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A study shows that regional atmospheric change driven by land-cover change contributes little to glacier mass loss on Tanzania’s Mount Kilimanjaro. More generally, this finding suggests that local land-cover change may have limited impact on mountain glaciers in the tropics and elsewhere, compared with that of global climate change.
Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD) has been widely discussed as a way of mitigating climate change while concurrently benefitting biodiversity. This study combines a global land-use model and spatial data on species distributions to quantify the potential impacts of REDD in avoiding global species extinctions.
Models and scenarios on which climate projection are based vary between IPCC reports. To facilitate meaningful comparison, this study provides probabilistic climate projections for different scenarios in a single consistent framework, incorporating the overall consensus understanding of the uncertainty in climate sensitivity, and constrained by the observed historical warming.
Identification of an enhanced centennial warming trend in ocean subtropical boundary currents has important implications for our understanding of how climate change is happening.
Fungal-based food webs of undisturbed grasslands resist and adapt to the effects of drought more than bacterial-based food webs of agricultural soils, indicating how soil biota might be able to withstand long-term climate change.
Deforestation contributes 6–17% of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. However, much uncertainty in the calculation of deforestation emissions stems from the inadequacy of forest carbon-density and deforestation data. Now an analysis provides the most-detailed estimate so far of the carbon density of vegetation and the associated carbon dioxide emissions from deforestation for ecosystems across the tropics.
One difficulty in anticipating the effects of climate change on agriculture is accounting for crop responses to extremely high temperatures. Now a remote-sensing study demonstrates accelerated ageing of wheat in northern India in response to extreme heat (>34 °C); an effect that reduces crop yields but is underestimated in most crop models.
A study shows that soil food webs directly help mitigate the effects of drought on soil nutrients. The fungal-based food webs of grassland were more resistant to bouts of drought than the bacterial-based food webs of intensively managed wheat, and retained more carbon and nitrogen in the soil.
An analysis indicates that the warm, powerful currents that flow along the western edges of ocean basins warmed more than twice as quickly than the global ocean as a whole over the past century. This enhanced warming could have important effects on climate because these currents affect the air–sea exchange of heat, moisture and carbon dioxide.
