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Reply to 'Sources of uncertainties in cod distribution models'

Nature Climate Change volume 5, pages 790–791 (2015)Cite this article

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Wisz et al. reply —

Ingvaldsen et al.1 comment on our study assessing global fish interchanges between the North Atlantic and Pacific oceans for more than 500 species during the entire twenty-first century2. They propose that discrepancies between our model projections and observed data for cod in the Barents Sea are the result of the choice of atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs). We address this assertion here, re-running the cod model with additional observation data from the Barents Sea1,3, and show that the lack of open-access archived data for the Barents Sea was the primary cause of local prediction mismatch. This finding highlights the importance of systematic deposit of biodiversity data in global databases.

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Figure 1: Predictions of suitable environmental conditions for Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua).

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Author notes

  1. M. S. Wisz and O. Broennimann: These authors contributed equally to this work

  2. A. Guisan and L. Pellissier: These authors jointly supervised this work

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Section for Ecosystem Based Marine Management, National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Charlottenlund Slot, Jægersborg Allé 1, Charlottenlund, 2920, Denmark

    M. S. Wisz

  2. DHI-Department of Ecology and Environment, DHI, Agern Allé 5, Hørsholm, 2970, Denmark

    M. S. Wisz

  3. Department of Bioscience, Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, C.F. Møllers Allé 8, Building 1110, Aarhus, 8000, Denmark

    M. S. Wisz, P. Grønkjær, R. B. Hedeholm & L. Pellissier

  4. Greenland Climate Research Centre, Kivioq 2, PO Box 570, Nuuk, 3900, Greenland

    M. S. Wisz, P. Grønkjær & E. E. Nielsen

  5. Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, Biophore building, UNIL Sorge, Lausanne, 1015, Switzerland

    O. Broennimann & A. Guisan

  6. Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 116, Aarhus, 8000, Denmark

    P. Grønkjær

  7. Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Øster Voldgade 5-7, Copenhagen, 2100, Denmark

    P. D. R. Møller

  8. Climate and Arctic, Danish Meteorological Institute, Lyngbyvey 100, Copenhagen, 2100, Denmark

    S. M. Olsen

  9. UMR CNRS 5805 EPOC-OASU-Université de Bordeaux, Allée Geoffroy Saint-Hilaire, Pessac, 33615, France

    D. Swingedouw

  10. Greenland Institute of Natural Resources, Kivioq 2, PO Box 570, Nuuk, 3900, Greenland

    R. B. Hedeholm

  11. Section for Marine Living Resources, National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Vejlsøvej 39, Silkeborg, 8600, Denmark

    E. E. Nielsen

  12. Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, University of Lausanne, Géopolis building, UNIL Mouline, Lausanne, 1015, Switzerland

    A. Guisan

  13. Department of Biology, Evolution and Ecology, University of Fribourg, Chemin du Musée 10, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland

    L. Pellissier

Authors
  1. M. S. Wisz
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  2. O. Broennimann
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  4. P. D. R. Møller
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  8. E. E. Nielsen
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Correspondence to M. S. Wisz.

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Wisz, M., Broennimann, O., Grønkjær, P. et al. Reply to 'Sources of uncertainties in cod distribution models'. Nature Clim Change 5, 790–791 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2762

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