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War city profiles drawn from satellite images

Abstract

The extent of war-induced destruction in urban areas is critical information for international relief efforts, impact assessments and restoration decisions. However, precise geotargeting of zones with severe destruction is still a great challenge. Here we present a novel temporal-knowledge-guided detection scheme (TKDS) with a pixel-based transformer network (PtNet) for monitoring urban destruction using satellite imagery, applied to conflict zones in the Syrian civil war and the Russia–Ukraine conflict. Compared with state-of-the-art methods, the TKDS-PtNet model enhances war damage identification by 44.0 (72.5 versus 28.5) in the F1 score for six Syrian cities and 34.2 (83.5 versus 49.3) for four Ukrainian cities. The identified damaged buildings are further utilized to estimate the affected population and damage to critical infrastructures such as hospitals and schools in these areas. Our results demonstrate the high potential of a repeatable and relatively low-cost scheme for the near real-time monitoring of damage in urban areas resulting from wars, earthquakes or extreme weather events. Our findings underscore the crucial importance of taking action to stop the conflict and developing mechanisms to prevent present and future urban-related damage from military actions.

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Fig. 1: The comparison between the commonly used urban change detection scheme and TKDS.
Fig. 2: The TKDS-PtNet architecture.
Fig. 3
Fig. 4: Building damage and population distribution in Syrian Aleppo, Homs, Raqqa, Hama, Deir-Ez-Zor and Idlib cities and Ukrainian Mariupol, Rubizhne, Sievierodonetsk and Volnovakha cities.

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Data availability

The original labels of the completely destroyed buildings are publicly available via UNITAR at https://www.unitar.org/maps (ref. 27). The 0.5-resolution satellite images in 2009 and 2018 are available via Google Earth at https://www.google.com/earth (ref. 37). The sentinel-2 satellite images are available from https://dataspace.copernicus.eu/. The bombing events are available from http://liveuamap.com. The WorldPop population dataset is available from https://hub.worldpop.org/. Building footprints in Syria and Ukraine are available from https://www.openstreetmap.org/ and via GitHub at https://github.com/microsoft/GlobalMLBuildingFootprints (ref. 32).

Code availability

The source codes are available on GitHub at https://github.com/Houzy116/TKDS-PtNet (ref. 38).

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under grant numbers 41925006 (L.Z.), 42293272 (L.Z.) and 42201368 (Y.Q.).

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Authors

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Z.H., Y.Q., L.Z. and C.Z. conceptually designed the study; Z.H., Y.Q., Q.Y. and X.Y. performed the research; Z.H., Y.Q., L.Z., J.L., F.W., A.Z., Z.C., H.T., Y.W., J.R. and S.L. drafted the manuscript; Y.Z., Z.H., X.L., Y.L., S.P. and X.M. analyzed the data.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Liqiang Zhang or Chenghu Zhou.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Nature Cities thanks Ali Darvishi Boloorani, Stergios-Aristoteles Mitoulis and Valerie Sticher for their contribution to the peer review of this work.

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Supplementary technical terms, note, Figs. 1–12 and Tables 1–3.

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Hou, Z., Qu, Y., Zhang, L. et al. War city profiles drawn from satellite images. Nat Cities 1, 359–369 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44284-024-00060-6

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