Featured
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| Open AccessOrganic additive release from plastic to seawater is lower under deep-sea conditions
Plastics are major marine pollutants, and while research suggests that they can release potential harmful additives into seawater, how environmental conditions influence this is unknown. Here the authors determine that byproducts released from microplastics are less under deep-sea conditions versus surface.
- Vincent Fauvelle
- , Marc Garel
- & Richard Sempéré
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Article
| Open AccessA generalizable and accessible approach to machine learning with global satellite imagery
This paper presents MOSAIKS, a system for planet-scale prediction of multiple outcomes using satellite imagery and machine learning (SIML). MOSAIKS generalizes across prediction domains and has the potential to enhance accessibility of SIML across research disciplines.
- Esther Rolf
- , Jonathan Proctor
- & Solomon Hsiang
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Perspective
| Open AccessStandard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading
Many different methods have been developed to forecast climate phenomena like the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) which makes a fair comparison of their capabilities crucial. In this perspective, the authors discuss how choices in the evaluation method can lead to an overestimated perceived skill of ENSO forecasts.
- James S. Risbey
- , Dougal T. Squire
- & Carly R. Tozer
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Article
| Open AccessDiffusion controls the ventilation of a Pacific Shadow Zone above abyssal overturning
The deep North Pacific is the end of the road for global ocean circulation, but the circulation patterns and ventilation are poorly understood. Here the authors show that diffusive transports both along and across density layers play a leading role in returning 1,400 year old water to the surface.
- Mark Holzer
- , Tim DeVries
- & Casimir de Lavergne
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Article
| Open AccessRevealing the widespread potential of forests to increase low level cloud cover
Forests can influence climate by affecting low cloud formation, but where and when this occurs is not well known. Here, the authors provide a global-scale assessment, based on satellite remote sensing observations, suggesting afforestation mostly increases low cloud cover which could potentially cool surface temperatures.
- Gregory Duveiller
- , Federico Filipponi
- & Alessandro Cescatti
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Article
| Open AccessTwo end-member earthquake preparations illuminated by foreshock activity on a meter-scale laboratory fault
By tuning fault surface heterogeneity, the authors report earthquake preparation processes respectively driven by preslip and cascade-up on a meter-scale laboratory fault. The findings suggest that foreshock activity can be useful for predicting when and how the impending mainshock will occur.
- Futoshi Yamashita
- , Eiichi Fukuyama
- & Shigeru Takizawa
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Article
| Open AccessUltrafast olivine-ringwoodite transformation during shock compression
Meteorites from space often include denser polymorphs of their minerals, providing records of past hypervelocity collisions. An olivine mineral crystal was shock-compressed by a high-power laser, and its transformation into denser ringwoodite was time-resolved using an X-ray free electron laser.
- Takuo Okuchi
- , Yusuke Seto
- & Norimasa Ozaki
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Article
| Open AccessDeep carbon cycle constrained by carbonate solubility
Carbonate mineral aqueous solubility decreases as carbonates become more Mg-rich during subduction. Coupled with regional variations in amounts of carbon and water subducted, this explains discrepancies in estimates of carbon recycling, suggesting that only around a third returns to the surface.
- Stefan Farsang
- , Marion Louvel
- & Simon A. T. Redfern
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Matters Arising
| Open AccessReply to: “Questions remain about the biolability of dissolved black carbon along the combustion continuum”
- Yuanzhi Qi
- , Wenjing Fu
- & Xuchen Wang
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Matters Arising
| Open AccessQuestions remain about the biolability of dissolved black carbon along the combustion continuum
- Sasha Wagner
- , Alysha I. Coppola
- & Hongyan Bao
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Article
| Open AccessChanges in Atlantic major hurricane frequency since the late-19th century
How tropical cyclones have varied in intensity and frequency in the past is not well known as longer records are rare. Here, the authors show that changes in observing practices explain the recorded century scale increase in Atlantic major hurricane frequency, and recent increases are not part of a century-scale trend.
- Gabriel A. Vecchi
- , Christopher Landsea
- & Thomas Knutson
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Article
| Open AccessGermanium-lead perovskite light-emitting diodes
Lead toxicity poses a big hurdle for the commercialization of perovskite optoelectronics, hence reducing the environmental impact holds the answer for its future application. To tackle this challenge, the authors utilize germanium to reduce the lead content, enabling highly luminescent eco-friendly compound for LEDs.
- Dexin Yang
- , Guoling Zhang
- & Dawei Di
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Article
| Open AccessSubduction history of the Caribbean from upper-mantle seismic imaging and plate reconstruction
Seismic imaging of subducted plates offers a way to improve plate tectonic reconstructions. Here, Braszus et al. use new ocean-bottom seismometer data from the Lesser Antilles to locate subducted spreading centres and faults thus providing a new understanding of the evolution of the Caribbean plate.
- Benedikt Braszus
- , Saskia Goes
- & Marjorie Wilson
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Article
| Open AccessThermohaline structure and circulation beneath the Langhovde Glacier ice shelf in East Antarctica
Basal melting of ice shelves is the principal driver of recent ice mass loss in Antarctica. The study reports comprehensive structures of temperature, salinity and current under an ice shelf in East Antarctica obtained by borehole measurements.
- Masahiro Minowa
- , Shin Sugiyama
- & Shigeru Aoki
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Article
| Open AccessCommon irrigation drivers of freshwater salinisation in river basins worldwide
Freshwater salinisation is a growing water quality problem, but impacts and drivers across regional to global scales have been lacking. A new assessment of inter-regional freshwater salinisation demonstrates the importance of irrigation as a driver of salinisation.
- Josefin Thorslund
- , Marc F. P. Bierkens
- & Michelle T. H. van Vliet
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Article
| Open AccessUncovering the eruptive patterns of the 2019 double paroxysm eruption crisis of Stromboli volcano
Integrated field and laboratory investigations, and numerical simulations of the 2019 paroxysmal explosions at Stromboli volcano revealed that they were anticipated by a week-to-month-long destabilization in the normal volcanic activity, a pattern common to all paroxysms.
- Daniele Andronico
- , Elisabetta Del Bello
- & Federico Valentini
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Article
| Open AccessOrbital forcing of ice sheets during snowball Earth
Reconciling the Snowball Earth hypothesis with sedimentological cyclicity has been a persistent challenge. A new cyclostratigraphic climate record for a Cryogenian banded iron formation in Australia provides evidence for orbital forcing of ice sheet advance and retreat cycles during Snowball Earth.
- Ross N. Mitchell
- , Thomas M. Gernon
- & Xiaofang He
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Article
| Open AccessMariana-type ophiolites constrain the establishment of modern plate tectonic regime during Gondwana assembly
This paper placed the identified Mariana type ophiolite within a global tectonic re-organization at ca. 530-520 Ma. Similar ophiolites, together with other geological and chemical proxies, newly constrained the timing of establishment of modern plate tectonics, along with its links to surficial changes that characterize the contemporary Earth.
- Jinlong Yao
- , Peter A. Cawood
- & Peng Wang
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Article
| Open AccessLinking deeply-sourced volatile emissions to plateau growth dynamics in southeastern Tibetan Plateau
Deeply-sourced volatiles are releasing from orogenic plateau regions, providing windows to plateau growth dynamics occurring at variable depths. Here the authors show that mantle-derived volatiles reveal the involvement of mantle dynamics in southeastward growth of the Tibetan Plateau.
- Maoliang Zhang
- , Zhengfu Guo
- & Ying Li
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Article
| Open AccessEncapsulate α-MnO2 nanofiber within graphene layer to tune surface electronic structure for efficient ozone decomposition
Ozone is a major air pollutant, but its elimination is challenging. Here the authors encapsulate defective α-MnO2 nanofiber within ultrathin graphene shells to construct a hierarchical MnO2@graphene catalyst for ozone decomposition that possesses high activity and stability under humid conditions.
- Guoxiang Zhu
- , Wei Zhu
- & Yongfa Zhu
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Article
| Open AccessTen-year panel data confirm generation gap but climate beliefs increase at similar rates across ages
It has been suggested that younger people care more about climate change than older people. Here, the authors present ten year panel data from New Zealand and show that despite a generation gap in starting levels, climate change beliefs have increased at similar rates across ages over the 2009-2018 period.
- Taciano L. Milfont
- , Elena Zubielevitch
- & Chris G. Sibley
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Article
| Open AccessAnthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation over global land areas seen in multiple observational datasets
Climate models project an intensification of extreme precipitation under climate change, but this effect is difficult to detect in the observational record. Here, the authors show that a physically interpretable anthropogenic impact on extreme precipitation is detectable in global observational data sets.
- Gavin D. Madakumbura
- , Chad W. Thackeray
- & Alex Hall
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Article
| Open AccessSolar energy and regional coordination as a feasible alternative to large hydropower in Southeast Asia
Hydropower dams in the Lower Mekong basin have profound impact on the riverine ecosystems. Here the authors use strategic dam planning and power system modelling to show that there are economically and technically feasible alternatives to these dams with solar energy and power trading.
- Kais Siala
- , Afm Kamal Chowdhury
- & Stefano Galelli
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Article
| Open AccessGlobal distribution patterns of marine nitrogen-fixers by imaging and molecular methods
Nitrogen fixation by diazotrophs is critical for marine primary production. Using Tara Oceans datasets, this study combines a quantitative image analysis pipeline with metagenomic mining to provide an improved global overview of diazotroph abundance, diversity and distribution.
- Juan José Pierella Karlusich
- , Eric Pelletier
- & Rachel A. Foster
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Article
| Open AccessHigh Mountain Asian glacier response to climate revealed by multi-temporal satellite observations since the 1960s
Multi-platform satellite observations document six decades of glacier mass balance variability across High Mountain Asia (HMA). Heterogeneous rates of ice loss reflect regional climatic differences, but ice loss is now pervasive across HMA even in regions formerly exhibiting slight mass gains.
- Atanu Bhattacharya
- , Tobias Bolch
- & Tandong Yao
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Article
| Open AccessParticulate organic matter as a functional soil component for persistent soil organic carbon
The fate of soil carbon is controlled by plant inputs, microbial activity, and the soil matrix. Here the authors extend the notion of plant-derived particulate organic matter, from an easily available and labile carbon substrate, to a functional component at which persistence of soil carbon is determined.
- Kristina Witzgall
- , Alix Vidal
- & Carsten W. Mueller
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Article
| Open AccessFingerprinting the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary impact with Zn isotopes
Elevated Zn isotope compositions occur in K-Pg sedimentary layers of three different depositional environments across North America and the Caribbean. The data indicate a volatilization event, and act as a robust mechanistic indicator of the meteorite impact at the end of the Cretaceous.
- Ryan Mathur
- , Brandon Mahan
- & Francisca E. Oboh-Ikuenobe
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Article
| Open AccessSuppressing peatland methane production by electron snorkeling through pyrogenic carbon in controlled laboratory incubations
Warmer and drier conditions are increasing the frequency of forest fires, which in turn produce pyrogenic carbon. Here the authors show that accumulation of pyrogenic carbon can suppress post-fire methane production in northern peatlands and can effectively buffer fire-derived greenhouse gas emissions.
- Tianran Sun
- , Juan J. L. Guzman
- & Largus T. Angenent
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Article
| Open AccessVelocity bias in intrusive gas-liquid flow measurements
Estimating velocities in gas liquid flows is of importance in many engineering applications. Hohermuth et al. show that previous bubble velocities obtained from intrusive probes have been underestimated and provide a correction scheme for more accurate velocity measurements.
- B. Hohermuth
- , M. Kramer
- & D. Valero
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Article
| Open AccessQuantifying nitrogen fixation by heterotrophic bacteria in sinking marine particles
N2 fixation by heterotrophic bacteria has recently been found to take place on sinking marine particles, but an understanding of its regulation and importance is lacking. Here the authors develop a trait-based model for this N2 fixation, finding that this once overlooked process could have global importance.
- Subhendu Chakraborty
- , Ken H. Andersen
- & Lasse Riemann
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Article
| Open AccessEvanescent waves modulate energy efficiency of photocatalysis within TiO2 coated optical fibers illuminated using LEDs
Coupling photocatalyst-coated optical fibers (P-OFs) with LEDs shows potential in environmental applications. Here the authors report a strategy to maximize P-OF light usage and simultaneously establish a new platform to quantify photocatalytic performance.
- Yinghao Song
- , Li Ling
- & Chii Shang
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Article
| Open AccessOut-of-sequence skeletal growth causing oscillatory zoning in arc olivines
Arc olivines are commonly explained through a paradigm of core-to-rim sequential growth and oscillatory zoning is interpreted to represent magma mixing. Here the authors show Fo–Ni–P oscillatory zoned olivines can grow as out-of-sequence crystal frames and complex zoning can occur in closed systems.
- Pablo Salas
- , Philipp Ruprecht
- & Osvaldo Rabbia
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Article
| Open AccessHigher cost of finance exacerbates a climate investment trap in developing economies
Access to low cost finance is vital for developing economies’ transition to green energy. Here the authors show how modelled decarbonization pathways for developing economies are disproportionately impacted by different weighted average cost of capital (WACC) assumptions.
- Nadia Ameli
- , Olivier Dessens
- & Michael Grubb
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Article
| Open AccessGlobal LiDAR land elevation data reveal greatest sea-level rise vulnerability in the tropics
Predicting the risk of flooding in coastal environments relies on accurate land elevation data, but this is not available in many parts of the world. Here the authors apply a global lowland digital terrain model derived from satellite LiDAR and determine that the regions most vulnerable to sea-level rise are in the tropics.
- A. Hooijer
- & R. Vernimmen
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Article
| Open AccessClimate pacing of millennial sea-level change variability in the central and western Mediterranean
How sea-level in the western Mediterranean reacts to climate changes is not well known. Here, the authors present a regional reconstruction and show that temperatures influenced sea-level change rates during the Holocene, while recent sea-level rise is happening faster than during any other period of the last 4000 years.
- Matteo Vacchi
- , Kristen M. Joyse
- & Alessio Rovere
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Article
| Open AccessTectonic and climatic drivers of Asian monsoon evolution
The drivers of monsoon systems in the past are not well known. Here, the authors present a model-based reconstruction of the last 30 million years and show that the south east Asian monsoon evolution is dominated by orographic development while the strength of the Indian Summer monsoon is controlled by a combination of factors.
- James R. Thomson
- , Philip B. Holden
- & Nigel B. W. Harris
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Article
| Open AccessDinosaur biodiversity declined well before the asteroid impact, influenced by ecological and environmental pressures
Dinosaurs are thought to have been driven extinct by an asteroid impact 66 million years ago. Here, Condamine et al. show that six major dinosaur families were already in decline in the preceding 10 million years, possibly due to global cooling and competition among herbivores.
- Fabien L. Condamine
- , Guillaume Guinot
- & Philip J. Currie
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Article
| Open AccessThe Great Oxygenation Event as a consequence of ecological dynamics modulated by planetary change
The Great Oxygenation Event (GOE) 2.4 billion years ago is believed to have been critical for the evolution of complex life. Here, Olejarz et al. propose a model suggesting that competition between major bacterial groups could have triggered the GOE in a feedback loop with geophysical processes.
- Jason Olejarz
- , Yoh Iwasa
- & Martin A. Nowak
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Article
| Open AccessShallow slow earthquakes to decipher future catastrophic earthquakes in the Guerrero seismic gap
New offshore observations in the Guerrero seismic gap discovered shallow slow earthquakes, which suggest that a portion of the plate interface undergoes stable slip. This may explain the long return period of large earthquakes and why have previous large earthquakes not propagated into the gap.
- R. Plata-Martinez
- , S. Ide
- & Y. Ito
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Article
| Open AccessStorage and export of microbial biomass across the western Greenland Ice Sheet
Microbes that colonise ice sheet surfaces are important to the carbon cycle, but their biomass and transport remains unquantified. Here, the authors reveal substantial microbial carbon fluxes across Greenland’s ice surface, in quantities that may sustain subglacial heterotrophs and fuel methanogenesis.
- T. D. L. Irvine-Fynn
- , A. Edwards
- & A. Hubbard
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Article
| Open AccessHydraulic transmissivity inferred from ice-sheet relaxation following Greenland supraglacial lake drainages
Hydraulic transmissivity under the 1km-thick Greenland Ice Sheet was inferred by ice-sheet uplift relaxation after rapid lake drainage events. A two-order-of-magnitude increase in hydraulic transmissivity was found throughout the melt season.
- Ching-Yao Lai
- , Laura A. Stevens
- & Howard A. Stone
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Article
| Open AccessImpact of an accelerated melting of Greenland on malaria distribution over Africa
Release of freshwater into the oceans as a result of ice sheet melting could impact the distribution of climate-sensitive diseases. Here, the authors show that a rapid ice sheet melting in Greenland could cause an emergence of malaria in Southern Africa whilst transmission risks in West Africa may decline.
- Alizée Chemison
- , Gilles Ramstein
- & Cyril Caminade
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Article
| Open AccessSunda arc mantle source δ18O value revealed by intracrystal isotope analysis
Subduction zone volcanoes are underlain by extensive magma plumbing systems, which can obscure original mantle source signals. Here, the authors show that intra-crystal oxygen isotope analysis of clinopyroxenes from the Sunda arc (Indonesia) reveal the δ18 O value of the sub-arc mantle.
- Frances M. Deegan
- , Martin J. Whitehouse
- & Osvaldo González-Maurel
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Article
| Open AccessOrbital- and millennial-scale Antarctic Circumpolar Current variability in Drake Passage over the past 140,000 years
How the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) changed on glacial-interglacial time scales is not well known. Here, the authors present a 140,000 year long sediment record from the Drake passage and show both glacial-interglacial as well as millennial-scale variability which are linked to Atlantic variability and marine carbon storage.
- Shuzhuang Wu
- , Lester Lembke-Jene
- & Gerhard Kuhn
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Article
| Open AccessOcean-bottom and surface seismometers reveal continuous glacial tremor and slip
Anomalously slow earthquakes play a critical role in the earthquake cycle and fault sliding. Here, the authors detect continuous seismic radiation from a glacier sliding over its bed and show persistent coastal shaking to represent an addition to the family of slow earthquakes.
- Evgeny A. Podolskiy
- , Yoshio Murai
- & Shin Sugiyama
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Article
| Open AccessContrasting responses of above- and belowground diversity to multiple components of land-use intensity
Land use intensification is a major driver of biodiversity change. Here the authors measure diversity across multiple trophic levels in agricultural grassland landscapes of varying management, finding decoupled responses of above- and belowground taxa to local factors and a strong impact of landscape-level land use.
- Gaëtane Le Provost
- , Jan Thiele
- & Peter Manning
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Article
| Open AccessApproximate Bayesian Computation of radiocarbon and paleoenvironmental record shows population resilience on Rapa Nui (Easter Island)
Summed probability distributions of radiocarbon dates can be used to estimate past demography, but methods to test for associations with environmental change are lacking. Here, DiNapoli et al. propose an approach using Approximate Bayesian Computation and illustrate it in a case study of Rapa Nui.
- Robert J. DiNapoli
- , Enrico R. Crema
- & Terry L. Hunt
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Article
| Open AccessIndia-Asia collision as a driver of atmospheric CO2 in the Cenozoic
“Earth degassing is a critical carbon source, but its contribution to Cenozoic atmospheric CO2 variations is not well known. Here, the authors analyse CO2 fluxes on the Tibetan Plateau and suggest that the India-Asia collision was the primary driver of changes in atmospheric CO2 over the past 65 Ma.”
- Zhengfu Guo
- , Marjorie Wilson
- & Jiaqi Liu
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Article
| Open AccessClimate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone
Despite a ban on ozone depleting substances, ozone depletion during cold winters in the Arctic stratosphere has been increasing in recent decades. Here, the authors show conditions favourable for Arctic ozone depletion could worsen as a response of stratospheric temperature and water to continued release of greenhouse gases.
- Peter von der Gathen
- , Rigel Kivi
- & Markus Rex