scientific Investigations Report 2013–5079 (US Geological Survey, 2013).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Scanlon, B. R., Reedy, R. C., Gates, J. B. & Gowda, P. H. Impact of agroecosystems on groundwater resources in the Central High Plains, USA. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 139, 700–713 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Ho, M. et al. America’s Water: agricultural water demands and the response of groundwater. Geophys. Res. Lett. 43, 7546–7555 (2016).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Fan, Y., Li, H. & Miguez-Macho, G. Global patterns of groundwater table depth. Science 339, 940–943 (2013).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. USGS-NWIS USGS Groundwater Levels for the Nation (Accessed 2016).

  11. Clark, B., Hart, R. & Gurdak, J. Groundwater Availability of the Mississippi Embayment Professional Paper 1785 (US Geological Survey, 2011).

    Google Scholar 

  12. Farm and Ranch Irrigation Survey (USDA, 2013).

  13. Green, T. R. et al. Beneath the surface of global change: impacts of climate change on groundwater. J. Hydrol. 405, 532–560 (2011).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Earman, S. & Dettinger, M. Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater resources—a global review. J. Wat. Clim. Change 2, 213–229 (2011).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Whittemore, D. O., Butler, J. J. Jr & Wilson, B. B. Assessing the major drivers of water-level declines: new insights into the future of heavily stressed aquifers. Hydrol. Sci. J. 61, 134–145 (2016).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Kuss, A. J. M. & Gurdak, J. J. Groundwater level response in U.S. principal aquifers to ENSO, NAO, PDO, and AMO. J. Hydrol. 519, 1939–1952 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Taylor, R. et al. Ground water and climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 322–329 (2013).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Hanson, R. T. & Dettinger, M. D. Ground water/surface water responses to global climate simulations, Santa Clara–Calleguas Basin, Ventura, CA. J. Am. Wat. Resour. Assoc. 41, 517–536 (2005).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Holman, I. P., Rivas-Casado, M., Bloomfield, J. P. & Gurdak, J. J. Identifying non-stationary groundwater level response to North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere teleconnection patterns using wavelet coherence. Hydrogeol. J. 19, 1269–1278 (2011).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Bakker, M. & Nieber, J. L. Damping of sinusoidal surface flux fluctuations with soil depth. Vadose Zone J. 8, 119–126 (2009).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Dickinson, J. E., Ferré, T. P. A., Bakker, M. & Crompton, B. A screening tool for delineating subregions of steady recharge within groundwater models. Vadose Zone J. http://dx.doi.org/10.2136/vzj2013.10.0184 (2014).

  22. Chen, Z., Grasby, S. E. & Osadetz, K. G. Relation between climate variability and groundwater levels in the upper carbonate aquifer, southern Manitoba, Canada. J. Hydrol. 290, 43–62 (2004).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Scanlon, B. R., Reedy, R. C., Stonestrom, D. A., Prudic, D. E. & Dennehy, K. F. Impact of land use and land cover change on groundwater recharge and quality in the southwestern US. Glob. Change Biol. 11, 1577–1593 (2005).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Gurdak, J. J. et al. Climate variability controls on unsaturated water and chemical movement, High Plains Aquifer, USA. Vadose Zone J. 6, 533–547 (2007).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Van Loon, A. F. et al. Drought in the anthropocene. Nat. Geosci. 9, 89–91 (2016).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Condon, L. & Maxwell, R. Feedbacks between managed irrigation and water availability: diagnosing temporal and spatial patterns using an integrated hydrologic model. Wat. Resour. Res. 50, 2600–2616 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Healy, R. W. & Cook, P. G. Using groundwater levels to estimate recharge. Hydrogeol. J. 10, 91–109 (2002).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Sophocleous, M. On understanding and predicting groundwater response time. Ground Water 50, 528–540 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Bredehoeft, J. D. Monitoring regional groundwater extraction: the problem. Ground Water 49, 808–814 (2011).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Hanson, R. T., Dettinger, M. D. & Newhouse, M. W. Relations between climatic variability and hydrologic time series from four alluvial basins across the southwestern United States. Hydrogeol. J. 14, 1122–1146 (2006).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Climate Monitoring Teleconnections (NOAA, 2015); http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/teleconnections

  32. Maurer, E., Wood, A., Adam, J., Lettenmaier, D. P. & Nijssen, B. A long-term hydrologically based dataset of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States. J. Clim. 15, 3237–3251 (2002).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Kansas Irrigation Water Use (Kansas Department of Agriculture, USGS, Kansas Water Office, 2013).

  34. Akuoko-Asibey, A., Nkemdirim, L. C. & Draper, D. L. The impacts of climatic variables on seasonal water consumption in Calgary, Alberta. Can. Wat. Resour. J. 18, 107–116 (1993).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Granger, C. Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica 37, 424–438 (1969).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Loáiciga, H. Climate change and ground water. Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr. 93, 37–41 (2003).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Ferguson, I. M. & Maxwell, R. M. Human impacts on terrestrial hydrology: climate change versus pumping and irrigation. Environ. Res. Lett. 7, 044022 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Döll, P. Vulnerability to the impact of climate change on renewable groundwater resources: a global-scale assessment. Environ. Res. Lett. 4, 035006 (2009).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Hirsch, R. M., Slack, J. R. & US Geological A nonparametric trend test for seasonal data with serial dependence. Wat. Resour. Res. 20, 727–732 (1984).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Helsel, D. & Hirsch, R. Statistical Methods in Water Resources (Elsevier, 1992).

    Google Scholar 

  41. Murtagh, F. & Legendre, P. Ward’s hierarchical agglomerative clustering method: which algorithms implement ward’s criterion? J. Classif. 31, 274–295 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. Torrence, C. & Compo, G. P. A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79, 61–78 (1998).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  43. Rousseeuw, P. Silhouettes: a graphical aid to the interpretation and validation of cluster analysis. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 20, 53–65 (1987).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Lütkepohl, H. New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis (Springer, 2005).

    Book  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

Support for this work comes from NSF Water Sustainability and Climate Project #1360446, the Columbia Earth Institute Postdoctoral Fellowship Program, and the University of Chicago 1896 Pilot Project. We thank K. Mankoff for help with data collection and preprocessing. The data described in this paper are available from the USGS and NOAA websites.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

T.A.R. and U.L. contributed to the analysis and writing of this article.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Tess A. Russo.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing financial interests.

Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

Supplementary Information (PDF 1094 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Russo, T., Lall, U. Depletion and response of deep groundwater to climate-induced pumping variability. Nature Geosci 10, 105–108 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2883

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2883

This article is cited by

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing Anthropocene

Sign up for the Nature Briefing: Anthropocene newsletter — what matters in anthropocene research, free to your inbox weekly.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing: Anthropocene