News & Views |
Featured
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Article |
Extreme weather should be defined according to impacts on climate-vulnerable communities
Defining thresholds for extreme weather events is important for adaptation but often ignores impacts on climate-vulnerable communities. This research finds current practices do not capture experiences of women in informal settlements and self-reported impact data could help to address the issue.
- Samantha C. Winter
- , Mark R. Winter
- & Susan S. Witte
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Article
| Open AccessExperience exceeds awareness of anthropogenic climate change in Greenland
Greenland is at the heart of climate research, yet the related perceptions of Greenland’s Indigenous population have long been overlooked. Findings based on two nationally representative surveys reveal a large gap between the scientific consensus and Kalaallit views.
- Kelton Minor
- , Manumina Lund Jensen
- & Minik T. Rosing
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Article
| Open AccessRecent reduced abyssal overturning and ventilation in the Australian Antarctic Basin
Antarctic bottom water (AABW), a key component of ocean circulation, provides oxygen to the deep ocean. This work shows that AABW transport reduced over the past decades in the Australian Antarctic Basin, weakening the abyssal overturning circulation and decreasing deep ocean oxygen.
- Kathryn L. Gunn
- , Stephen R. Rintoul
- & Melissa M. Bowen
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Article |
Experimental warming leads to convergent succession of grassland archaeal community
The authors investigate the response of Archaea to experimental warming in a tallgrass prairie ecosystem. Warming was linked to reduced diversity and convergent succession, with further links to changed ecosystem function. Stochastic processes dominated community changes but decreased over time.
- Ya Zhang
- , Daliang Ning
- & Jizhong Zhou
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Editorial |
Modern food emissions
The modern food industry is reshaping society and contributing to global warming. Mitigation efforts at different levels are needed to promote environmental and human health.
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Comment |
The role of the scientific community in strengthening disability-inclusive climate resilience
Despite the trajectory towards climate catastrophe, governments are failing to take disability-inclusive climate action. We discuss how the scientific community could advance and hasten the development of disability-inclusive climate resilience, and which areas should be prioritized.
- Penelope J. S. Stein
- , Michael Ashley Stein
- & Maria Kett
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Research Briefing |
Climate change exacerbates almost two-thirds of pathogenic diseases affecting humans
A comprehensive and systematic literature review reveals that over 58% of human pathogenic diseases are aggravated by climatic hazards that are sensitive to greenhouse gas emissions.
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Analysis |
Over half of known human pathogenic diseases can be aggravated by climate change
A systematic review shows that >58% of infectious diseases confronted by humanity, via 1,006 unique pathways, have at some point been affected by climatic hazards sensitive to GHGs. These results highlight the mounting challenge for adaption and the urgent need to reduce GHG emissions.
- Camilo Mora
- , Tristan McKenzie
- & Erik C. Franklin
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Feature |
Death by climate change
As deaths attributable to climate change increase, there has been a call from some scientists for the inclusion of climate-related data on death certificates. However, others argue that there are more important methods to reduce the impacts of climate extremes on people.
- Carrie Arnold
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News & Views |
The mortality cost of climate change
A warmer world will shift mortality patterns around the world. Research suggests that the mortality costs from climate change will be massively larger than previously thought, despite accounting for future adaptation and rising incomes.
- Maximilian Auffhammer
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Comment |
The increasing relevance of phenology to conservation
Shifts in phenology can impact organism fitness, ecosystem function, and goods and services from nature. Climate change management must better integrate phenology to optimize conservation outcomes as these impacts increase.
- A. K. Ettinger
- , C. J. Chamberlain
- & E. M. Wolkovich
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Q&A |
Banking on change
Civil society has an important role to play in climate action. Nature Climate Change speaks to Chidi Oti-Obihara, investment banker turned climate activist, about how he found his role in the discussion.
- Bronwyn Wake
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Review Article |
Emergent biogeochemical risks from Arctic permafrost degradation
Thawing permafrost in the Arctic may release microorganisms, chemicals and nuclear waste that have been stored in frozen ground and by cold temperatures. This Review discusses the current state of potential hazards and their risks under warming to identify prospective threats to the Arctic.
- Kimberley R. Miner
- , Juliana D’Andrilli
- & Charles E. Miller
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News & Views |
Climate attribution of heat mortality
Mortality associated with rising temperatures is one of the clearest and impactful fingerprints of a changing climate. Research now shows an attributable increase in mortality due to climate change is already evident in cities on every continent.
- Dann Mitchell
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Article |
Woody-biomass projections and drivers of change in sub-Saharan Africa
The amount of carbon stored in African ecosystems and how climate change will affect this is uncertain. Projections indicate that carbon storage will increase in East Africa, climate change will have an overall negative impact on woody biomass and that other human pressures will amplify the trend.
- C. Wade Ross
- , Niall P. Hanan
- & Qiuyan Yu
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Article |
Global changes in oceanic mesoscale currents over the satellite altimetry record
Mesoscale eddy variability has increased in eddy-rich regions by 2–5% per decade but decreased in the tropical ocean over the satellite record (1993–2020). These changes will impact ocean–atmosphere heat and carbon exchange, with implications for regional and global climate.
- Josué Martínez-Moreno
- , Andrew McC. Hogg
- & Adele K. Morrison
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Editorial |
Two roads diverge
The past year has seen climate change manifest in wildfires, storms and flooding, in some cases simultaneous with outbreaks of the COVID-19 pandemic that restricted human activity and impacted global emissions. Despite these trials, other developments hint at the potential for positive steps in climate mitigation.
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News & Views |
Drivers of wildfire carbon emissions
Increasing fire frequency and severity may shift boreal forests from carbon sinks to carbon sources and amplify climate warming. Analysis indicates that fuel characteristics are important drivers of wildfire carbon emissions across a broad range of North America’s boreal forest.
- Rachel A. Loehman
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Comment |
Compound climate risks in the COVID-19 pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic will be an unprecedented test of governments’ ability to manage compound risks, as climate hazards disrupt outbreak response around the world. Immediate steps can be taken to minimize climate-attributable loss of life, but climate adaptation also needs a long-term strategy for pandemic preparedness.
- Carly A. Phillips
- , Astrid Caldas
- & Colin J. Carlson
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News & Views |
Food system collapse
Food security is uncertain under future climate change, but is there a threat of food system collapse? Now research assesses the probability of weather hazards occurring at the same time in the world’s major breadbaskets and reveals that the weather-related component of this risk could be increasing.
- Zia Mehrabi
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Letter |
Enhanced oceanic CO2 uptake along the rapidly changing West Antarctic Peninsula
Along the West Antarctic Peninsula, a 25-year dataset indicates that oceanic CO2 uptake depends on upper ocean stability and phytoplankton dynamics. Diatoms achieve high oceanic CO2 uptake and uptake efficiency. There has been a nearly fivefold increase in oceanic CO2 uptake due to sea ice changes.
- Michael S. Brown
- , David R. Munro
- & Oscar M. Schofield
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Article |
Climate damages and adaptation potential across diverse sectors of the United States
In this Article, modelling results from a consistent set of sectoral climate change impact models, covering 22 impact sectors of the United States, are summarized. Findings are complex, but largely negative and expensive.
- Jeremy Martinich
- & Allison Crimmins
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Letter |
Enhanced land–sea warming contrast elevates aerosol pollution in a warmer world
Greater land–sea temperature contrast under anthropogenic warming will enhance aerosol concentrations, reveal model simulations, linked to reductions in large-scale cloud cover and corresponding decreases in precipitation and aerosol wet removal.
- Robert J. Allen
- , Taufiq Hassan
- & Hui Su
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Review Article |
The evidence for motivated reasoning in climate change preference formation
In this Review, a Bayesian framework is used to explain climate change belief updating, and the evidence required to support claims of directional motivated reasoning versus a model in which people aim for accurate beliefs, but vary in how they assess information credibility.
- James N. Druckman
- & Mary C. McGrath
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Comment |
Climate engineering needs a clean bill of health
Climate change will almost certainly cause millions of deaths. Climate engineering might prevent this, but benefits — and risks — remain mostly unevaluated. Now is the time to bring planetary health research into climate engineering conversations.
- Colin J. Carlson
- & Christopher H. Trisos
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Article |
Impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on global human nutrition
Elevated atmospheric CO2 (550 ppm) could cause an additional 175 million people to be zinc deficient and 122 million protein deficient (assuming 2050 population and CO2 projections) due to the reduced nutritional value of staple food crops.
- Matthew R. Smith
- & Samuel S. Myers
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Letter |
Climate warming leads to divergent succession of grassland microbial communities
Experimental warming at a tall-grass prairie significantly altered bacteria and fungi community structure. Under climate change microbial community composition and structure are projected to be less variable due to warming-driven selection.
- Xue Guo
- , Jiajie Feng
- & Jizhong Zhou
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News & Views |
A climate for antibiotic resistance
Antibiotic resistance is a growing global health crisis. Research now suggests that higher local temperatures are associated with a greater incidence of resistant infections.
- Jessica M. A. Blair
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Letter |
Antibiotic resistance increases with local temperature
Based on an analysis of the distribution of antibiotic resistance across the United States, research shows that increasing local temperatures as well as population density across regions are associated with increasing antibiotic resistance in common bacterial pathogens.
- Derek R. MacFadden
- , Sarah F. McGough
- & John S. Brownstein
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Letter |
Historical deforestation locally increased the intensity of hot days in northern mid-latitudes
Deforestation in the northern mid-latitudes has generally been considered to cause biogeophysical changes that drive mean annual cooling in the region. Research now suggests that historical deforestation has led to substantial local warming of hot days.
- Quentin Lejeune
- , Edouard L. Davin
- & Sonia I. Seneviratne
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Perspective |
Ecological grief as a mental health response to climate change-related loss
Climate change has a gradual influence on landscapes and ecosystems that may lead to feelings of loss for those with close ties to the natural environment. This Perspective describes existing research on ecological grief and outlines directions for future inquiry.
- Ashlee Cunsolo
- & Neville R. Ellis
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Perspective |
From Pinot to Xinomavro in the world's future wine-growing regions
Some of the predicted impacts of climate change on crops may be avoided by exploiting existing crop diversity. This Perspective examines this possibility for wine grapes where about 1% of diversity accounts for more than 80% of cultivated areas in some countries.
- E. M. Wolkovich
- , I. García de Cortázar-Atauri
- & T. Lacombe
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Letter |
Elevated increases in human-perceived temperature under climate warming
Apparent temperature, the perceived temperature from air temperature, humidity and wind combined, is projected to increase faster than air temperature. Thermal discomfort will see greater increases in summertime, outweighing wintertime decreases.
- Jianfeng Li
- , Yongqin David Chen
- & Ngar-Cheung Lau
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Article |
Coral bleaching pathways under the control of regional temperature variability
The bleaching threat to coral reefs from warming is increasing, but risk locations are not clear. This study relates regional sea surface temperature variability to bleaching sensitivity and the future risk to coral reefs.
- C. E. Langlais
- , A. Lenton
- & M. Kuchinke
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News & Views |
Decarbonization unique to cities
Strategies that reduce fossil-fuel use can achieve both global carbon mitigation and local health-protection goals. Now research shows the dual benefits of compact urban design and circular economy policies in Chinese cities.
- Nadine Ibrahim
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Article |
Urban cross-sector actions for carbon mitigation with local health co-benefits in China
The use of cross-sectoral strategies, such as the exchange of waste energy through co-location of industry, business and residential areas, is shown to be effective for greenhouse gas and particulate mitigation in this study of 637 Chinese cities.
- Anu Ramaswami
- , Kangkang Tong
- & Shuxiao Wang
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Letter |
Future global mortality from changes in air pollution attributable to climate change
The effect of ozone and fine particulate matter on human health is dependent on emissions and climate change. Here the effects of climate change on air pollution mortality are isolated, with increases predicted in all regions except Africa.
- Raquel A. Silva
- , J. Jason West
- & Guang Zeng
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Letter |
Weather conditions conducive to Beijing severe haze more frequent under climate change
Severe winter air pollution events, attributed to emissions from development, have increased in Beijing in recent decades. This study looks at how atmospheric conditions contribute and projects climate change will increase conditions favourable to such events.
- Wenju Cai
- , Ke Li
- & Lixin Wu
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Letter |
Wireless sensors linked to climate financing for globally affordable clean cooking
Data from 4,038 households in India show wireless sensors could make clean energy solutions affordable for those at the bottom of the energy pyramid.
- Tara Ramanathan
- , Nithya Ramanathan
- & Veerabhadran Ramanathan
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Letter |
Climate change unlikely to increase malaria burden in West Africa
The importance of climate change for malaria transmission has been hotly debated. Research based on ten years of field observations and a model that simulates village-scale transmission for West Africa suggests that we should not be overly concerned.
- Teresa K. Yamana
- , Arne Bomblies
- & Elfatih A. B. Eltahir
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Letter |
European seasonal mortality and influenza incidence due to winter temperature variability
Mortality rates based on data representing 400 million people in 200 European regions show countries other than the UK, the Netherlands and Belgium remain exposed to increased mortality due to winter temperature fluctuations.
- Joan Ballester
- , Xavier Rodó
- & François Richard Herrmann
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Article |
Climate change impact modelling needs to include cross-sectoral interactions
A model comparison shows that integrated and sector-specific models suggest different results for various climate impacts. The discrepancies are particularly pronounced for indicators such as food production and water exploitation.
- Paula A. Harrison
- , Robert W. Dunford
- & Mark D. A. Rounsevell