Commentary

A case–control study is often used to identify several risk factors for a condition, more frequently a rare one, or to find this information quickly. The authors here explain that the aim of this research was to find some relationships worthy of further investigation with a prospective cohort study. So, this research has to be considered as an exploratory study.

The target disease is ECC, a very aggressive caries that can develop in children of <3 years of age, which is more prevalent in low-income and ethnic minority children.2 In this study, the cases are precisely defined, although the timeframe of the recruitment is not specified. The authors decided to include five psychological questionnaires to detect some maternal psychological scores than can serve as risk indicators for ECC. It is not clear if the sample size is appropriate for such a large number of variables (>20). The tables are detailed and show some interesting issues, but there are some typographical errors, eg, the sum of the percentages from mother's education and private general anaesthetics clinic attendance in Table 1 is more than 100%.

The authors found several statistical associations: presence of hypoplasias, presence of S. mutans, and depression and anxiety scores from the mothers. The presence of hypoplasias was a strong risk indicator, as other cohort studies also show.3 It is interesting that none of the more educated mothers whose children had ECC declared that they gave their children sweetened drinks. There could be a response bias here, however, since this risk factor could be known to these mothers and this behaviour might therefore be denied by them. Also of note is the authors' finding that S. mutans in the mothers is a risk factor: the range of S. mutans presence in mothers in the three ECC groups was very large indeed, from 11–86%.

The relationship between diet, S. mutans scores and ECC is not yet clear, but a recent review emphasises the role of the diet in the early colonisation by S. mutans. 4 Inappropriate bottle and breastfeeding behaviours also increase the risk, however, without showing a direct causal relationship. The authors found that a child with S. mutans from childcare group has a relative odds of being an ECC case of 4.76 [95% CI, 0.70–32.56] vs 7.68 (95% CI, 1.32–44.63) for child from public clinic group. In contrast, for the mothers, the relative odds were 0.37 (95% CI, 0.03–4.46) vs 6.47 (95% CI, 0.82–50.87) respectively. Unfortunately, the authors merely mention this finding without explaining these differences, also the case for many other interesting statistical associations.

An interesting finding is the protective OR of a history of chronic ear infections. As the authors note, this is related to the use of antibiotics for the treatment of the ear infection. Another recent publication found that children who used systemic antibiotics during the first year of age had a significantly greater risk of ECC compared with children who did not use antibiotics, but after the first year of life, only children who used systemic antibiotics at 13–18 months old showed a significant increase in the risk of ECC.4 Keeping in mind that, for a true causality relationship, we need a theory that not only describes and explains a phenomenon but is able to make predictions. If we agree that caries is a bacterial disease, these findings are the first evidence in humans that shows that caries is really a pathological process driven by bacteria, since neither antimicrobials nor vaccines have showed any effectiveness.

The most interesting results lie within the psychological scores, and herein lies a key issue with any case–control study. How does one explain the time relationship between a risk factor and an outcome? In this case, does the exposure to a mother's depression or anxiety precede the ECC in the children? Or does the presence of ECC in the children cause some depression or anxiety in their mothers? Unfortunately, the authors do not explain in more detail the relationship between these variables. Future research is needed to address these issues: a cohort study would provide the evidence we need. Overall, the most important finding from this research is that there are different risk indicators in children from different socio-economic backgrounds. This highlights the need for different preventive strategies for every group.