Introduction

Hip fracture is a severe, debilitating condition with increasing prevalence globally1. The mortality rate within 2 years after hip fracture is 32.7%2 and the risk of refracture within 3 years increases by 30–40%3. Moreover, the patient's physical function and walking ability are significantly reduced, and the ability to self-care is lost after hip fracture, which seriously affects the patient's quality of life4. With the acceleration of population aging, the medical and financial burden associated with hip fracture will be a major challenge for society and families5. Therefore, it is crucial to improve the prognosis and activities of daily living (ADL) for patients with hip fracture.

There are several ways to promote recovery of patients after hip fracture, mainly including drug therapies, transcutaneous electric nerve stimulation (TENS) and exercise-based interventions (EIs). Nonetheless, drug therapies might have potential side effects, such as bisphosphonates may cause a significant decrease in bone density and increase the risk of secondary fractures when taken continuously for 3–5 years6. Overdose of vitamin D might cause kidney stones or cardiovascular accidents, affecting the life of the patient7. TENS is a new non-invasive acupuncture treatment8, however, it is limited in terms of who can implement it and where it can be used, and it lacks home applicability and population universality. Furthermore, the scientific rationale and criteria for the selection of acupuncture points, frequency, and duration of stimulation remain unclear, inappropriate manipulations may diminish therapeutic effect9. EI mainly includes aerobic exercise (AE), resistance exercise (RE), muscle strength exercise (MSE), balance exercise (BE), and weight-bearing exercise (WBE)10,11. Previous studies proposed that EIs might have a positive effect on physical function in patients with hip fracture12,13. Experimental studies14 have suggested that EIs could maintain high peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ coactivator-1α levels, and inhibit in vivo Forkhead boxO3 induction, which reduces muscle atrophy, maintains muscle function and increases hip stability. More importantly, exercise as a promising treatment for patients with hip fracture was recommended by guidelines15. Consequently, EIs have been widely applied to patients with hip fracture due to its high safety and well-proven efficacy with few side effects.

Although previous research has shown the prognostic value of EIs in patients with hip fracture, the evidence regarding the effectiveness of EIs remains fragmented and controversial. Firstly, studies have shown that EIs could improve ADL and walking ability of patients16, but Magaziner17 suggested that the improvement of ADL and walking ability of patients with hip fracture was not statistically significant after EIs. Due to some discrepancies in the results of previous RCTs, a high-quality meta-analyse is urgently needed to summarize the current clinical evidence. Secondly, there are many limitations to these studies, including single-center recruitment, small sample sizes, and limited follow-up times12,18, which to some extent affect their generalizability and accuracy for judging the efficacy of EIs, and their long-term effects still need to be confirmed. Thirdly, the single outcome indicator in the previous literature only reflects the efficacy of EI with hip fracture patients in a one-sided way19, which affects the medical staff to make an overall and comprehensive judgment on the efficacy of EIs and cannot meet the actual clinical needs. Finally, the optimal exercise type for patients with hip fracture is unclear as traditional meta-analyse mainly focus on comparisons of single EI20 and lacks direct comparisons of different EIs, it is difficult for healthcare professionals to develop the most effective exercise rehabilitation programs. Besides, in recent years, much literature has been published on EIs after hip fracture21,22, we urgently need to update the evidence to verify the effectiveness of the best interventions.

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a new method for comparing direct and indirect evidence that helps researchers gather evidence from multiple RCTs and compares the relative effectiveness of multiple interventions23. It overcomes the limitation of traditional pare-wise meta-analysis and ranks the probability of each intervention’s relative efficacy24. Our study aims to identify the optimal exercise-based strategy through a Bayesian NMA and provides a reference for policymakers and clinical researchers.

Materials and methods

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta Analyses-Network Meta-Analyses (PRISMA-NMA) guidelines25 were followed when conducting and reporting our NMA (Supplement File S1). This study has been registered on PROSPERO (CRD4202022340737).

Search strategies

A systematic literature search was carried out in Medline (via PubMed), Excerpta Medica Database (Embase), Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), China National Knowledge Infrastructure database (CNKI), Web of Science, Wan Fang database, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), China Science and Technology Journal Database and China Biomedical Literature Database (CBM) until June 23rd, 2022. The search was not restricted by language and publication date. We used combined terms medical subject headings and text words around “hip fractures”, “resistance training”, “aerobic exercise”, “postural balance”, “muscle strength”, “weight-bearing exercise” and “randomized controlled trial” to search for relevant studies. In addition, in order to ensure the comprehensiveness of the search results, we manually searched the references of published meta-analyses and grey literature, such as conference proceedings and academic degree dissertations. The full search strategies were available in Supplement File S2.

Inclusion criteria and literature screening

According to the PICOS guidelines, we conducted a literature screening. The detailed inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) participants were diagnosed with hip fracture according to X-ray and computed tomography (CT) scan26; (2) the intervention group include anyone type of exercise intervention (such as AE, RE, BE); (3) the control group received usual care and did not receive a structured exercise intervention; (4) at least included one of the specified outcomes (hip function, ADL, walking capacity, balance ability); (5) study design is RCT. Exclusion criteria were as follow: (1) participants were complicated with other diseases, such as dementia; (2) mixed different interventions were reported in literature; (3) raw data were incomplete or could not be acquired in the literature; (4) study design was non-randomized clinical trials, case reports, reviews or protocols. The first step was to eliminate duplication using Endnote X9 software. Afterward, two researchers independently selected references by reading the titles and abstracts of references. Finally, we further screened the full texts of relevant studies. The disagreement was resolved by the third reviewer.

Data extraction and outcomes measurement

Two investigators independently extracted the data and cross-checked the results. The following data were extracted from each article: (1) title, journal, first author, year of publication; (2) age, gender and baseline condition of included participants; (3) sample size, intervention type, intervention duration, region of included studies; (4) the primary outcome and secondary outcomes for all the included studies. We have extracted data including mean values and standard deviation or standard error of the mean of inclusion studies. In the event of uncertainty regarding crucial information and data in included studies, the original researcher was contacted via email to procure necessary data for this study.

The hip function of the patient was assessed as a primary outcome by the Harris hip scoring scale. Secondary outcomes included ADL, walking capacity and balance ability of the participants. ADL was measured by the Barthel index or ADL scale. Walking ability was measured by a six-minute walk test. Berg Balance Scale was used to measure balance ability.

Risk of bias and quality assessment

Two researchers independently assessed the risk of bias (ROB) for all included studies according to the Cochrane Collaboration’s risk of bias tool27. These studies were graded as having low, high or unclear ROB based on the following items: random sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of participants, blinding of the outcome assessor, incomplete data, selective reporting, and other sources of bias.

Data analyses

The I2 statistic was used to determine the degree of heterogeneity between studies, with values of 25%, 50%, and 75% respectively representing low, moderate, and high heterogeneity28, respectively. We first judged whether the measurement tools were consistent between studies, then we presented continuous outcomes using weighted mean differences (WMD) or standardized mean differences (SMD) with 95% confidence interval. If the standard deviation (SD) is missing,we estimate missing SD by standard errors, confidence interval, t-value, and P-value for single or combined conversion29,30.

Transitivity assumption could further impact the validity of NMA31. We considered transitivity by assessing clinical and methodological comparability, such as subjects and study design. Parameters were assessed using maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference for indirect efficacy comparisons, we conducted NMA based on hierarchical Bayesian models to compare the effects of different EIs. The direct and indirect comparison results in a network diagram were presented using the method of multivariate meta-analysis32. Three Markov chains were initialized to assess convergence33, then the chain for 50,000 iterations was run and the first 20,000 Markov Chain Monte Carlo iterations were discarded as burn in34. Moreover, we assessed convergence of each parameter using trace history and Brooks–Gelman–Rubin diagnostic plots35. Besides, we compared the efficacy of various EIs in patients with hip fracture, and the effect size of each EI will be expressed as MD and 95% credible interval (95%CrI), we ranked the EIs effects according to the cumulative ranking probability curve (surface under the cumulative ranking area, SUCRA). A larger SUCRA value implies more effective interventions because SUCRA values reflect an intervention's effectiveness36. We assessed inconsistency by fitting both an inconsistency model and a consistency model. Node-splitting method was used to assess whether direct and indirect evidence on a specific node was in agreement37. If the difference was not statistically significant (p > 0.05), it indicated that the result of direct comparison and indirect comparison was consistent38. Publication bias were identified with funnel plots, whereby asymmetries in the funnel plot indicated publication bias39. All analyses were performed using Stata version 14.0 (StataCorp, College Station, TX, USA) and OpenBUGS version 3.2.3.

Results

Baseline selection

A total of 55,888 articles were identified after an initial database search and 20,743 studies were removed after the removal of duplicates. After the screening of titles and abstracts, 34,760 studies did not meet the eligibility criteria, afterward, a total of 390 articles were selected for full-text screening, 5 of which were from manual searches. After the full-text screening, 344 records were excluded due to various reasons: 32 studies enrolled the participants who were diagnosed with multiple fractures, 50 studies were not RCTs, 103 studies without including EIs that we defined in this study, 115 studies lacked appropriate outcomes, 44 studies reported the data that could not be extracted. Finally, 46 studies were included for NMA (Supplement File S3). The flow diagram of the PRISMA screening process was provided in Fig. 1.

Figure 1
figure 1

Selection of studies for inclusion. EI exercise-based intervention, HF hip fracture, NMA network meta-analysis, RCT randomized controlled trial.

Characteristics of included trials

Characteristics of the included studies in this NMA were presented in Table 1. Forty-six studies included 3,286 participants aged between 52 to 85 years and the data were published between 1997 and 2022. Moreover, participants were mostly female (56.9%) and most of the interventions lasted from 12 to 24 weeks. Regarding the regions where the research was carried out, 4 studies were conducted in the USA, 12 studies in Europe, 27 studies were in Asia and the remaining 3 in other regions.

Table 1 The characteristics of studies included in the NMA.

Network meta-analysis

Evidence networks about four outcome indicators were shown in Fig. 2. One of the evidence networks was a three-arm study, the others were two-arm studies. The size of the dots represented different EIs and the lines connecting them represented the direct comparison of EIs.

Figure 2
figure 2

Network meta-analysis of eligible comparisons for hip function (A), activities of daily living (B), walking capacity (C), and balance ability (D).

Primary outcome and secondary outcome

The primary clinical outcome for our study was hip function, 31 studies (2395 participants) were included. RE (MD = − 11.07, 95%CrI: − 15.07, − 7.08), BE (MD = − 8.79, 95%CrI: − 13.41, − 4.18), MSE (MD = − 5.35, 95%CrI: − 9.70, − 0.95) showed statistically significant benefits compared with control group (CG). Besides, RE (MD = − 8.86, 95%CrI: − 15.01, − 2.71) (MD = − 9.09, 95%CrI: − 14.20, − 3.98) were superior to WBE and AE. BE (MD = − 6.58, 95%CrI: − 13.12, − 0.02) (MD = − 6.81, 95%CrI: − 12.42, − 1.22) was significantly better than WBE and AE. Based on the effectiveness of prognosis for patients with hip fracture, we employed SUCRA to rank five interventions: RE (94.8%) and BE (81.1%) were significantly effective, MSE (57.6%) and WBE (31.3%) had relatively low efficacy, AE (29.5%) was efficacy while CG (5.9%) (Table 2 and Supplement Fig. S1). No obvious heterogeneity was detected for hip function (SD = 0.1987). The test of global inconsistency did not show any significant difference for the hip function (p-value = 0.5572). The funnel plots did not show symmetric distribution, indicating a hint of publication bias (Supplement Fig. S2).

Table 2 Relative effect sizes of different exercise interventions’ efficacy based on hip function.

The secondary outcomes of this study were ADL, walking capacity and balance ability. For ADL, 33 studies (2,496 participants) were included. BE (MD = − 17.38, 95%CrI: − 23.77, − 11.04), WBE (MD = − 9.66, 95%CrI: − 13.99, − 5.32), RE (MD = − 7.73, 95%CrI: − 10.88, − 4.58), MSE (MD = − 4.96, 95%CrI: − 9.27, − 0.67), AE (MD = − 4.64, 95%CrI: − 8.23, − 1.04) were significant than the CG. In addition, BE was significantly superior to WBE, RE, MSE, AE in improving patients’ ADL. The SUCRA analysis indicated that BE (98.4%) had the highest probability of being the most effective EI, followed by, WBE (73.4%), RE (59.8%), MSE (35.2%), AE (31.8%). (Supplement Fig. S3 and Table S1) No obvious heterogeneity was detected for ADL (SD = 0.1865). The results of the inconsistency test (inconsistency factor [IF] = 0.09, 95% confidence interval[95%CI]:0.00 to 4.06) showed no inconsistency for the outcome of ADL (Supplement Fig. S4). The examination results of the funnel plot for ADL indicated that there was publication bias. (Supplement Fig. S5).

The remaining two outcome indicators for the EIs were walking capacity and balance ability. RE (MD = − 4.97, 95%CrI: − 8.51, − 1.44) could significantly improve the walking capacity of patients compared with that of CG. Moreover, the study results indicated that BE (MD = − 7.98, 95%CrI: − 11.77, − 4.23) and RE (MD = − 5.87, 95%CrI: − 9.27, − 2.44) were more effective than CG in improving walking capacity and balance ability (Supplement Tables S2 and S3). The SUCRA values resulting in top-ranked classes for walking capacity were RE (81.9%) and for balance ability were BE (88.4%) (Supplement Fig. S6). For walking capacity, the result of the inconsistency test (IF = 0.22, 95%CI 0.00 to 2.32) was shown in Supplement Fig. S7. No obvious heterogeneity was detected for walking capacity (SD = 0.1661). For balance ability, no inconsistency was found through global and loop-specific approach (p-value = 0.8547). Mild heterogeneity was detected for balance ability (SD = 0.5814). A comparison-adjusted funnel plot of walking capacity and balance ability were displayed in Supplement Fig. S8, indicating the existence of publication bias.

Quality of the included studies

Details of the ROB assessments were presented in Supplement Figs. S9 and S10. Thirty-nine studies described the methods for random sequence generation in detail and only 19 studies described the allocation concealment. Blinding was designed for participants and investigators in 14 studies and outcome assessors in 16 studies. The outcomes of 41 studies were largely complete, and detailed descriptions were made of the rates and reasons for loss to follow-up. Thirty-four studies reported all prespecified (primary and secondary) outcomes in detail. In the 39 studies, the baseline data of the intervention group and the control group were comparable.

Discussion

This NMA confirmed that EIs were beneficial for hip fracture patients' hip function, ADL, walking capacity and balance ability. Furthermore, we found that RE and BE were the most effective rehabilitation exercises for functional recovery and capacity improvement after surgery.

In our study, RE (SUCRA: 94.8%) and BE (SUCRA: 81.1%) were beneficial to hip function of patients. In comparison with CG in included studies, BE (SUCRA: 88.4%) and RE (SUCRA: 66.1%) were more effective in improving balance ability of patients. Meta-analysis showed that RE could improve physical function, balance, lower-limb strength in patients with hip fracture40,41, which is consistent with the results of our study. Hermann42 also reported that progressive explosive-type RTs could significantly reduce exercise-related pain and increase leg muscle power, thus maintain body balance. Although the potential mechanism for RE improving balance ability and hip function is unclear, some findings have shown that RE activated the PI3K/Akt/mTOR and AMPK/Sirt1 signaling pathways and inhibited the NFκB/NLRP3/IL-1β signaling pathway, in addition, it also increased muscle oxygen consumption, induced muscle protein synthesis, and increased skeletal muscle mass and function43. Moreover, RE also downregulated the autophagy-specific protein LC31/LC3-1 ratio, reduced p62 protein levels and increased autophagy-regulating proteins such as Beclin1, ATG5\12\7, improved myocyte autophagy impairment and helped to maintain skeletal muscle strength and muscle mass44. Adequate muscle and bone mass is important for maintaining hip function and balance in postural maintenance and dynamic daily activities, several mechanisms explained that RE had a beneficial effect on patients with hip fracture. In addition, RE of the muscles around the hip can be effective in improving hip function by gradually increasing joint mobility, increasing the amount of movement and preventing joint adhesions45. BE aims to maintain gait stability and prevent fall occurrence, including multiple types of balance exercises, such as single-leg standing balance, balance capacity after sudden perturbation, and postural control46. Unipedal standing BE was applied to 527 elderly patients47, which demonstrated the effectiveness of preventing falls and improving balance ability. Our results also agreed well with those of a previous study by Lima48. BE could strengthen the coordination and balance after hip fracture by enhancing erector spinae and gluteus medius muscle activity49. Furthermore, BE could reduce overactive proprioceptive feedback and restore vestibular orientation in patients50, which helped to prevent the occurrence of falls and maintain balance. Aging could cause joint stiffness and impair muscle strength, which are all risk factors for balance51. The implementation of BE may result in heightened muscle strength, notable advancements in the patient's capacity to shift their center of gravity, improved postural stability and balance, expedited functional recuperation of the lower extremities, and enhanced mobility of the hip joint and hip function.

Based on the cumulative ranking results, BE (SUCRA: 98.4%) and WBE (SUCRA: 73.4%) were superior to CG in improving ADL of patients. BE is an inexpensive and effective treatment means for hip fracture, its effectiveness in improving ADL is gradually being proved52, which is in agreement with our study results. This may be related to the fact that BE enables the patient to gradually perform bed-chair transfers and sit-to-stand transfers independently, thereby improving the patient's trunk control and ADL53. WBE has been regarded as the principal physical activity for promoting bone health54. The findings of our study indicate that WBE rank second in terms of effectiveness in enhancing ADL among patients, after BE. Warren55 compared WBE group with the non-weight-bearing group found that early WBE could improve physical fitness and mobility, and directly facilitate the improvement of ADL. This may be early WBE can stimulate the proliferation and differentiation of osteoblasts, accelerate bone tissue growth, promote functional recovery, and thus improve ADL56,57. However, in the affected limb, excessive WBE might lead to osteonecrosis or delayed healing. Therefore, there is a lack of consensus on WBE standards, and relevant research should be strengthened in the future to fill this gap.

The results of SUCRA showed that RE and MSE have better efficacy in improving walking capacity for patients with hip fracture. It might relate to the mechanism that RE activates Akt activity and FGF21 gene, reduces skeletal muscle decay, maintains joint mobility and improves walking capacity58. MSE for patients recovering from hip fracture may be necessary to further reduce skeletal muscle inflammation and improve muscle function. MSE is based on a correct biomechanical and kinematic analysis to train the patient in muscle strength and hip stability. Mitchell59 implemented quadriceps’ strength training, the result suggested that the knee strength of the patients in the trained group significantly increased (157%) during quadriceps extension compared with that in the untrained group (63%). Furthermore, a systematic review60 has shown that quadriceps training programmers can improve leg extensor power and walking efficiency. The possible mechanism was that MSE could promote the proliferation of activated satellite cells and produce new myocytes61. Therefore, MSE could improve muscle strength and coordination, restore the greater walking ability to the patient. Furthermore, patients were prone to sedentary behavior after hip fracture, which would cause a more pronounced decrease in the number and strength of muscle fibers, and lead to muscle atrophy62, targeted muscle training might prevent symptoms from getting worse. However, the RCT literature included in this study had a short follow-up period, further high‐quality and long-term follow-up RCTs were recommended to examine long‐term effectiveness and benefits for patients with hip fracture.

With the aging of the population and the extension of life expectancy, the incidence of hip fracture is increasing. EIs have become a crucial means of enhancing hip function and ADL in hip fracture patients. This research has discovered that RE and BE are the most effective EIs for improving hip function and ADL in hip fracture patients, with broad applicability, cost-effectiveness, and comprehensiveness. Besides, they are suitable for implementation in both in-hospital and home-based rehabilitation settings. Therefore, this study provides novel evidence for hip fracture rehabilitation and holds significant reference value for promoting patient recovery.

Strengths and limitations

The present study has the following strengths. First, our study is the first time to use NMA to verify the effectiveness of different EIs after hip fracture, and made up for the inadequacies of traditional meta-analysis in indirectly comparing multiple interventions. The language and publication date were not restricted in our study, our literature search strategy used multiple databases to identify as many studies as possible, the sample size is large and representative.

The limitations of our study should be discussed. A key limitation is the findings of our NMA that might have been influenced by large heterogeneity reported from different included studies, for example, some of them lacked the blindness in participation, intervenors or outcome assessors. Additionally, there was no standardized definition for nursing measures for the control group, in the included literature, some controls were given usual care and some literature controls were given usual physical activity, which led to uncertainty in the results of the study. Ultimately, the elderly population represents a demographic with a heightened likelihood of experiencing hip fractures. However, upon conducting a literature search, it was discovered that individuals within the age range of 50 to 60 years were at increased risk for hip fracture. Given the wide dissemination of the results, we incorporated this population into our study, not solely consisting of the elderly population.

Given the rapidly expanding population of older adults worldwide and the potential advantages of EI, including its cost-effectiveness, safety considerations and potential benefits, it is imperative to refine EI programs and conduct high-quality EIs for patients with hip fracture in the future research. We believe that our study provides evidence with rehabilitation success of patients with hip fracture. As an illustration, a study published subsequent to our literature search period had highlighted the effectiveness of EIs, gait and muscle strength were improved significantly for patients with hip fracture after 16-week intervention63. Hence, our research has the potential for fueling subsequent developments and research in the field of hip fracture rehabilitation, it is expected to be widely used in orthopaedic rehabilitation field and provides novel evidence and reference values. The results of this study help healthcare practitioners to formulate optimal rehabilitation protocols for patients with hip fractures, which promotes optimal care for patients with hip fractures.

Conclusions and implications

In summary, our study might provide strong evidence about RE as the optimal intervention in improving hip function for patients with hip fracture and offers implications for future studies. In addition, we have demonstrated that BE can improve ADL and balance for patients. However, due to insufficient literature numbers and moderate quality of studies, the results should be interpreted cautiously. Among the multitudinous exercise-based strategies, RE and BE as two of the most promising perspectives should continue to be explored and applied.