Correction to: Nature Communications https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44415-4, published online 03 January 2024

The original version of this Article contained an error in discussed annual exceedance probabilities (AEP)s, which corresponded with Figs. 1 and 2, and Supplementary Figs. 2, 11, and 12. The correct version includes the correct AEP discussions. This has been corrected in both the PDF and HTML versions of the Article.