Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Article
  • Published:

Global food loss and waste estimates show increasing nutritional and environmental pressures

Abstract

Accurate global food losses and waste (FLW) quantification remains challenging owing to limited harmonized global estimates, a lack of comprehensive quantification approaches and an absence of frameworks for addressing FLW challenges. Here we compile a country-level database that assesses FLW across global value chains and quantifies the nutritional and environmental impact of FLW for 121 countries and 20 composite regions. Between 2004 and 2014, FLW increased by a quarter, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia, where increasing nutritional losses of ~550 cal per capita per day impact food security. Growing food imports in high-income countries and fast-growing economies worsened FLW and related environmental footprints in exporting low-income regions. Reducing overconsumption and FLW in high-income countries may have positive effects in middle- and low-income countries, where food exports largely drive farm-level losses. Policies should focus on promoting the profitable reuse of unavoidable FLW while enhancing agricultural production efficiency to improve water use and nutritional security.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Fig. 1: Flows of FLW by primary food product generated along different stages of global FSC (by reference year).
Fig. 2: Total FLW generation, per capita FLW generation and trade-embedded FLW by country.
Fig. 3: Relation between FLW, gross food supply and GDP by country in 2014 and changes in FLW based on KAYA identity from 2004 to 2014.
Fig. 4: Nutritional composition of FLW (grams per capita per day) generated along global FSC.
Fig. 5: Overview of the global data coverage (shares (%) of FLW) of the constructed database by commodity, region and supply chain stage, and data coverage comparison with the FAO-FLW database (2019).

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

The FLW database and results data are available in Supplementary Information.

Code availability

The code used for the analysis is described in Supplementary Information.

References

  1. UN Responsible consumption and production. United Nations Sustainable Development Goals https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-consumption-production/ (2019).

  2. Porter, S. D., Reay, D. S., Higgins, P. & Bomberg, E. A half-century of production-phase greenhouse gas emissions from food loss & waste in the global food supply chain. Sci. Total Environ. 571, 721–729 (2016).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  3. Lipinski, B. et al. Reducing Food Loss and Waste (World Resource Institute, 2013); https://www.wri.org/publication/reducing-food-loss-and-waste

  4. Parry A., James K. & LeRoux S. Strategies to Achieve Economic and Environmental Gains by Reducing Food Waste (Waste & Resources Action Programme, 2015); https://newclimateeconomy.report/workingpapers/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2016/04/WRAP-NCE_Economic-environmental-gains-food-waste.pdf

  5. Foley, J. A. et al. Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature 478, 337–342 (2011).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  6. UNEP Food Waste Index Report 2021 (United Nations Environment Programme, 2021); https://www.unep.org/resources/report/unep-food-waste-index-report-2021

  7. Global Food Losses and Food Waste—Extent, Causes and Prevention (FAO, 2011).

  8. Sheahan, M. & Barrett, C. B. Review: Food loss and waste in sub-Saharan Africa. Food Policy 70, 1–12 (2017).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  9. Xue, L. et al. Missing food, missing data? A critical review of global food losses and food waste data. Environ. Sci. Technol. 51, 6618–6633 (2017).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  10. Food Loss and Waste Database (FAO, accessed 3 January 2023); http://www.fao.org/platform-food-loss-waste/flw-data/en/

  11. ‘Waste: Food Waste’, OECD Environment Statistics (OECD, accessed 3 January 2023); https://doi.org/10.1787/ba9da2b7-en

  12. Kaza, S., Yao, L. C., Bhada-Tata, P. & Van Woerden, F. What a Waste 2.0: A Global Snapshot of Solid Waste Management to 2050 (World Bank, 2018); https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/d3f9d45e-115f-559b-b14f-28552410e90a

  13. Kummu, M. et al. Lost food, wasted resources: global food supply chain losses and their impacts on freshwater, cropland, and fertiliser use. Sci. Total Environ. 438, 477–489 (2012).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  14. Parfitt, J., Barthel, M. & Macnaughton, S. Food waste within food supply chains: quantification and potential for change to 2050. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 365, 3065–3081 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Delgado, L., Schuster, M. & Torero, M. Quantity and quality food losses across the value chain: a comparative analysis. Food Policy https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101958 (2021).

  16. Caldeira, C., De Laurentiis, V., Corrado, S., van Holsteijn, F. & Sala, S. Quantification of food waste per product group along the food supply chain in the European Union: a mass flow analysis. Resour. Conserv. Recycl. 149, 479–488 (2019).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  17. Liu, J., Lundqvist, J., Weinberg, J. & Gustafsson, J. Food losses and waste in China and their implication for water and land. Environ. Sci. Technol. 47, 10137–10144 (2013).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  18. Chaboud, G. & Daviron, B. Food losses and waste: navigating the inconsistencies. Glob. Food Secur. 12, 1–7 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Britz, W. et al. Economy-Wide Analysis of Food Waste Reductions and Related Costs JRC Working Paper No. JRC113395 (Joint Research Centre, 2019); https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/iptiptwpa/jrc113395.htm

  20. de Gorter, H., Drabik, D., Just, D. R., Reynolds, C. & Sethi, G. Analyzing the economics of food loss and waste reductions in a food supply chain. Food Policy https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101953 (2020).

  21. Alexander, P. et al. Losses, inefficiencies and waste in the global food system. Agric. Syst. 153, 190–200 (2017).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  22. Chen, C., Chaudhary, A. & Mathys, A. Nutritional and environmental losses embedded in global food waste. Resour. Conserv. Recycl. 160, 104912 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Wesana, J., Gellynck, X., Dora, M. K., Pearce, D. & De Steur, H. Measuring food and nutritional losses through value stream mapping along the dairy value chain in Uganda. Resour. Conserv. Recycl. 150, 104416 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Chepeliev, M. Incorporating nutritional accounts to the GTAP data base. J. Glob. Econ. Anal. 7, 1–43 (2022).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Population, total (World Bank, 3 January 2023);https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL

  26. Ang, B. W. LMDI decomposition approach: a guide for implementation. Energy Policy 86, 233–238 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Kaya, Y. & Yokoburi, K. Environment, Energy, and Economy: Strategies for Sustainability (United Nations Univ. Press, 1997).

  28. Parfitt, J., Croker, T. & Brockhaus, A. Global food loss and waste in primary production: a reassessment of its scale and significance. Sustainability https://doi.org/10.3390/su132112087 (2021).

  29. Verma, M., de Vreede, L., Achterbosch, T. & Rutten, M. M. Consumers discard a lot more food than widely believed: estimates of global food waste using an energy gap approach and affluence elasticity of food waste. PLoS ONE 15, e0228369 (2020).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  30. Reducing Food Loss and Waste—Setting a Global Action Agenda 34–35 (WRI, 2019); https://files.wri.org/s3fs-public/reducing-food-loss-waste-global-action-agenda_1.pdf

  31. FAO Regional Office for Latin America and the Caribbean. International day of awareness of the reduction of food losses and waste. (2022); https://www.fao.org/americas/events/event-detail/International-Day-of-Awareness-of-the-Reduction-of-Food-Losses-and-Waste/

  32. Spiker, M. L., Hiza, H. A. B., Siddiqi, S. M. & Neff, R. A. Wasted food, wasted nutrients: nutrient loss from wasted food in the United States and comparison to gaps in dietary intake. J. Acad. Nutr. Diet. 117, 1031–1040.e22 (2017).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  33. Khalid, S. et al. Assessment of nutritional loss with food waste and factors governing this waste at household level in Pakistan. J. Clean. Prod. 206, 1015–1024 (2019).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  34. Brennan, A. & Browne, S. Food waste and nutrition quality in the context of public health: a scoping review. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 18, 5379 (2021).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  35. De Boer, I. J. M. & Van Ittersum, M. K. Circularity in Agricultural Production (Wageningen Univ. & Research, 2018); https://www.wur.nl/upload_mm/7/5/5/14119893-7258-45e6-b4d0-e514a8b6316a_Circularity-in-agricultural-production-20122018.pdf

  36. Gatto, A., Kuiper, M., van Middelaar, C. & van Meijl, H. Unveiling the economic and environmental impact of policies to promote animal feed for a circular food system. Resour. Conserv. Recycl. 200, 107317 (2024).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Toma, L., Revoredo-Giha, C., Costa-Font, M. & Thompson, B. Food waste and food safety linkages along the supply chain. EuroChoices 19, 24–29 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. World Population Prospects 2022: Summary of Results UN DESA/POP/2022/TR/NO. 3 (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, 2022).

  39. Yi, J. et al. Post-farmgate food value chains make up most of consumer food expenditures globally. Nat. Food 2, 417–425 (2021).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  40. Aguiar, A., Chepeliev, M., Corong, E. L., McDougall, R. & van der Mensbrugghe, D. The GTAP data base: version 10. J. Glob Econ. Anal. https://doi.org/10.21642/JGEA.040101AF (2019).

  41. Chepeliev, M. The GTAP Version 10A Data Base with Agricultural Production Targeting Based on the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) Data GTAP Research Memorandum No. 35 (Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue Univ., 2020); https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/res_display.asp?RecordID=6180

  42. Fabi, C. & English, A. SDG 12.3.1: Global Food Loss Index (Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations, 2018); http://www.fao.org/3/CA2640EN/ca2640en.pdf

  43. Baldos, U. Development of GTAP 9 Land Use and Land Cover Data Base for Years 2004, 2007 and 2011 GTAP Research Memorandum No. 30 (Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), Purdue Univ., 2017); https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/res_display.asp?RecordID=5424

  44. Haqiqi, I., Taheripour, F., Liu, J. & van der Mensbrugghe, D. Introducing irrigation water into GTAP data base version 9. J. Glob. Econ. Anal. 1, 116–155 (2016).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  45. Chepeliev, M. Development of the Non-CO2 GHG Emissions Database for the GTAP 10A Data Base GTAP Research Memorandum No. 32 (Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), 2020); https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/res_display.asp?RecordID=5993

  46. IPCC Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report (eds Core Writing Team, Pachauri, R. K. & Reisinger, A.) (IPCC, 2007).

  47. Yang, J. et al. Driving forces of China’s CO2 emissions from energy consumption based on Kaya-LMDI methods. Sci. Total Environ. 711, 134569 (2020).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  48. Peters, G. P. et al. Key indicators to track current progress and future ambition of the Paris Agreement. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3202 (2017).

Download references

Acknowledgements

We have no acknowledgements and received no specific funding for this work.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

A.G. and M.C. conceived and designed the experiments, performed the experiments, analysed the data, contributed materials and analysis tools, and wrote the paper.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Alessandro Gatto or Maksym Chepeliev.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Peer review

Peer review information

Nature Food thanks Tariq Ali and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work.

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

Supplementary Methods, Figs. 1–8 and Tables 1–18.

Supplementary Data 1

File containing a new global database of FLW and embedded nutritional and environmental impacts.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Gatto, A., Chepeliev, M. Global food loss and waste estimates show increasing nutritional and environmental pressures. Nat Food 5, 136–147 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-023-00915-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-023-00915-6

This article is cited by

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing