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| Open AccessEarly childhood investment impacts social decision-making four decades later
Early childhood educational intervention has positive outcomes in adulthood, including higher education attainment, economic status, and overall health. This study shows that adults who underwent such intervention have greater enforcement of equality norm during social decision-making, potentially motivated by future planning.
- Yi Luo
- , Sébastien Hétu
- & Craig Ramey
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Article
| Open AccessWarming assessment of the bottom-up Paris Agreement emissions pledges
The Paris Agreement includes bottom-up pledges and top-down warming threshold. Under this setting where countries effectively choose their own fairness principle, this article assesses the global warming implied by each Nationally Determined Contribution to inform the future ratcheting-up process.
- Yann Robiou du Pont
- & Malte Meinshausen
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Article
| Open AccessNeural mechanisms for learning self and other ownership
The sense of ownership – of which objects belong to us and which to others - is an important part of our lives, but how the brain keeps track of ownership is poorly understood. Here, the authors show that specific brain areas are involved in ownership acquisition for the self, friends, and strangers.
- Patricia L. Lockwood
- , Marco K. Wittmann
- & Matthew F. S. Rushworth
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Article
| Open AccessAn interpretable approach for social network formation among heterogeneous agents
Complex networks can be a useful tool to investigate problems in social science. Here the authors use game theory to establish a network model and then use a machine learning approach to characterize the role of nodes within a social network.
- Yuan Yuan
- , Ahmad Alabdulkareem
- & Alex ‘Sandy’ Pentland
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Article
| Open AccessImplicit preference for human trustworthy faces in macaque monkeys
Humans infer the trustworthiness of others based on subtle facial features such as the facial width-to-height ratio, but it is not known whether other primates are sensitive to these cues. Here, the authors show that macaque monkeys prefer to look at human faces which appear trustworthy to humans.
- Manuela Costa
- , Alice Gomez
- & Angela Sirigu
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Article
| Open AccessClosing the gender gap in competitiveness through priming
Men are often more willing to compete compared to women, which may contribute to gender differences in wages and career advancement. Here, the authors show that ‘power priming’ - encouraging people to imagine themselves in a situation of power - can close the gender gap in competitiveness.
- Loukas Balafoutas
- , Helena Fornwagner
- & Matthias Sutter
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Article
| Open AccessA scalable online tool for quantitative social network assessment reveals potentially modifiable social environmental risks
An individual’s social network—their friends, family, and acquaintances—is important for their health, but existing tools for assessing social networks have limitations. Here, the authors introduce a quantitative social network assessment tool on a secure open-source web platform and show its utility in a nation-wide study.
- Amar Dhand
- , Charles C. White
- & Philip L. De Jager
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Article
| Open AccessGender differences in individual variation in academic grades fail to fit expected patterns for STEM
Men are over-represented in the STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) workforce even though girls outperform boys in these subjects at school. Here, the authors cast doubt on one leading explanation for this paradox, the ‘variability hypothesis’.
- R. E. O’Dea
- , M. Lagisz
- & S. Nakagawa
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Article
| Open AccessUnderstanding 6th-century barbarian social organization and migration through paleogenomics
The Longobards invaded and conquered much of Italy after the fall of the Western Roman Empire. Here, the authors sequence and analyze ancient genomic DNA from 63 samples from two cemeteries associated with the Longobards and identify kinship networks and two distinct genetic and cultural groups in each.
- Carlos Eduardo G. Amorim
- , Stefania Vai
- & Krishna R. Veeramah
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Article
| Open AccessBiased sequential sampling underlies the effects of time pressure and delay in social decision making
It has been proposed that humans make unselfish decisions if constrained to decide quickly, but other research has suggested that time constraint makes us selfish. Here, the authors reconcile these two views showing that pro-social people become more pro-social under time pressure, but selfish subjects do the opposite.
- Fadong Chen
- & Ian Krajbich
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Article
| Open AccessRevisiting the functional significance of binocular cues for perceiving motion-in-depth
The presence of opposite horizontal motion in the two eyes is a cue for perceiving motion-in-depth, but also leads to suppressed motion sensitivity. Here, the authors address this paradox and show that spatial and interocular integration mechanisms, distinct from the extraction of motion-in-depth, drive suppression.
- Peter J. Kohler
- , Wesley J. Meredith
- & Anthony M. Norcia
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Article
| Open AccessSequences of purchases in credit card data reveal lifestyles in urban populations
Digital traces of our lives have the potential to allow insights into collective behaviors. Here, the authors cluster consumers by their credit card purchase sequences and discover five distinct groups, within which individuals also share similar mobility and demographic attributes.
- Riccardo Di Clemente
- , Miguel Luengo-Oroz
- & Marta C. González
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Article
| Open AccessAncient DNA from Chalcolithic Israel reveals the role of population mixture in cultural transformation
The Late Chalcolithic material culture in the southern Levant has unique attributes that suggest spread of people or culture. Here, the authors use genome-wide ancient DNA data from 22 individuals from a Chalcolithic site and show evidence of complex population movements and turnovers.
- Éadaoin Harney
- , Hila May
- & David Reich
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Perspective
| Open AccessDesigning with living systems in the synthetic yeast project
Synthetic biology often views the organism as a chassis into which a circuit can be inserted. Here the authors explore the idea of the organism as a core aspect of design, aiding researchers in navigating the genetic space opened up by SCRaMbLE.
- Erika Szymanski
- & Jane Calvert
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Article
| Open AccessExploiting a cognitive bias promotes cooperation in social dilemma experiments
The decoy effect refers to the fact that the presence of a third option can shift people’s preferences between two other options even though the third option is inferior to both. Here, the authors show how the decoy effect can enhance cooperation in a social dilemma, the repeated prisoner’s dilemma.
- Zhen Wang
- , Marko Jusup
- & Stefano Boccaletti
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Article
| Open AccessDifferential temporal salience of earning and saving
Economists have observed that many people seem unwilling to save for the future. Here, the authors show that earning and saving are subject to a basic asymmetry in attentional choice, such that cues that are associated with saving are perceived as occurring later than cues associated with earning.
- Kesong Hu
- , Eve De Rosa
- & Adam K. Anderson
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Article
| Open AccessImmediate action is the best strategy when facing uncertain climate change
Reducing the adverse effects of climate change triggered by human activity requires cooperation on a global scale. Modelling this challenge as an evolutionary game shows that the emerging contributions of selfish players depend strongly on the risk scenario at stake.
- Maria Abou Chakra
- , Silke Bumann
- & Arne Traulsen
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Article
| Open AccessDispositional free riders do not free ride on punishment
Strong positive and strong negative reciprocators reward cooperation and punish defection, respectively, regardless of future benefits. Here, Weber and colleagues demonstrate that dispositions towards strong positive and strong negative reciprocity are not correlated within individuals.
- Till O. Weber
- , Ori Weisel
- & Simon Gächter
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Article
| Open AccessInnovation and cumulative culture through tweaks and leaps in online programming contests
The cumulative development of culture has proven difficult to study in the laboratory. Here, the authors examine entries to a series of large programming contests to show that successful entries are usually ‘tweaks’ of existing solutions, but occasional ‘leaps’ can bring larger benefits.
- Elena Miu
- , Ned Gulley
- & Luke Rendell
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Article
| Open AccessTolerance to ambiguous uncertainty predicts prosocial behavior
Ambiguous uncertainty refers to situations where the likelihood of specific outcomes are not known. Here, the authors show that people tolerant to ambiguous uncertainty are more likely to make costly decisions to cooperate with or trust others.
- Marc-Lluís Vives
- & Oriel FeldmanHall
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| Open AccessCultural hitchhiking and competition between patrilineal kin groups explain the post-Neolithic Y-chromosome bottleneck
A population bottleneck 5000-7000 years ago in human males, but not females, has been inferred across several African, European and Asian populations. Here, Zeng and colleagues synthesize theory and data to suggest that competition among patrilineal kin groups produced the bottleneck pattern.
- Tian Chen Zeng
- , Alan J. Aw
- & Marcus W. Feldman
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Article
| Open AccessThe development of human social learning across seven societies
Social learning is a crucial human ability. Here, the authors examined children in 7 cultures and show that children’s reliance on social information and their preference to follow the majority vary across societies. However, the ontogeny of majority preference follows the same, U-shaped pattern across all societies.
- Edwin J. C. van Leeuwen
- , Emma Cohen
- & Daniel B. M. Haun
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Article
| Open AccessOptimal diversification strategies in the networks of related products and of related research areas
The probability that a region will develop a particular research activity increases with the number of similar activities in neighboring regions. Here the authors analyze diffusion strategies and show that it is not only important to know which activities to target but also when to target them.
- Aamena Alshamsi
- , Flávio L. Pinheiro
- & Cesar A. Hidalgo
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Article
| Open AccessPre-Columbian earth-builders settled along the entire southern rim of the Amazon
Previous studies of Pre-Columbian earthworks in the Amazon basin have left a gap in the Upper Tapajós Basin (UTB). Here, the authors detect 104 Pre-Columbian earthworks in the UTB, suggesting continuous occupation across southern Amazonia and higher population densities than previously estimated.
- Jonas Gregorio de Souza
- , Denise Pahl Schaan
- & José Iriarte
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Article
| Open AccessHeuristic and optimal policy computations in the human brain during sequential decision-making
Alhough humans often make a series of related decisions, it is unknown whether this is done by relying on optimal or heuristic strategies. Here, the authors show that humans rely on both the best heuristic and the optimal policy, and that these strategies are controlled by parts of the medial prefrontal cortex.
- Christoph W. Korn
- & Dominik R. Bach
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Article
| Open AccessCooperating with machines
Artificial intelligence is now superior to humans in many fully competitive games, such as Chess, Go, and Poker. Here the authors develop a machine-learning algorithm that can cooperate effectively with humans when cooperation is beneficial but nontrivial, something humans are remarkably good at.
- Jacob W. Crandall
- , Mayada Oudah
- & Iyad Rahwan
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Article
| Open AccessAcculturation orientations affect the evolution of a multicultural society
Cross-cultural interactions can cause cultural change, a process known as acculturation. Here, Erten et al. develop a model of cultural change under immigration, considering individuals’ orientations towards acculturation, and find that willingness to interact cross-culturally and resident cultural conservatism favour cultural coexistence.
- E. Yagmur Erten
- , Pieter van den Berg
- & Franz J. Weissing
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Article
| Open AccessCounter-intuitive influence of Himalayan river morphodynamics on Indus Civilisation urban settlements
The Bronze-age Indus civilisation (4.6–3.9 ka) was thought to have been linked to the development of water resources in the Himalayas. Here, the authors show that along the former course of the Sutlej River the Indus settlements developed along the abandoned river valley rather than an active Himalayan river.
- Ajit Singh
- , Kristina J. Thomsen
- & Sanjeev Gupta
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Article
| Open AccessChinese CO2 emission flows have reversed since the global financial crisis
China has entered a new normal phase of economic development with a changing role in global trade. Here the authors show that emissions embodied in China’s exports declined from 2007 to 2012, while developing countries become the major destinations of China’s export emissions.
- Zhifu Mi
- , Jing Meng
- & Klaus Hubacek
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Article
| Open AccessUniversal model of individual and population mobility on diverse spatial scales
Understanding and accurate prediction of human mobility is of increasing importance, but a universal framework is lacking. Here, the authors develop a unified model that accurately predicts both individual and population mobility and scaling behaviors on diverse spatial scales.
- Xiao-Yong Yan
- , Wen-Xu Wang
- & Ying-Cheng Lai
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Article
| Open AccessPoverty eradication in a carbon constrained world
The consequences of poverty eradication on limiting warming to 2 °C are not fully clear. Here, Hubacek et al. find that while ending extreme poverty does not jeopardize the climate target, moving everybody to a modest expenditure level increases required mitigation rate by 27%
- Klaus Hubacek
- , Giovanni Baiocchi
- & Anand Patwardhan
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Article
| Open AccessVolcanic suppression of Nile summer flooding triggers revolt and constrains interstate conflict in ancient Egypt
The degree to which human societies have responded to past climatic changes remains unclear. Here, using a novel combination of approaches, the authors show how volcanically-induced suppression of Nile summer flooding led to societal unrest in Ptolemaic Egypt (305–30 BCE).
- Joseph G. Manning
- , Francis Ludlow
- & Jennifer R. Marlon
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Article
| Open AccessSample composition alters associations between age and brain structure
The influence of sample composition on human neuroimaging results is unknown. Here, the authors weight a large, community-based sample to better reflect the US population and describe how applying these sample weights changes conclusions about age-related variation in brain structure.
- Kaja Z. LeWinn
- , Margaret A. Sheridan
- & Katie A. McLaughlin
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Article
| Open AccessPan-Antarctic analysis aggregating spatial estimates of Adélie penguin abundance reveals robust dynamics despite stochastic noise
Adélie penguins are a key Antarctic indicator species, but data patchiness has challenged efforts to link population dynamics to key drivers. Che-Castaldo et al. resolve this issue using a pan-Antarctic Bayesian model to infer missing data, and show that spatial aggregation leads to more robust inference regarding dynamics.
- Christian Che-Castaldo
- , Stephanie Jenouvrier
- & Heather J. Lynch
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Article
| Open AccessTrade-driven relocation of air pollution and health impacts in China
International and domestic interprovincial trade of China are entangled, but their health impacts have been treated separately in earlier studies. Here Wang. quantify the complex impacts of trade on public health across China within an integrative framework.
- Haikun Wang
- , Yanxu Zhang
- & Michael B. McElroy
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Article
| Open AccessPeer punishment promotes enforcement of bad social norms
Punishment by peers can enforce social norms, such as contributing to a public good. Here, Abbink and colleagues show that individuals will enforce norms even when contributions reduce the net benefit of the group, resulting in the maintenance of wasteful contributions.
- Klaus Abbink
- , Lata Gangadharan
- & John Thrasher
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Article
| Open AccessPayoff information hampers the evolution of cooperation
Knowledge of payoffs has been assumed to be weakly beneficial for the emergence of cooperation between humans. Here the authors provide evidence to the contrary, showing that during interactions in a competitive environment access to information about payoffs leads to less cooperative behaviour.
- Steffen Huck
- , Johannes Leutgeb
- & Ryan Oprea
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Editorial
| Open AccessFake news threatens a climate literate world
As the challenges and environmental consequences of climate change manifest, the need for a society of science-literate citizens is becoming increasingly apparent. Achieving this, however, is no easy task, particularly given the proliferation of fake news and the seeds of confusion it can sow
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| Open AccessExercise contagion in a global social network
Some argue that health-related behaviours, such as obesity, are contagious, but empirical evidence of health contagion remains inconclusive. Here, using a large scale quasi-experiment in a global network of runners, Aral and Nicolaides show that this type of contagion exists in fitness behaviours.
- Sinan Aral
- & Christos Nicolaides
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Article
| Open AccessArchaeogenomic evidence reveals prehistoric matrilineal dynasty
In ancient cultures without a writing system, it is difficult to infer the basis of status and rank. Here the authors analyse ancient DNA from nine presumed elite individuals buried successively over a 300-year period at Chaco Canyon, and show evidence of matrilineal relationships.
- Douglas J. Kennett
- , Stephen Plog
- & George H. Perry
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Article
| Open AccessPathways towards instability in financial networks
The spread of instabilities in financial systems, similarly to ecosystems, is influenced by topological features of the underlying network structures. Here the authors show, independently of specific financial models, that market integration and diversification can drive the system towards instability.
- Marco Bardoscia
- , Stefano Battiston
- & Guido Caldarelli
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Article
| Open AccessResilient cooperators stabilize long-run cooperation in the finitely repeated Prisoner’s Dilemma
Studying the dynamics of learning in repeated games of cooperation is complicated by the short duration of traditional experiments. Here the authors perform a virtual prisoner's dilemma game over twenty consecutive days, finding that a minority of resilient co-operators can sustain cooperation indefinitely.
- Andrew Mao
- , Lili Dworkin
- & Duncan J. Watts
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Article
| Open AccessCompetition among networks highlights the power of the weak
Network science and game theory have been traditionally combined to analyse interactions between nodes of a network. Here, the authors model competition for importance among networks themselves, and reveal dominance of the underdogs in the fate of networks-of-networks.
- Jaime Iranzo
- , Javier M. Buldú
- & Jacobo Aguirre
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Review Article |
Global potential of biospheric carbon management for climate mitigation
Carbon mitigation is considered an important and viable pathway towards climate stabilization, but competition for land is high. Here, Canadell and Schulze consider the sustainable implementation of a number of land-based biological carbon mitigation activities and assess the carbon savings achievable by 2050.
- Josep G. Canadell
- & E. Detlef Schulze
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Article |
Regional climate model simulations indicate limited climatic impacts by operational and planned European wind farms
Wind power installations have boomed across Europe in recent decades, yet the potentially negative impact of wind farms on climate remains largely untested. Vautard et al. parameterize operational and planned European wind farms in a regional climate model and show limited regional-scale climate impacts.
- Robert Vautard
- , Françoise Thais
- & Paolo Michele Ruti
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Article |
Group performance is maximized by hierarchical competence distribution
Social groups often need to take decisions and solve problems together, with each member contributing to the solution in a different way. Zafeiris et al.provide a family of models that allow the definition of the ideal distribution of competences in a group to solve a given task.
- Anna Zafeiris
- & Tamás Vicsek
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Article |
Conventional tree height–diameter relationships significantly overestimate aboveground carbon stocks in the Central Congo Basin
Accurate estimates of tropical forest carbon stocks are needed for policies to reduce emissions from loss of forests. By looking at a central area in the Congo Basin, Kearsleyet al.find that inconsistencies in height–diameter relationships across Central Africa cause overestimations between regions.
- Elizabeth Kearsley
- , Thales de Haulleville
- & Hans Verbeeck
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Article |
Urban characteristics attributable to density-driven tie formation
An enduring paradox of urban economics is why cities support levels of enterprise, such as patents and inventions, higher than the countryside. Here Pentland et al. suggest that the density of social ties provides a greater flow of ideas, resulting in increased productivity and innovation.
- Wei Pan
- , Gourab Ghoshal
- & Alex Pentland