Theory suggests that the risk of critical transitions in complex systems can be revealed by generic indicators. A lab study of extinction in plankton populations provides experimental support for that principle. See Letter p. 456
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Relevant articles
Open Access articles citing this article.
-
Spatiotemporal dynamics of traffic bottlenecks yields an early signal of heavy congestions
Nature Communications Open Access 04 December 2023
-
Mapping the planet’s critical natural assets
Nature Ecology & Evolution Open Access 28 November 2022
-
Identifying critical transitions in seasonal shifts of zooplankton composition in a confined coastal salt marsh
Aquatic Sciences Open Access 07 September 2021
Access options
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 51 print issues and online access
$199.00 per year
only $3.90 per issue
Buy this article
- Purchase on Springer Link
- Instant access to full article PDF
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout
References
Drake, J. M. & Griffen, B. D. Nature 467, 456–459 (2010).
Scheffer, M. et al. Nature 461, 53–59 (2009).
Held, H. & Kleinen, T. Geophys. Res. Lett. 31, L23207 (2004).
Carpenter, S. R. & Brock, W. A. Ecol. Lett. 9, 311–318 (2006).
Dakos, V. et al. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 105, 14308–14312 (2008).
van Nes, E. H. & Scheffer, M. Am. Nat. 169, 738–747 (2007).
Lenton, T. M. et al. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 367, 871–884 (2009).
Dakos, V. et al. Theor. Ecol. 3, 163–174 (2010).
Guttal, V. & Jayaprakash, C. Ecol. Lett. 11, 450–460 (2008).
Courchamp, F., Clutton-Brock, T. & Grenfell, B. Trends Ecol. Evol. 14, 405–410 (1999).
Rietkerk, M., Dekker, S. C., de Ruiter, P. C. & van de Koppel, J. Science 305, 1926–1929 (2004).
Biggs, R., Carpenter, S. R. & Brock, W. A. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 826–831 (2009).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Scheffer, M. Foreseeing tipping points. Nature 467, 411–412 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1038/467411a
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/467411a
This article is cited by
-
Spatiotemporal dynamics of traffic bottlenecks yields an early signal of heavy congestions
Nature Communications (2023)
-
Mapping the planet’s critical natural assets
Nature Ecology & Evolution (2022)
-
Longitudinal analysis of blood markers reveals progressive loss of resilience and predicts human lifespan limit
Nature Communications (2021)
-
Prioritizing conservation actions in urbanizing landscapes
Scientific Reports (2021)
-
Identifying critical transitions in seasonal shifts of zooplankton composition in a confined coastal salt marsh
Aquatic Sciences (2021)