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| Open AccessGeneration of gravity waves from thermal tides in the Venus atmosphere
Gravity waves are observed in Venus atmosphere, but their characteristics are not well-known. Here, the authors show spontaneous generation of gravity waves from the thermal tides in the Venus atmosphere as small-scale gravity waves are resolved in high-resolution general circulation model.
- Norihiko Sugimoto
- , Yukiko Fujisawa
- & Yoshi-Yuki Hayashi
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Article
| Open AccessElectromagnetic power of lightning superbolts from Earth to space
Superbolts are powerful, rare lightning events. Here, the authors show simultaneous satellite and ground measurements of a superbolt, and demonstrate different properties of superbolts and lightnings.
- J.-F. Ripoll
- , T. Farges
- & S. Pédeboy
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Article
| Open AccessSpurious North Tropical Atlantic precursors to El Niño
It has been suggested that sea surface temperatures in the North Tropical Atlantic exert strong influence on the evolution of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Here, the authors argue that observed statistics are fully consistent with ENSO driving climate variations in the Atlantic and not vice versa.
- Wenjun Zhang
- , Feng Jiang
- & Axel Timmermann
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| Open AccessDeep learning for bias correction of MJO prediction
The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a crucial component of the tropical weather system, but forecasting it has been challenging. Here, the authors present a deep learning bias correction method that significantly improves multi-model forecasts of the MJO amplitude and phase for up to four weeks.
- H. Kim
- , Y. G. Ham
- & S. W. Son
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Article
| Open AccessOcean surface energy balance allows a constraint on the sensitivity of precipitation to global warming
There is some disagreement between climate models about how much precipitation changes under global warming. Here, the authors use the ocean surface energy balance to constrain the sensitivity of precipitation to historical warming and find that it is increasing by 0.68 ± 0.51% per degree warming.
- Wei Wang
- , T. C. Chakraborty
- & Xuhui Lee
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Article
| Open AccessSkilful predictions of the Asian summer monsoon one year ahead
Long-range predictions of the Asian summer monsoon remain challenging due to its complex atmosphere–land–ocean interactions. Here, the authors show that a large ensemble of model simulations can predict the Asian summer monsoon and associated summer tropical cyclone activity more than one year ahead.
- Yuhei Takaya
- , Yu Kosaka
- & Shuhei Maeda
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| Open AccessIncreased autumn and winter precipitation during the Last Glacial Maximum in the European Alps
What controlled changes of glaciers in the European Alps at the time of their largest extent, about 25,000 years ago, is not well known. Here, the authors use cryogenic carbonates in caves to show that heavy snowfall during autumn and early winter was the main source of glacier growth.
- C. Spötl
- , G. Koltai
- & H. Cheng
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| Open AccessImpact of equatorial Atlantic variability on ENSO predictive skill
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a key mode of climate variability with worldwide climate impacts. Here, the authors show that improved representation of summer equatorial Atlantic variability and its lagged teleconnection mechanism with the Pacific, relates to enhanced predictive capacity of autumn/winter ENSO.
- Eleftheria Exarchou
- , Pablo Ortega
- & Chloé Prodhomme
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| Open AccessOcean fronts and eddies force atmospheric rivers and heavy precipitation in western North America
Atmospheric rivers are responsible for much of the poleward water vapour transport in the mid-latitudes and can cause extreme precipitation after landfall. Here, the authors show that ocean fronts and eddies can influence atmospheric rivers and increase the associated precipitation along the North American west coast.
- Xue Liu
- , Xiaohui Ma
- & Christina M. Patricola
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Article
| Open AccessDiabatic heating governs the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño
The relative roles of the ocean and atmosphere for the Atlantic Niño is poorly understood. Here, we show that its seasonality is governed by atmospheric diabatic heating that is associated with the seasonal migration of the inter-tropical convergence zone.
- Hyacinth C. Nnamchi
- , Mojib Latif
- & Ingo Richter
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| Open AccessTrans-basin Atlantic-Pacific connections further weakened by common model Pacific mean SST biases
Many climate models failed to reproduce the eastern Pacific cooling that has been linked to slower warming in the early 20th century. Here, the authors present a feedback mechanism between the tropical Pacific and the Atlantic which contributes to this bias as it further dampens the Pacific cooling response in models.
- Chen Li
- , Dietmar Dommenget
- & Shayne McGregor
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| Open AccessInter-hemispheric synchroneity of Holocene precipitation anomalies controlled by Earth’s latitudinal insolation gradients
Solar insolation is not equally distributed on the Earth’s surface and such imbalances influence the atmospheric circulation. Here, the authors show that latitudinal insolation gradients synchronized the hydroclimate in the Northern mid-latitudes and the African and South American Monsoons throughout the Holocene.
- Michael Deininger
- , Frank McDermott
- & Denis Scholz
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| Open AccessRecent fall Eurasian cooling linked to North Pacific sea surface temperatures and a strengthening Siberian high
In the last years, an extensive winter cooling over central Eurasia has been discussed widely. Here, the authors show that from 2004–2018, the Eurasian cooling in autumn is stronger than that in winter, and that this autumn cooling is likely influenced by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Siberian high.
- Baofu Li
- , Yupeng Li
- & Xun Shi
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Article
| Open AccessVegetation forcing modulates global land monsoon and water resources in a CO2-enriched climate
Monsoon systems have strong impacts on precipitation and food security over large areas of the world. Here, the authors show that plant responses to rising CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere play a key role in modulating seasonal rainfall and water resources over global land monsoon regions.
- Jiangpeng Cui
- , Shilong Piao
- & Gabriel J. Kooperman
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Article
| Open AccessEquatorial mountains on Pluto are covered by methane frosts resulting from a unique atmospheric process
Pluto is covered by numerous deposits of methane. Here, the authors show that the formation of methane frost on mountain tops and crater rims in Pluto’s equatorial regions completely differ from those forming snow-capped mountains on Earth.
- Tanguy Bertrand
- , François Forget
- & William M. Grundy
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| Open AccessSignificant increase of global anomalous moisture uptake feeding landfalling Atmospheric Rivers
Increasing atmospheric temperatures are expected to have various impacts on the global water cycle. Here, the authors show that there is an intensification of atmospheric rivers, that causes enhanced evapotranspiration and thus atmospheric moisture uptake in many regions of the world.
- Iago Algarra
- , Raquel Nieto
- & Luis Gimeno
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Article
| Open AccessReconstructing the electrical structure of dust storms from locally observed electric field data
Electrification is naturally generated in dust storms but its structures remain largely unknown. Here, the authors present an inversion model to reconstruct such structures based on the locally observed electric field data, showing that dust storms exhibit a three-dimensional mosaic charge pattern.
- Huan Zhang
- & You-He Zhou
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| Open AccessA transient enhancement of Mercury’s exosphere at extremely high altitudes inferred from pickup ions
Mercury has a global dayside exosphere that is very tenuous and does not extend far from the planet. Here, the authors show enhancement of neutral densities at high altitudes inferred from pickup ions that is most likely caused by the impact of a meteroid.
- Jamie M. Jasinski
- , Leonardo H. Regoli
- & Neil Murphy
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| Open AccessSoil moisture dominates dryness stress on ecosystem production globally
Dryness stresses vegetation and can lead to declines in productivity, increased emission of carbon, and plant mortality, but the drivers of this stress remain unclear. Here the authors show that soil moisture plays a dominant role relative to atmospheric water demand over most global land vegetated areas.
- Laibao Liu
- , Lukas Gudmundsson
- & Sonia I. Seneviratne
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| Open AccessGlobal temperature modes shed light on the Holocene temperature conundrum
Proxy reconstructions show a decreasing trend from the Middle to Late Holocene, which conflicts with model results showing an increasing trend. Statistical analysis of model output shows that these conflicting results originate from two distinct modes of variability, which dominate at different regions and times.
- Jürgen Bader
- , Johann Jungclaus
- & Martin Claussen
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| Open AccessForecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events
Extreme events high up in the winter stratosphere are known to influence our weather and their predictability has potential to improve seasonal weather forecasts. Here, the authors examine factors that influence their generation and highlight a previously unrecognised sensitivity to the upper equatorial stratosphere.
- L. J. Gray
- , M. J. Brown
- & J. Anstey
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| Open AccessLarge influence of dust on the Precambrian climate
Dust emissions are likely to increase significantly when land vegetation is absent, such as during the Precambrian period. Here, the authors use climate simulations to find that high dust emissions in the Precambrian could have cooled the global climate by ~10 °C.
- Peng Liu
- , Yonggang Liu
- & Yongyun Hu
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Article
| Open AccessDynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern
The asymmetry between El Niño and La Niña episodes in the tropical Pacific is often not well represented in models. Here, the authors show that this asymmetry is related to subsurface nonlinear dynamical heating and that a realistic representation of this process can potentially improve tropical climate projections.
- Michiya Hayashi
- , Fei-Fei Jin
- & Malte F. Stuecker
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| Open AccessEnd of Green Sahara amplified mid- to late Holocene megadroughts in mainland Southeast Asia
The mid-Holocene has seen a number of climate shifts, which have been associated with societal changes. Here, the authors investigate in a centuries long megadrought in Southeast Asia during the mid-Holocene, possibly caused by the end of the Green Sahara period.
- Michael L. Griffiths
- , Kathleen R. Johnson
- & Natasha Sekhon
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Article
| Open AccessStable machine-learning parameterization of subgrid processes for climate modeling at a range of resolutions
Machine learning has been used to represent small-scale processes, such as clouds, in atmospheric models but this can lead to instability in simulations of climate. Here, the authors demonstrate a use of machine learning in an atmospheric model that leads to stable simulations of climate at a range of grid spacings.
- Janni Yuval
- & Paul A. O’Gorman
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Article
| Open AccessEffects of climate change on the movement of future landfalling Texas tropical cyclones
How climate change affects the translation speed of tropical cyclones has been the subject of intensive debate. Here, the authors use models to show that future regional changes in the steering winds lead to faster-moving tropical cyclones as they make landfall in Texas.
- Pedram Hassanzadeh
- , Chia-Ying Lee
- & Laurence Y. Yeung
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Article
| Open AccessMineral dust increases the habitability of terrestrial planets but confounds biomarker detection
In this study, the authors investigate in the influence of atmospheric dust on the habitability of exoplanets. They find that atmospheric dust may postpone planetary water loss; for tidally locked planets in particular, dust can significantly widen the habitable zone by cooling the day side and warming the night side.
- Ian A. Boutle
- , Manoj Joshi
- & Krisztian Kohary
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Article
| Open AccessOcean and land forcing of the record-breaking Dust Bowl heatwaves across central United States
In the 1930s, the US was hit by a severe drought and record-breaking heatwaves in a period known as the Dust Bowl. Here, the authors present model experiments that suggest that warm North Atlantic temperatures and human devegetation played key roles in making these heatwaves particularly strong.
- Tim Cowan
- , Gabriele C. Hegerl
- & Benjamin Ng
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Article
| Open AccessEmergent constraints on future projections of the western North Pacific Subtropical High
Model biases and internal variability are a cause for uncertainties in climate projections. Here, the authors show that 45% of projected uncertainty in the western Pacific Subtropical High can be reduced by correcting sea surface temperature biases in the equatorial Pacific and beneath marine stratocumulus clouds.
- Xiaolong Chen
- , Tianjun Zhou
- & Minghuai Wang
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Article
| Open AccessMultilayer hazes over Saturn’s hexagon from Cassini ISS limb images
The authors analyze a system of multi-layered hazes above Saturn’s hexagonal-wave cloud tops in the visual range. Analyses suggest the formation to be caused by condensation processes, and the vertical distribution of stacked layers by the upward propagation of internal gravity waves.
- A. Sánchez-Lavega
- , A. García-Muñoz
- & J. Peralta
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Article
| Open AccessTropical cyclone rainbands can trigger meteotsunamis
Tropical cyclones can cause severe damage, in particular through flooding of coastal areas. Here, the authors show that in addition to known impacts, tropical cyclone rainbands can cause meteotsunami waves that can contribute significantly to the total water levels and hence flooding risks.
- Luming Shi
- , Maitane Olabarrieta
- & John C. Warner
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Article
| Open AccessDust tides and rapid meridional motions in the Martian atmosphere during major dust storms
The authors here present the diurnal tides of dust within the southern Martian atmosphere. The dust tides imply a fast meridional exchange of heat and materials on Mars and allow water content near the summer pole to be rapidly transported to the middle latitudes in the nighttime which is then lifted by daytime deep convection.
- Zhaopeng Wu
- , Tao Li
- & Jun Cui
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Article
| Open AccessReconciling the disagreement between observed and simulated temperature responses to deforestation
Models show a cooler surface temperature response to deforestation than observations which has been attributed to uncertainties in the models. A comparison of satellite observations and model experiments shows that the disagreement is due to the role of atmospheric feedbacks, which are not well captured in the observational space-for-time approach.
- Liang Chen
- & Paul A. Dirmeyer
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Article
| Open AccessMidwinter Arctic leads form and dissipate low clouds
Cracks in Arctic sea ice (leads) are becoming more prevalent and widespread, yet studies regarding their impacts on clouds are limited. Here, contrary to the present understanding, diverse observations and modelling simulations show that higher leads concentrations do not necessarily result in more low clouds.
- Xia Li
- , Steven K. Krueger
- & Sally Benson
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Article
| Open AccessA wind-albedo-wind feedback driven by landscape evolution
Wind changes the surface of the Earth, but the surface characteristics of the planet also impact the winds above it. Here, the authors propose a feedback process in which wind erosion in the western Gobi Desert alters the thermal properties of the surface, which in turn increases near-surface winds.
- Jordan T. Abell
- , Alex Pullen
- & Gisela Winckler
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Article
| Open AccessAbsence of internal multidecadal and interdecadal oscillations in climate model simulations
The existence of regular decadal or longer climate oscillations has been the subject of intensive discussion. Here, statistical analysis of observational data and a large ensemble of model simulations show no evidence for longer-term internal oscillations that are distinguishable from climatic noise.
- Michael E. Mann
- , Byron A. Steinman
- & Sonya K. Miller
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| Open AccessModulation of Indian monsoon by water vapor and cloud feedback over the past 22,000 years
Past Indian summer monsoon (ISM) changes are not well understood. The application of an energetic framework to a transient model simulation shows that ISM influences have changed in the past, with rising water vapor more important during deglaciation, whereas cloud feedbacks dominated during the Holocene.
- Chetankumar Jalihal
- , Jayaraman Srinivasan
- & Arindam Chakraborty
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Article
| Open AccessKey drivers of cloud response to surface-active organics
Aerosol-cloud interactions are a large source of uncertainty in radiative forcing estimates. Here, the authors show that the radiative effects of clouds are influenced by a combination of aerosol particle distribution, environmental conditions and atmosphere dynamics.
- S. J. Lowe
- , D. G. Partridge
- & I. Riipinen
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Article
| Open AccessMemory effects of Eurasian land processes cause enhanced cooling in response to sea ice loss
The connection between Arctic sea ice loss and mid-latitude cooling in Eurasia has been widely debated. Here, model experiments reveal that the persistence of sea ice loss-related snow and soil temperature anomalies in Eurasia may lead to further cooling in the following winters.
- Tetsu Nakamura
- , Koji Yamazaki
- & Jinro Ukita
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Article
| Open AccessGigantic jet discharges evolve stepwise through the middle atmosphere
Gigantic jets, lightning discharges originating from tropical thunderstorms that can reach the base of the ionosphere at 90 km altitude, have not been captured using high-speed video cameras before. Here, the first such images are reported, showing a step-wise evolution of gigantic jets during their rising phase.
- Oscar A. van der Velde
- , Joan Montanyà
- & Steven A. Cummer
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Article
| Open AccessStronger zonal convective clustering associated with a wider tropical rain belt
How the spatial patterns of deep convection affect the large-scale dynamics of the atmosphere remains an open question. Here, it is shown that if convection along the equator is clustered, the tropical rain belt widens and exhibits a double peak structure.
- Max Popp
- & Sandrine Bony
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Article
| Open AccessClimate change exacerbates hurricane flood hazards along US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts in spatially varying patterns
Tropical cyclone-induced coastal flooding will increase under climate change. Here the authors estimate the effects of sea level rise and tropical cyclone climatology change on late–21st–century flood hazards along the US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts and find that the effect of tropical cyclone change could surpass the effect of sea level rise at some areas in the Gulf of Mexico.
- Reza Marsooli
- , Ning Lin
- & Kairui Feng
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Article
| Open AccessTropical cyclones act to intensify El Niño
While it is known that the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences tropical cyclones, but little is known about a reverse effect. Here, data and model output shows that tropical cyclones can affect ENSO with a lead of 3 months, especially contributing to a significantly more intense El Niño in the winter months.
- Qiuyun Wang
- , Jianping Li
- & Yidan Xu
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Article
| Open AccessResolving Sahelian thunderstorms improves mid-latitude weather forecasts
Thunderstorms are commonly represented through simplified parametrizations in weather and climate models. Here it is shown that an increase in model resolution over West Africa, enabling the explicit modeling of Sahelian convective systems, can improve 5–8 day tropical and mid-latitude weather forecasts.
- Gregor Pante
- & Peter Knippertz
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Matters Arising
| Open AccessA critical examination of a newly proposed interhemispheric teleconnection to Southwestern US winter precipitation
- Peter B. Gibson
- , Duane E. Waliser
- & Michael J. DeFlorio
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Article
| Open AccessQuantifying gravity wave forcing using scale invariance
Parametrizations of unresolved small-scale atmospheric waves are an important source of uncertainty in climate models. Scale invariance is used to estimate the forcing of these small-scale waves and it is shown to have a leading order effect on the mean flow.
- Han-Li Liu
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Article
| Open AccessFast negative breakdown in thunderstorms
Recent studies have shown that lightning is initiated by a newly-recognized discharge process called fast positive breakdown. Here, the authors present observational evidence of fast breakdown but of negative polarity, seemingly contrary to current understanding of discharge physics.
- Julia N. Tilles
- , Ningyu Liu
- & Jennifer Wilson
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Article
| Open AccessThe role of enhanced velocity shears in rapid ocean cooling during Super Typhoon Nepartak 2016
A better understanding of typhoon–ocean interactions is critical for improving typhoon forecasts. Here the authors use data from two buoys that captured Super Typhoon Nepartak and combine it with numerical simulations to reveal the role of enhanced velocity shear in rapid upper-ocean cooling.
- Yiing Jang Yang
- , Ming-Huei Chang
- & Ching-Ling Wei
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Article
| Open AccessArctic amplification is caused by sea-ice loss under increasing CO2
The cause of Arctic amplification is still heavily debated. Here the authors present climate change simulations to show that sea-ice loss is essential for the existence of Arctic amplification.
- Aiguo Dai
- , Dehai Luo
- & Jiping Liu