Introduction

Knowledge of dietary requirements of wildlife species is fundamental to understand their physiology and ecology, to assess the adequacy of food resources and their availability, and to accordingly inform management and conservation planning1,2. Availability, accessibility, and nutritional quality of food resources can markedly affect population dynamics3 and determine the extent to which wildlife species resort to anthropogenic foods, thereby generating conflicts with humans4,5,6. Bears are large-bodied and highly opportunistic omnivores whose diet comprises a great diversity of vegetable matter and a variable amount of meat and invertebrates, with marked variation according to latitude, season, and habitat productivity7. Depending on local conditions, brown bears may cause conflicts with humans due to their ability to exploit anthropogenic food subsidies8,9,10. Especially in human-modified landscapes, detailed knowledge of the feeding ecology of bears can efficiently guide conservation planning11,12,13, and this is important to inform both long-term habitat management14,15 and management of food-conditioned bears16. Accordingly, a consistent number of dietary studies have been carried out on several bear populations7,8,17,18,19,20,21. These revealed that dietary differences reflect different nutritional and energetic requirements of male and female bears22,23, differences in their life cycle, as well as spatial and habitat segregation between sexes due to behavioural mechanisms19.

Traditionally, food-habit studies on bears have been conducted by means of scat analysis, a rather convenient and practical technique that nevertheless does not necessarily allow an adequate interpretation in terms of assimilated diet15,24,25. In addition, quantification of undigested remains in the scats may largely underestimate occurrence of soft and highly digestible food items, therefore undervaluing their relative nutritional contribution15,24,25. Alternatively, stable isotope analysis (SIA) of carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) has been increasingly applied to bears17,20,24,26,27,28. Based on whole organisms or samples of their tissues29,30,31,32, SIA is based on the evidence that isotopic values are directly related to the assimilated diet, since tissues are synthetized from the nutrients formerly assimilated, reflecting their isotopic composition in a predictable manner33,34. More recently, Bayesian mixing models have been used to discriminate the proportional contributions of different assimilated food items to the consumer diet28,35,36,37. Concerning Ursids, SIA has clarified some important issues regarding their feeding ecology that could otherwise not be resolved with traditional scat analysis, from the paleoecology of ancient or of extinct bears populations24,38, to the contribution of salmon in the assimilated diet of North American brown bears39, or the relevance of white-bark pine nuts for grizzly bears in the Yellowstone40,41. SIA has been also successfully applied to detect crop foraging bears21,42 and bears conditioned to anthropogenic foods20,43,44,45. SIA has also been applied to small and endangered bear populations (e.g., Asiatic black bears Ursus thibetanus26,27 and Hokkaido brown bear46,47) but, with the sole exception of the bear population in Slovenia48, we are not aware of any published works that use this technique to investigate the nutritional ecology of other brown bear populations in Europe.

In order to apply SIA, invasively collected tissue samples are costly, provide limited sample sizes, and are impractical when dealing with endangered populations49. Alternatively, non-invasive sampling is ideal for SIA applications26,27,42,50, especially for species whose hairs, vibrissae or feathers are relatively easy to collect26,27,51,52, and bears are no exception53,54,55. In particular, hairs act as an archive of past assimilated foods and can be harvested by non-invasive sampling or conveniently obtained through DNA-based population surveys55,56, where isotopic profiles can be reconstructed for individual bears18,20. Hairs are metabolically inert and the neosynthesized hair portion reflects the more recently assimilated diet57,58, not being affected by successive variation that may occur in the diet26,59,60. Therefore, a temporal sequence in diet composition can be retrospectively read across hair sections, progressing from the tip to the root of the hair57. Bears have a single annual moult, occurring in a lapse of time that spans from spring to summer40,60,61,62, and hair growth, at an approximate rate of 15 mm/month, lasts for the entire period of activity each year, from the moult until dormancy40,60,61,62. Therefore, comparing isotopic values of sequential sections of the hair provide a means to investigate variation in the diet that may take place during the hair growth period26,57,59,60,63. Accordingly, stable isotope analysis of hair sections has been successfully used to reconstruct bear diets40,64,65, detect temporal shifts in the diet21,25,44,66,67, and identify individual bears habituated to anthropogenic foods20,21,26,27,42.

Apennine brown bears (Ursus arctos marsicanus) survive as a relict and isolated autochthonous population of central Italy (Fig. 1), and are considered critically endangered at the European68 and the national69 scales. Despite long-time protection and conservation efforts, Apennine brown bears have not showed clear signs of recovery and range expansion in the past decades70,71, despite the availability of suitable habitat at its connectivity at the landscape scale72. In addition to elevated risks of human-caused mortality, accumulated deleterious mutations73 and a persistently small population size contribute to a substantial risk of extinction in the medium term, especially if environmental stochasticity is taken into account74. Similarly to other small and isolated bear populations75,76, a fundamental conservation strategy rests on habitat management to support range expansion and to ensure long term productivity of the habitat.

Figure 1
figure 1

Distribution of 35 bear hair samples used to apply Stable Isotope Analysis to assess the assimilated diet of Apennine brown bears. Hair samples were collected through four sampling strategies (Acc: accidental sampling, HS: hair-snagging; RAM: hair snagging at Rhamnus patches; RT: hair snagging at rub trees.) during a survey of the bear population in the Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park (Central Italy, June–September 2014).

Apennine bears feed on a large variety of herbaceous plants, wild fleshy fruits and hard mast, and show an important dependency on beechnuts13. Ants also represent a high-energy rich key-food especially during the summer77, while wild mammals (mainly ungulates) are consumed in the spring, though in lower proportions compared to other European brown bear populations. Thus, habitat productivity, heterogeneity of food sources, the close coexistence with humans and a variable interindividual diet can be critical for the survival of the Apennine brown bear population. In particular, previous investigations of the food habits of Apennine bears left unanswered relevant questions, namely13: (i) the extent of gender and individual variation in the diet23; (ii) the potential underestimation of meat consumption15,17,78; and (iii) the relative contribution of wild vs cultivated fleshy fruits in the diet, especially during fall. In addition, as depredation on livestock, crops and beehives occasionally occur in this bear population, where food-conditioned bears are being increasingly reported (P. Ciucci, pers. comm.), we were also interested in assessing the practical adoption of SIA to determine the dependency by individual bears on anthropogenic sources20,21,45.

We applied SIA to the Apennine bear population by taking advantage of individually DNA-identified hair samples collected in a 2014 non-invasive survey54. This provided the opportunity to extend and complement our current knowledge on the nutritional ecology of Apennine bears by testing the following research predictions: (i) the assimilated diet of adult Apennine female bears, according to their smaller size, differs from that of adult male bears23,39; (ii) the contribution of large mammals (i.e., wild and domestic ungulates) to the assimilated diet is higher, especially during spring, with respect to what previously determined from scat analysis13,39; (iii) due to the richness and diversity of fruit-bearing plants in the study area, the relative contribution of cultivated vs wild fleshy fruits to the assimilated diet is negligible; (iv) similar to SIA investigations in other bear populations with food-conditioned bears20,21,45, stable isotope profiles of Apennine bears allow identification of individuals with a higher degree of dependency on anthropogenic food sources. By applying SIA through hair section analysis, and accounting for both individual variation and natural vs anthropogenic foods, we exemplify how this technique con improve inference about diets of mammal species in a wide variety of systems.

Results

Isotopic signatures of bear key-foods and hair samples

We observed differences in the isotopic composition of bear key foods for both δ13C (ANOVA, Factor = “Food Category”, F7,189 = 76.51, p < 0.001, explained deviance ≈ 73%) and δ15N (ANOVA, Factor = “Food Category”, F7,189 = 64.56, p < 0.001, explained deviance ≈ 69%). In particular, herbs had the lowest δ13C and δ15N values, whereas cultivated vegetables had the highest δ15N values (Table 1; Fig. 2). Values of δ13C wild fleshy fruits, cultivated fleshy fruits, and hard masts were not different from each other (Tukey’s pairwise comparisons, p-value > 0.05 for both post-hoc comparisons). However, δ15N values of cultivated fleshy fruits were higher than both wild fleshy fruits (p-value < 0.05) and hard mast (p-value < 0.05). Ungulates had higher δ13C and δ15N values than wild fleshy fruits, cultivated fleshy fruit, and hard masts (p-values always < 0.01, except δ13C of hard masts p-value < 0.05). Furthermore, they had similar δ13C (p-value > 0.05) but higher δ15N compared to ants (p-value < 0.05).

Table 1 Mean isotopic ratios and elemental concentrations for sampled Apennine bear key foods in the National Park of Abruzzo Lazio and Molise, central Italy.
Figure 2
figure 2

Distributions of posterior probabilities of each diet type for Apennine brow bears provided by stable isotope mixing models with informative priors (Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park, central Italy, 2013–2014).

Isotopic signatures of bear hair sections and seasonal diet

Overall mean stable isotopic values of hair sections per individual bear were δ13C = − 22.1 ± 0.7‰ and δ15N = 3.1 ± 1.7‰, and we found no differences in the mean δ13C and δ15N values between hair sections sampled pre- and post-moult (ANOVA, Factors = “Sampling period”, F1,193 = 0.03, p > 0.5). We detected no differences in δ 13C values across seasons and sexes, although we revealed differences among individual bears (ANOVA, Factors = “BearID”, F26,174 = 7.9, p < 0.001, explained deviance ≈ 54%). However, we revealed differences in δ 15N values across seasons, sexes and individual bears (ANOVA, Factors = “Season + Sex + BearID”, F29,165 = 10.72, p < 0.001, explained deviance ≈ 60%). In spring and autumn, δ 15N values were lower compared with other seasons, and δ 15N values of male bears in these two seasons were higher compared with female bears (p < 0.005) (Table 2). Due to the particularly high δ13C values of C4 plants (Table 1), we failed to reveal corn consumption by the bears we sampled (Fig. 2). All the isotopic signature of the hair sections, except 2 (successively removed from the models), fell within the 95% mixing region (Supplementary Figure 1). In all seasons, the models that included the covariate “BearID” were the most supported (Table 3). At the population level, the estimated mean probability of consumption of herbs was 34.1% (CI 25.7–43.3%) in spring and 24.6% (CI 16.2–34.2%) in early summer, but was null in late summer and autumn (Table 4). According to the model “Sex + BearID” (Table 3), in spring, herbs appeared to be consumed more abundantly by female bears (33.6%; CI 24.7–43.1%) than males (25.9%; CI 3.8–65.3%) (Fig. 3). The probability of bears consuming cultivated vegetables was null in all seasons (Table 4).

Table 2 Mean carbon and nitrogen isotopic values across hair sections of Apennine brown bears according to gender and dietary season (Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park, central Italy, 2013–2014).
Table 3 Model selection of seasonal sets of Stable Isotope Mixing Models to assess factors affecting the assimilated diet of Apennine bears (June–September 2014, Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park, central Italy).
Table 4 Mixing model estimated dietary proportions of key foods categories for Apennine brown bears (Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park, central Italy, 2013–2014).
Figure 3
figure 3

Mean estimated posterior proportional dietary contribution for male (M) and female (F) Apennine Brown bears in the four dietary seasons (Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park, central Italy, June–September 2014). Circles represent the median contribution, of each key-food category, to bears diet, with 95% (thin lines) and 50% (thick lines) credibility intervals.

The mean probability of bears consuming ungulates was overall relatively low, with highest values observed in spring (7.4%; CI 3.8–12.9%) followed by early summer (4.6%; CI 2.0–9.5%), but null in late summer and autumn (Table 4), consistently between sexes, and individual bears.

Estimated ant consumption was marked in early summer (36.6%; 25.8–43.9%) but negligible in the other seasons. According to the models “Sex + BearID” (Table 3), during summer consumption of ants tended to be higher for female (34.5%; CI 25.9–43.5%) than male (19.1%; 4.2–39.9%) bears (Fig. 3).

Wild fleshy fruits were consumed mostly in late summer (59.2%; CI 49.3–68.4%) and in lower amount in early summer (21.0%; CI 13.2–30.0%) and autumn (10.9%; CI 5.6.1–17.5%) (Table 4), with no differences between female and males (Fig. 3). Cultivated fleshy fruits were consumed only in late summer (15.2%; CI 9.0–22.8%) and autumn (15.6%; CI 9.1–23.3%) (Table 4), without differences between sexes (Fig. 3). The estimated consumption of hard mast for the population peaked in autumn (67.4%; CI 57.6–76.1%), followed by spring (39.1%; CI 29.9–48.3%) and late summer (11.7%; CI 6.2–18.7%) (Table 4). During fall, males tended to exploit less hard mast (57.6%; CI 13.7–92.8%) than females (67.5%; CI 58.1–76.3%), while these differences waned in spring (Fig. 3).

Mean δ13C values of individual bears ranged from − 23.5 ± 0.3‰ to − 21 ± 0.3‰ (Supplementary Table S1), while mean δ15N values ranged from − 0.5 ± 0.6‰ to 5.4 ± 0.5‰ (Supplementary Table S1). We revealed remarkable individual variation in the consumption of herbs in spring, that ranged from 15.5% (CI 0.7–51.9%), for one food-conditioned female (FP01), to 73.3% (CI 5.7–95.1%; Supplementary Table S2). In late summer, the probability of wild fleshy fruits consumption was lowest for bear FP01 (33.9%, CI 2.1–77.4%) but highest for three non-management bears (F03: 81.9%, CI 16.4–98.7%; HS0853: 86.3%, CI 14.5–99.1%; M12: 87.7%, CI 10.9–99.2%) (Supplementary Table S2). In autumn, the proportion of cultivated fleshy fruits ranged from 2.4% (CI 0–14.5%) for bear M12 to 54.7% (CI 0–100%) for bear HS465 (Supplementary Table S2). Concerning hard mast, consumption in autumn ranged from 2.9% (CI 0–20.7%) for bear HS465 to 83.5% (CI 0–100%) for bear M12 (Supplementary Table S2), and in spring from 12.3% (CI 0.4–77.2%) for bear F09 to 60.3% (CI 8–50.4%) for bear F01(Supplementary Table S2).

We observed differences in δ 13C and δ 15N isotopic signatures between management and the other bears, with the former being 0.9‰ lower in δ 13C (ANOVA, Factors = “Season * Status”, F7,187 = 2.67, p < 0.05, explained deviance ≈ 5%) but 2.9‰ higher in δ 15N compared to non-management bears, in particular during fall (Fig. 4; ANOVA, Factors = “Season * Status”, F7,187 = 10.01, p < 0.001, explained deviance ≈ 25%). According to the model “Status”, compared to than management bears non-management bears exploited more herbs in spring (27.6%, CI 0–75.0%), more wild fleshy fruits both in early (33.0%, CI 2.1–74.4%) and late (78.5%, CI 7.7–97.4%) summer, and more hard mast in autumn (76.2%, 20.5–96.9%) (Fig. 5). On the other hand, management bears tended to consume greater proportions of meat (3.6%, CI 1.8–6.0%) in early summer, and of cultivated fleshy fruits both in late summer (15.5%, CI 9.0–22.8%) and autumn (15.4%, CI 9.3–23.1%) (Fig. 5).

Figure 4
figure 4

Stable isotope values (δ13C, upper panel, and δ15N, lower panel) of Apennine bear hair sections across the activity period (Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park, central Italy, June–September 2014). Dashed line indicates smoothed mean for the population and the grey shaded area its 95% confidence interval.

Figure 5
figure 5

Mean estimated posterior proportional dietary contribution for wild (WILD), unknown (UNKN) and management (MGNT) Apennine Brown bears in four dietary seasons (Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park, central Italy, June–September 2014). Circles represent the median contribution, of each key-food category, to bears diet, with 95% (thin lines) and 50% (thick lines) credibility intervals.

Discussion

This is the first application of stable isotopes analysis to the study of the feeding habits of the Apennine brown bears, and our findings functionally complement previous dietary knowledge based on traditional scat analysis13. Applying SIA to guard hair sections of Apennine bears allowed us to reconstruct their assimilated diet with an enhanced seasonal and individual resolution. Our findings confirm the importance of key foods, such as hard mast during autumn, fleshy fruits in late summer, and ants during early summer, for the maintenance and growth of bear tissues. By using hair sections of previously genotyped individual bears, we have found indications of dietary differences between female and male bears, confirmed a low contribution of meat (ungulates) compared to other brown bear populations, and failed to find a strong dependency on anthropogenic foods. Nevertheless, a single year of sampling and relatively small sample sizes for some season and sex/management status combinations, coupled with small effect sizes, somehow require cautious interpretation of some of our findings. By sampling in 2014 only, our diet description reflects conditions specifically met in the year of sampling and does not capture the expected year-to-year variation in foods available to bears. For example, the relatively high consumption of hard mast in spring that we reported (Table 4) is unlikely to occur in a typical year, except following mast years when overwintering hard mast may still be available to bears from the previous fall13. Likewise, the differences we found in the assimilated diet between male and female bears, or between bears of different management status, suffer from considerable uncertainty, as exemplified by the large overlap between the credibility intervals we reported (cf. Fig. 3). While these results hint at likely important differences, stronger statistical inference would benefit from longer, replicated studies and greater sample sizes.

SIA has been previously applied to several dietary studies on American black bears (Ursus americanus), Asiatic black bears, and brown bears20,26,27,28,35,60. Compared to these studies, and in particular to those comprising isotopically well separated items such as salmon19,65,66,79 or C4 plants21,42, the results of our mixing models were less obvious, although we sampled all key foods of Apennine brown bears. This is due to the similarity in the δ13C and δ15N values among the food sources that contribute to the Apennine bear’s diet, as also revealed in similar ecological conditions for brown bears in Slovenia48. Nevertheless, using adequate priors in mixing models we alleviated this issue, estimating the proportion of assimilated food sources with a seasonal resolution by individually-recognized bears. However, when dealing with stable isotope data, some degree of uncertainty is inherent in SIA, including natural variability in the sources’ isotopic signatures, variable TEF within a given species, different stable isotope ratios in different tissues, variations in the isotopic source and mixture process errors80. It has been recently recognized that the use of informative priors may introduce bias in the posterior estimations81,82, leading to erroneous representations of diet composition83,84,85. Nevertheless, we believe that incorporating informative priors based on non-isotopic data, such as prior knowledge on diet composition obtained with traditional dietary methods, in some cases can improve the precision of dietary reconstruction by SIMMs. This is especially true when dealing with food sources that overlap largely in the isotopic mixing space, as in the case we observed with hard mast, wild fleshy fruits, and cultivated fleshy fruits. In addition, when multiple sources have similar isotopic values, uninformative priors may equate each of these sources, rendering them of similar importance in the diet and resulting in a large degree of uncertainty86. Accordingly, we observed similar effects with herbs, hard mast, wild fleshy fruits, and cultivated fleshy fruits in our study area, all resources whose estimated proportion in the diet would have been the same had we used uninformative priors (Supplementary Figure S2). In addition, the adoption of uninformative priors can overestimate the consumption of a resource also in seasons when it is not available, as it might be the case with resources that are available for short bursts of time (i.e., ants in the bear summer diet13,77,87). We therefore believe that, in our case, models with informative priors are better suited to provide a more realistic estimation of the bear diet, and this is in line with evidence from other studies88, including those based on experimental feeding trials89,90. Moreover, in our case the adoption of informative priors allowed us to draw inference about the likely difference between the assimilated diet of male and female bears, or between that of management and non-management bears (covariates not directly influenced by priors), which was a relevant research question of our work.

Although we obtained indications of likely dietary differences between sexes and between management and non-management bears, most bears showed high variance in the δ13C and δ15N values and significant inter-individual differences in their seasonal isotopic patterns. Vegetable matter (herbs, fleshy fruits and hard mast) represented the major component of the assimilated diet across the dietary seasons, but neither C4 plants (corn) nor vegetable crops emerged as staple and recurrent foods for Apennine bears.

Brown bears are opportunistic consumers, and their trophic preferences are strictly related to the seasonal presence and abundance of food resources across multiple trophic levels7. Apennine bears are no exception and feed primarily on plant matter and acorns13. We did not observe any important contribution of terrestrial meat sources, such as wild ungulates or livestock, nor of vegetables derived from crops and gardens. Although we failed to detect differences in the consumption of ungulates by male and female bears, the high nitrogen isotopic signatures in male bears during spring and autumn could indeed be related to a major intake of animal protein by male bears. As expected, the consumption of ungulates by Apennine bears, and in particular by dominant male bears, can reflect scavenging on winter-killed ungulates or abandoned livestock carcasses91. Bear predation on free-ranging sheep and calves do occur in the Abruzzo Lazio and Molise National Park (PNALM) mostly during summer13,92, but in our analysis we could not discriminate between wild and domestic ungulates due to the similarity in their isotopic signatures. Compared to other European bears93,94, the low consumption of ungulates by Apennine bears can account for their smaller size, possibly enabling them to meet their energy requirements feeding at lower trophic levels than larger bears95,96,97. Moreover, we did not report any evidence of consumption of vegetable from farming. Isotopic signal of cultivated vegetables analyzed in this study were very high in δ15N, compared both to natural plant resources and to isotopic signal of bear hair sections, possibly accounting for the use of organic fertilizers98,99. Since none of the bears we sampled reflected such high δ15N values, it is reasonable to expect that cultivated vegetables are not largely consumed in this bear population. Furthermore, in early summer, our findings suggest a higher consumption of ants by females compared to males. The use of ants as food by bears occurs essentially during this season, when the availability of ants and their brood increased77,100,101,102. Our observations are congruent with a previous scat-analysis study according to which ants were estimated to provide an average of 35.7% of digestible energy to Apennine brown bears77, and with reports for brown and black bears8,100,103,104,105,106. Ants are rich in protein (up to 50%) and thus are an important source of essential amino acids100,107,108. They represent a consistent and easy-accessible food source, contributing to meet the additional energy and protein requirements for lactation and cub growth108. A greater ant consumption by female bears, as our findings seem to indicate, may also reduce intraspecific competition with males, thus mitigating the risk of infanticide18,19,22,39. Fleshy fruits were another important key food for Apennine bears, especially in late summer, when hard mast is not yet completely ripe, or also in autumn in mast-failure years13. Although fleshy fruits can be an excellent source of energy due to their high carbohydrate content, they can be very low in protein, in specific amino acids, or in other nutrients109. Fruits usually contain between 3 and 7% of crude protein, which is below the minimum/optimum dietary protein requirement (≈ 12–17%)109,110. This could explain why bears are inclined to consume fruits as part of a mixed diet, suggesting an optimization process between the cost of maintenance and the energy requirement, in accordance with the optimal foraging theory111.

Using SIA we were also able to discriminate between consumption of wild vs cultivated fleshy fruits, a crucial point not clarified in previous dietary studies13. Cultivated fleshy fruits had higher δ15N and δ13C values than wild fruits, likely revealing the use of organic fertilizers similarly to cultivated vegetables98,99. Based on this, we found that, although with high inter-individual variation, Apennine bears consumed up to 15% of cultivated fleshy fruits both in late summer and autumn, representing 20.3–66%, respectively, of all fleshy fruits consumed in these seasons. Despite the PNALM is a productive ecosystem of wild fruits for bears, such as Rhamnus, wild rose, wild pears and other wild fruit ripening during the hyperphagic phase13, the consumption of cultivated fleshy fruits that we revealed could be due to the availability of abandoned or easily accessible cultivations70.

Another relevant insight offered by our SIA application is the likely difference in δ15N and δ13C values between management and non-management bears. While the two bear categories shared similar isotopic values in spring, their difference was increasingly marked for the rest of the active period. During spring, herbaceous vegetation is an important source of energy and protein, and in particular newly sprouted plants that are rich in nutrients and protein and lower in fiber112,113,114,115. In this season, both management and non-management bears are offered a similar diet of newly grown herbaceous vegetation and a few overwintered carcasses of ungulates, with few anthropogenic foods still available compared to other seasons. In late summer and autumn, however, while non-management bears preferentially foraged on fleshy fruits and hard mast, management bears appeared to use a richer array of anthropogenic food sources as they became increasingly available. Despite no direct measures of habitat productivity are available in the PNALM, no evidence supports the hypothesis that food limits the bear population in the study area70. However, limited bear depredation of crops, livestock, poultry and domestic rabbits has been an issue since the late 1960s70,92. As observed in other studies20,26,27,42, our findings indicate that management bears that fed on anthropogenic food sources tended to have higher δ15N than non-management bears. For example, one management bear (FP01) had the highest δ15N value during the entire year, and this female is well known to repeatedly visit villages for anthropogenic foods, in particular poultry (P. Ciucci, pers. comm.), whose isotopic signature is confounded in our analysis with those of ants and fleshy fruits. Similarly, another management bear (HS456), sampled by park wardens at a depredation event on poultry and beehives, also showed high δ15N values, and this bear’s genotype is compatible with one of FP01’s cubs. On the contrary, some non-management bears (e.g., M12 or F03) had the lowest δ15N values, indicating a consumption of natural resources as confirmed by our mixing models. Nevertheless, being compounded by a large individual variability, a small effect size, and a relatively large statistical uncertainty, the difference in isotopic signatures does not currently allow a reliable classification of the management status of individual bears, warranting further research based on larger and more focused sampling.

Maintaining the long-term diversity and accessibility of foods to bears is a primary management goal for the conservation of this endangered population. According to our and previous findings, habitat management should aim to maintain abundance of mature stands of hard mast producing species, while ensuring the sustained availability of other seasonal key foods13. We suggest that productivity of ants should be also carefully considered within forest and land habitat management practices, as they represent a key food especially for female bears, therefore potentially impacting fertility and population productivity. We also stress the importance of facilitating accessibility by bears in spring and early summer to lowland drainages that contain abundant grasses and forbs13.

Further studies should be conducted to better understand some unsolved aspects of the feeding ecology of Apennine bears, and in particular the relative contribution of wild vs domestic ungulates or the contribution of other anthropogenic foods (i.e., poultry, beehives, crops). In addition, future SIA applications to this bear population could benefit from enhanced statistical power by adding to mixing models covariates such as age and body condition, by using additional tracers (e.g., δ34S25,40,50), by including a larger number of management bears in the sample, and by adopting longer study periods to account for inter-annual variability in the productivity of bear key foods.

Methods

Ethics statement

Protocols to collect bear samples and handling procedures were agreed with the PNALM authority in accordance with international guidelines116, following official permits by the Italian Ministry of the Environment. Similarly, plants and vegetal material were collected in accordance with the PNALM authority.

Study area

Our study area corresponds to the core distribution of the Apennine brown bear population, including the National Park of Abruzzo Lazio and Molise (PNALM) and adjacent areas, located in the central Apennines, Italy71 (Fig. 1). Elevation ranges from 400 to 2285 m and the terrain is typically mountainous with Mediterranean mountain climate117. The area is mostly covered by deciduous forests (about 60%), followed by subalpine meadows and grasslands, with crops nearby villages and mostly along valley bottom. Large ungulates in the area comprise roe (Capreolus capreolus) and red deer (Cervus elaphus), wild boar (Sus scrofa), and Apennine chamois (Rupicapra pyrenaica ornata). Livestock is also grazed at relatively high densities especially during summer months. In addition to bears, wolves (Canis lupus) occur in the area118, and free-ranging dogs are occasionally present. In the years of the study, the brown bear population was estimated at about 50 (95% CI 45–69) bears, including cubs54, and seemed to have remained stable during the past decade119. Bears in the study area are generally active from mid-March to the end of November, with differences in denning chronology depending on gender and reproductive status of the females (modal dates: adult female bears 27 November; adult male bears 12 December; P. Ciucci, unpublished data).

Hair and key foods sampling

Bear hairs were collected during a non-invasive population survey conducted in 201454. To this aim, a sampling grid (cells of 5 × 5 km) was overlaid to the study area and hair collection (May–October 2014) occurred through systematic hair-snagging53,55, complemented by additional sampling methods (i.e., rub-tree sampling, opportunistic sampling at buckthorn patches, and incidental sampling54; Fig. 1). We defined a hair sample as a tuft of hairs with bulbs entangled in one set of barbs53, which we assumed belonged to the same bear, and collected each sample with gloves and sterilized surgical forceps to avoid contamination. Each sample was stored in a paper envelope labelled with a uniquely numbered barcode and then placed in a box with silica gel to prevent DNA degradation. From each sample, some hairs were then used for genetics analyses by clipping a few millimetres of the hair root including the bulb54, whereas intact hairs were used for stable isotope analyses. For the scope of the analysis, individual bears were further discriminated management bears, including a few bears known to be food conditioned or partly habituated to humans, from all other bears (i.e., non-management bears). To obtain isotopic values of foods available to bears, we sampled key foods consumed by Apennine bears at known bear foraging locations13, including (Table 1): (i) herbs, comprising graminoids, forbs and sedges; (ii) wild fleshy fruits; (iii) cultivated fleshy fruit (i.e., peer, apples, prunes); (iv) beechnuts (Fagus sylvatica) and acorns (Quercus spp.); (v) cultivated vegetables; (vi) ungulates, comprising wild and domestic ungulates; (vii) ants (various species), and (viii) C4 plants, comprising cultivated corn. All food samples were placed in plastic bags or tubes and stored at − 20 °C until treatment for SIA.

Laboratory procedures and hair sectioning

A total of 35 bear hairs were processed for SIA, and they belonged to 27 different bears (16 females and 11 males). These included a few individuals known or suspected to be food-conditioned on the basis of ancillary information such as telemetry or non-invasive genetic sampling at damaged sites (Supplementary Table S1). We classified these bears as ’management bears’ (sensu Hopkins120), as opposed to ‘non-management bears’ or bears of ‘unknown’ status (Supplementary Table S1).

Hairs were washed with a sonic bath in a 2:1 chloroform–methanol solution to remove surface oils and impurities, and then dried at 60 °C in oven for at least 24 h17,22. Samples of bear key foods were freeze-dried and ground to a fine homogeneous powder using a ball mill (Fritsch Mini-Mill Pulverisette 23). Hairs were sectioned (see below), and all hair sections were singly weighed and closed into ultra-pure tin caps. Aliquots of sampled bear key foods were weighed twice and pressed into ultra-pure tin capsules121,122. All samples were analysed using a CN analyser (Vario Micro-Cube, Elementar Analysensysteme GmbH, Germany) coupled with an isotope ratio mass spectrometer (IsoPrime100, Isoprime Ltd., Cheadle Hulme, UK). Stable isotope ratios (13C:12C and 15N:14N) were expressed in delta notation (‰ deviation from international reference standards) in accordance with the equation:

$$\updelta {\text{R}}\left( \permil \right)\, = \,\left[ {\left( {{\text{R}}_{{{\text{SAMPLE}}}} {-}{\text{R}}_{{{\text{STANDARD}}}} } \right)/{\text{ R}}_{{{\text{STANDARD}}}} } \right]\, \times \,{\text{1}}0^{{\text{3}}} ,$$

where R is the heavy-to-light isotope ratio of the element123. The international standards were Vienna Pee Dee Belemnite (VPDB) for C and atmospheric N2 for N. The internal laboratory standard was IAEA-600 Caffeine. Measurement errors were found to be typically smaller than ± 0.05 for both δ13C and δ15N. Elemental concentrations were reported as % of the element on dry-weight.

To assign hairs (and their sections, see below) to their growth period, we assumed that fully grown hairs sampled before the moult (i.e., end of June) were grown during the previous activity period (i.e., previous year until dormancy), whereas hairs collected after the moult (i.e., end of August) were grown during the activity period of the current sampling year20,21,40,43,60,61,64,65. We included in the analysis only hairs collected in June (pre moult) and September (post moult), and excluded those sampled in July and August (i.e., during the moult) due to high uncertainty of their assignment. Starting from the root up to the tip of the hair, we cut guard-hairs with a surgical scalpel into 15-mm sections, which we assumed to correspond approximately to the hair growth of 1 month40,61,62. Specifically, for fully-grown hairs sampled in June we assigned the basal 15-mm section to the last month of growth before dormancy (November) in the previous year, the successive 15-mm section the month before (October), and so on. Instead, the basal 15-mm section of hairs sampled in September was assigned to the last month of growth before the actual sampling date, the successive 15-mm section to the month before and so on. However, to account for the inherent uncertainty in the monthly growth rate of hair sections40,60,61,62, we conducted the analysis at a seasonal resolution by pooling 15-mm hair sections across dietary seasons. These were defined based on the phenology of seasonal key foods for Apennine bears13: Spring, including sections whose growth was assigned to the months of March, April and May; Early summer, including sections assigned to June and July; Late Summer, including section assigned to August and September; Autumn, including hair sections assigned to October and November.

Data analysis

To compare isotopic values of bear key foods, and to examine relationships between isotopic values and bear sex, season and year we used Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) followed by a post-hoc Tukey's HSD comparison test. All ANOVA models were tested for normality and homoschedasticy of residuals. Dietary proportions of assimilated key bear foods were estimated using Stable Isotope Mixing Models (SIMMs)80. Bear key food samples were a priori grouped into seven categories (Table 1) on the basis of their isotopic values and according to prior dietary knowledge from the same bear population13. We ran four separate seasonal models, with isotopic signatures of bear hairs as a mixture and isotopic signature of key-bear food categories as sources. In the above models we excluded C4 plants because this source did not match the mixing space124.

For each seasonal set of models, we contemplated different covariate structure, including the null model: a “Sex” model, with gender as a fixed effect; a “Status” model, with the management status as fixed effect; a “BearID” model, with individual bear ID as a random effect, and the combinations “Sex + Status”, “Sex + BearID” and “Status + BearID”. Since each set of models fit the same data, we performed model comparison using an information criterion approach, namely the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO), which is more robust compared to the deviance information criterion (DIC), a generalization of the Akaike information criterion for Bayesian model selection80,125. In addition, we also used Akaike weights, using LOOic scores, which provide an estimate of the probability that one model will make the best predictions compared to the alternative models in the set126. We then selected models with the lowest LOO Information Criterion (LOOic) and an Akaike weight > 20%80,127. Stable carbon and nitrogen isotope Trophic Enrichment Factors (TEFs) were obtained from the literature24,28. Because no study has accurately estimated the TEF of bear hairs, we used TEF values, expressed as Δ13C and Δ15N, estimated from a feeding experiment on Norway rats28. Therefore, for vegetable resources we added to δ13C and δ15N TEF values of Δ13C = 3.4 ± 0.5‰ and Δ15N = 2.4 ± 0.2‰, respectively, and for animal foods Δ13C = 2.1 ± 0.2‰ and Δ15N = 3.9 ± 0.3‰, respectively. To calculate the mixing space, we considered the digestible elemental concentration of C and N (Supplementary Table S3) to avoid the bias introduced in dietary estimation by differences in stoichiometry and digestibility of food sources28,128,129. The efficiency of SIMMs is related to the number of sources and it decreases when the number of sources is greater than the number of tracers/isotopes plus one130, or when the isotopic distance of sources in the mixing space is low130. Therefore, to improve the SIMMs accuracy and precision, we incorporated “a priori” dietary knowledge on this bear population as informative priors. Specifically, for each season we used as priors the estimated digestible energy content (EDEC%) based on the analysis of 2359 scats collected from the same bear population from June 2006 to December 200913 (Table 2). Before running the models, the adequacy of the mixing spaces (consumers, resources, and TEF data) was evaluated and validated using simulated mixing polygons and all values outside the 95% mixing region were excluded from the models124. For all SIMMs models, we ran three Markov Chain Monte Carlo chains of 300,000 iteration each with a burn-in of 200,000 and a thinning rate of 100 iteration. Each model was checked for chains convergence by visual inspection of trace-plot and using the Gelman-Rubin and the Geweke diagnostic test.

Results of mixing models were reported as means of estimated dietary proportion with their associated standard deviations and 95% credible intervals (CI). All statistical analyses and stable isotope mixing models were performed using R version 4.0.3131 and the R package MixSIAR80,127. Unless otherwise specified, all values in the text were reported as mean values ± standard deviation.