Introduction

Global warming has intensified ocean-to-land hydrological variability, resulting in extreme events such as floods and droughts1,2, significantly affecting human life and economic development in the Asian monsoon region and elsewhere3,4. Identifying the apportionment of moisture contributions from different sources is essential for understanding hydroclimate variability. However, the long-term dynamic processes determining continental-scale changes in atmospheric moisture and its sources are poorly constrained because of the absence of an appropriate proxy for effectively monitoring moisture origin and recycling on various timescales.

Recent studies reveal that distributions of triple oxygen isotope (16O, 17O, and 18O) in various types of water (including precipitation, plants, rivers, and ponds)5,6,7,8,9,10, as well as in carbonate records11,12,13,14, have significantly enriched paleoclimate interpretations beyond what was possible with traditional δ18O data alone. This advancement is achieved through a combination of traditional δ18O data and the additional information provided by the isotope tracer Δ′17O (Δ′17O = δ′17O – 0.528 × δ′18O; see “Methods” section). This approach is similar to the more detailed inquiries enabled by the combination of δD and δ18O, as indicated by the d-excess parameter (d-excess = δD–8 × δ18O)15,16, rather than relying on a single isotope system. As the initial step in the large-scale hydrological cycle, the Δ′17O values of oceanic evaporation fluxes commonly depend on relative humidity, boundary-layer aerodynamics, and isotopic gradients at the evaporation site, reflecting the similar moisture source condition on short timescales5,17. Additionally, modern meteoric water studies show that additional processes, such as condensation, mixing of moisture sources, supersaturation, and terrestrial hydroclimate variations (such as moisture recycling and re-evaporation of precipitation), may also contribute to some extent to the changes in the Δ′17O values6,8,9,18,19,20. In comparison to the d-excess, Δ′17O is less dependent on the temperature at evaporation and condensation sites8,18,19,21, while the precipitation Δ′17O displays a relatively higher sensitivity than d-excess to terrestrial evaporation-dominated moisture recycling and re-evaporation during light rainfall events18,19. Thus, the use of Δ′17O in combination with δ18O presents a potential strategy to decipher the various fractionation processes at the remote moisture source (oceanic evaporation), en route (Rayleigh distillation, vapor mixing, and continental moisture recycling), and at the moisture sink (raindrop re-evaporation/equilibration and supersaturation of snow) 8,9,18,19.

Speleothem records are valuable as geological archives that have been widely used to reconstruct past climate history, mainly because of their advantages in their precise age control, geographic coverage, and high temporal resolutions22. In particular, studies of the oxygen isotope composition (δ18O) of speleothems have provided critical information on the evolution of Asian monsoon circulations on a wide range of timescales23. In general, speleothem δ18O values in the Asian monsoon region inherit primarily the δ18O signal of precipitation22, which reflects the summer monsoon intensity or the spatial scale of the summer monsoon circulations associated with changes in moisture source and transport trajectory. However, a large number of factors can also affect the precipitation δ18O and in turn speleothem δ18O, such as temperature, atmospheric circulation, moisture source and transport trajectory, precipitation amount, evaporation, etc.24,25. Moreover, the speleothem δ18O, in principle, is incapable of distinguishing among water vapor sources that contribute to precipitation at the cave site. Recently, the Δ′17O has been applied to speleothem research13,14. The Δ′17O integrates the effect of evaporation of water vapor at the source regions and moisture transportation that is ultimately reflected in precipitation at the cave sites26. Therefore, the high-precision Δ′17O data derived from speleothems have the potential to enhance our comprehension of hydroclimatic processes, particularly with respect to varying moisture sources, and to furnish additional insights that can refine the interpretation of speleothem δ18O13,14.

In this study, we investigate variations of triple oxygen isotope compositions in a set of speleothems from the Asian monsoon region over the past 300 years, characterize their spatial variations, and then provide an interpretation of the mechanisms underlying the spatial pattern of Δ′17O. Our results illuminate variations in the water vapor cycle, large-scale atmospheric circulation, and moisture sources in the Asian monsoon region.

Materials and climatology

We analyzed 31 speleothem carbonate samples (Supplementary Fig. 1) collected from 21 caves across the Asian monsoon region (Supplementary Fig. 2). Most cave sites are located in central China, with fewer in northwestern and southeastern China, northeastern India, and the Indo-China Peninsula (Fig. 1). The information on the samples, including longitude-latitude and formation ages, is given in Supplementary Table 1.

Fig. 1: Map of cave locations, precipitation, surface relative humidity (%), and air temperature (°C).
figure 1

a The precipitation amount is expressed as the difference between June through September (JJAS) and November through February (NDJF) from 1980 to 2010 in the western Pacific and East Asia, based on the data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP)75. b Annual surface relative humidity (1980-2010) and (c) annual air temperature (1991–2020) are based on the data from National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research, NCEP/NCAR (https://www.esrl.noaa.gov)76. The site locations of the speleothem samples are in the Asian monsoon region (cave informations are listed in Supplementary Table 1). Blue and gray circles show cave sites: NB-Niubi Cave (112.58°E, 24.26°N, 174 m a.s.l.)77, SN-Shennong Cave (117.25°E, 28.70°N, 383 m a.s.l.)78, YQ-Yongquan Cave (115.65°E, 29.61°N, 100 m a.s.l.), SH-Shuanghe Cave (107.28°E, 28.25°N, 1170 m a.s.l.), LT-Longtan Cave (106.22°E, 28.22°N, 1230 m a.s.l.), FR-Furong Cave (107.90°E, 29.22°N, 480 m a.s.l.)79, LH-Lianhuan Cave (109.55°E, 29.15°N, 455 m a.s.l.)80, SB-Sanbao Cave (110.43°E, 31.67°N, 1900m a.s.l.)23, YXG-Yangxingui Cave (115.35°E, 29.68°N, 400 m a.s.l.), CJP-Cijiaping Cave (110.47°E, 31.76°N, 2000 m a.s.l.), QJ-Qujia Cave (118.42°E, 35.71°N, 456 m a.s.l.)81, ZJ-Zhangjia Cave (105.92°E, 32.51°N, 680 m a.s.l.), QF-Qianfo Cave (109.38°E, 33.23°N, 1500 m a.s.l.), DSY-Dongshiya Cave (111.57°E, 33.77°N, 840 m a.s.l.)82, JM-Jimao Cave (115.88°E, 39.81°N, 330 m a.s.l.), SHH-Shihua Cave (115.93°E, 39.78°N, 251 m a.s.l.)83, RG-Rige Cave (97.20°E, 32.22°N, 4252 m a.s.l.)84, TNL-Tham Nhong-Lha Cave (99.00°E, 9.10°N, 112 m a.s.l.), TSK-Tham Sing Khon Cave (99.04°E, 9.04°N, 106 m a.s.l.), LNT-Lin Noe Twin Cave (96.41°E, 21.24°N, 1220 m a.s.l.), ML-Mawmluh Cave (91.88°E, 25.26°N, 1160 m a.s.l.). The abbreviation of a.s.l. indicates above sea level. Dashed arrows depict wind directions of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM; white), East Asian summer monsoon (EASM; white), and the mid-latitude westerly (black).

The modern annual rainfall in China generally decreases from south to north, and northwestern China has the lowest annual rainfall due to its inland location remote to the ocean (Fig. 1a). Four major trajectories of moisture transport are essential to the hydroclimate across the Asian monsoon region in the Asian continent (the percentage amount of rainfall through all of the monsoonal subsystems is shown in Supplementary Fig. 3): the Bay of Bengal, the western Pacific Ocean, the Atlantic Ocean, and the northern Eurasian continent. During the summer (June to September), two subsystems of the Asian summer monsoon, the Indian summer monsoon and the East Asian summer monsoon, transport moisture from the Indian and West Pacific oceans into the Asian inland, delivering abundant rainfall27,28. In contrast, the winter monsoon started from the interior of the Eurasian continent prevails in China in winter, which is associated with merely a small amount of water vapor and hence less precipitation29. Additionally, the westerly influence occurs in northwestern China (such as in the northern Xingjiang region).

On the other hand, the West Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) is also a critical system affecting the precipitation in eastern Asia. Changes in the position, shape, and strength of the WPSH30 largely dominate the interannual variability of the large-scale quasi-stationary East Asian summer monsoon frontal zones. The related seasonal cycle is as follows: (1) In early May, the onset of the summer rainfall season occurs in South China, namely the pre-Meiyu season. (2) In the middle of June, the ridgeline of the WPSH moves from ~15–20°N to ~20–25°N, and the rain belt shifts from South China to the Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin. This process is associated with the end of the rainy season (the first flood season) in South China and the beginning of the rainy season in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin. (3) In mid-July, the ridgeline reaches ~25–30°N, and monsoon-associated rainfall increases over northern China. (4) In late July or early August, the subtropical high reaches the northernmost position (~30°N), the rainy season in North China begins, and the Yangtze River-Huaihe River Basin becomes dry. (5) Around the beginning of September, the ridgeline retreats southward to ~25°N and then to ~20°N at the beginning of October, and the Asian summer monsoon is close to ending.

Results and discussion

Δ′17O variations of speleothem carbonates and the reconstructed parent water

Our speleothem carbonates have much higher δ18O values (27.132 to 36.489‰; VSMOW-SLAP) and lower Δ′17O values (−79 to −56 per meg; VSMOW-SLAP; see “Methods” section; Fig. 2 and Supplementary Table 2) compared to the meteoric waters (~0 to −20 ‰ and −30 to 60 per meg, respectively; Fig. 2). The speleothem carbonates consist of calcite and aragonite (Supplementary Table 1), with their Δ′17O values at the formation, exhibiting no notable variation31. Upon graphing speleothem Δ′17O against δ′18O, we observe slopes of −1.018 per meg/‰ for all samples (Fig. 3a) and −0.996 per meg/‰ excluding the result from the Rige Cave located in the high-altitude region (Fig. 3c). Moreover, the speleothems δ′17O versus δ′18O plots show a slope of 0.527 (Fig. 3b, d). These values fall within the near-horizontal trend defined by the range of −1 to 0 per meg/‰ for the carbonate Δ′17O versus δ′18O space, and δ′17O versus δ′18O slopes of 0.527–0.528, bolstering the interpretations linked to climate determinants rather than ‘cave kinetic process’ (e.g., fast degassing at the drip site and prior calcite precipitation) in this hydrological stage13. Additionally, the relative humidity is close to 100% in most of the study caves, rendering evaporation within the caves insignificant. As a result, these observations suggest that the carbonate deposition processes in the caves are virtually under the isotope equilibrium without noticeable effect of the ‘kinetic isotope fractionation’13,24,32,33.

Fig. 2: Plots of δ18O versus Δ′17O for water and carbonate samples.
figure 2

Group I is meteoric water in the Asian monsoon region and parent water of speleothem carbonates. Group II is speleothem carbonates. As expected, the calculated δ18O-Δ′17O values of the parent water of speleothems (Group I) are similar to the meteoric water9, 17, 37. All data are in VSMOW-SLAP, and the Δ′17O values of speleothem samples are normalized to Wostbrock et al.61. The error is based on the standard deviation (1σ SD) for each sample.

Fig. 3: Plots of δ′17O and Δ′17O versus δ′18O of speleothem carbonates.
figure 3

The Δ′17O versus δ′18O (a) and δ′17O versus δ′18O (b) space and calculated trends for the data from all the speleothem samples, respectively. The Δ′17O versus δ′18O (c) and δ′17O versus δ′18O (d) space and calculated trends for the data without the result from Rige cave in the high-altitude area (Qinghai province in northern China), respectively. The insert figure in (c) shows the summary of triple oxygen isotope drivers relevant to speleothem triple oxygen isotopes in Δ′17O versus δ′18O space13. The red line is the regression line of the speleothem dataset. δ′17O = 1000 × ln(1 + Δ′17O/1000) and δ′18O = 1000 × ln(1 + δ18O/1000). The error bars show the measurement uncertainty. The error is based on the standard deviation (1σ SD) for each sample.

The growth of authigenic minerals entails mass fractionation laws of precipitation reactions, variations in the Δ′17O of the waters from which sedimentary minerals precipitate, and equilibrium exchanges after initial authigenic formation31,34. Based on the cave monitoring results from Furong Cave (southwestern China; Fig. 1), the Δ′17O values of the cave dripwater inherit the Δ′17O signals of precipitation at the cave site (Supplementary Table 3). The parent water Δ′17O reconstructed from speleothem carbonates closely resembles the cave dripwater within uncertainties (Supplementary Table 3). Therefore, the contemporary speleothem Δ′17O values essentially reflect the precipitation Δ′17O signal, thus serving as an indicator of the conditions under which carbonate precipitates31,35.

The reconstructed parent water from speleothem carbonates (see “Methods” section) has δ18O values ranging from −16.406 to −3.920‰, and the Δ′17O values from 11 to 37 per meg (Fig. 2). The average of the reconstructed parent water Δ′17O values is 20 ± 7 per meg, which is comparable to the average value of 22 ± 11 per meg for the precipitation in the subtropical regions (VSMOW-SLAP; Fig. 2)6,9,17. On the continental scale, the mean reconstructed Δ′17O values of the parent waters are 32 ± 4, 21 ± 6, and 15 ± 3 per meg in northern China, central China, and the southern Asian monsoon region (Fig. 4), respectively. Thus, the regional differences in precipitation oxygen isotopes in the Asian monsoon region are likely related to their different water vapor sources and other processes (such as condensation, continental recycling, and sub-cloud re-evaporation)8,9,18,19.

Fig. 4: Interpolated carbonates and parent waters δ18O and Δ′17O values for speleothems from the Asian monsoon region.
figure 4

The interpolated maps for Δ′17O values of speleothems (a) and reconstructed parent water (b), respectively. The interpolated maps for δ18O values of speleothems (c) and reconstructed parent water (d), respectively. Symbol size represents isotopic values. The interpolated maps of δ18O and Δ′17O values of speleothems were generated using inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation73. The locations of all sample sites are given in Fig. 1 and Supplementary Table 1.

The δ′18O-δ′17O slopes of the local meteoric water line for the reconstructed parent water from three regions (northern and northwestern China, central China, and the southern Asian monsoon region) are between 0.524 and 0.526 (Supplementary Fig. 4), with the lowest slope of 0.524 in northern and northwestern China (Supplementary Fig. 4a). Our calculated triple oxygen isotope values for speleothem parent waters fall along a line with the slope of 0.525 (±0.0010, 1σ SD) in a cross plot of δ′17O versus δ′18O (Supplementary Fig. 4d), which is smaller than the 0.528 slope of the global meteoric water line5,8,36. The slopes for water vapor equilibrium fractionation and diffusion fractionation are 0.529 and 0.518, respectively5. Importantly, the Rayleigh distillation slope (λRayleigh = 0.528) closely aligns with the global meteoric water line8. In principle, the sub-cloud re-evaporation processes during precipitation affect the raindrops from small rainfall events, leading to strong isotopic dynamic fractionation8,19 and consequently a smaller slope and intercept for the local meteoric water line. However, the available triple oxygen isotope data do not fit a single global meteoric water line8. For example, the slope of the local meteoric water line in the tropical region of Singapore, Okinawa in subtropical Japan, and the Arctic are 0.52837, 0.529617, and 0.529938, respectively. Such disparities may stem from variations in water type, sampling bias due to high concentration of samples in small regions, or insufficient data8. Accordingly, the relationship between δ′18O and δ′17O investigated in this study may capture information pertinent to Rayleigh and/or equilibrium fractionation processes and factors such as moisture source, transport path, and climatic condition changes.

Continental-scale variations in triple oxygen isotope in the Asian monsoon region

The Δ′17O records from speleothem carbonates and reconstructed parent water exhibit no apparent correlations with continental-scale precipitation amount anomalies (Fig. 1a), annual relative humidity (Fig. 1b), temperature (Fig. 1c), or altitude (Supplementary Fig. 2b) in the Asian monsoon region. Similarly, the continental-scale precipitation δ18O shows the common pattern that the maximum precipitation δ18O values generally occurred in winter (from November to February) and gradually decreased to reach their minimum during summer (from June to September) (Supplementary Fig. 5). Influencing factors such as water vapor transport distance and the Rayleigh distillation effect during the water vapor transport process can influence the levels and characteristics of δ18O in modern climatology16,39,40, leading to the minimum δ18O values during the strong summer monsoon seasons (Supplementary Fig. 5). Therefore, we suggest that large-scale processes—such as atmospheric conditions at the moisture source, along moisture transport trajectories, and moisture source changes—have a greater impact on the continental-scale speleothem Δ′17O values than local climatic (local precipitation amount, relative humidity, and temperature) and geographical conditions. Nevertheless, further studies are needed to characterize to what extent these factors can affect the observed Δ′17O values inferred from speleothem data.

The spatial interpolation (see “Methods” section) of the speleothem carbonates Δ′17O at the national scale in Asian monsoon region shows a ‘quadrupole’ pattern with low Δ′17O values in coastal regions (e.g., Thailand and Guangdong province in southern China) and most Chinese inland cave sites (Fig. 4). This pattern diverges from Chinese tap water results9, which do not display a clear pattern, likely due to the complex interplay between non-local water and local precipitation isotopic signals9, despite tap water being a useful initial reference for understanding the continental-scale Δ′17O variation in these regions.

Generally, the annual rainfall and relative humidity of study sites along the coastal regions remain relatively high throughout the year (Fig. 1b), leading to saturated or supersaturated atmospheric water vapor content and diminishing secondary evaporation under the clouds during raindrop descent. Given their proximity to oceanic moisture sources and their relatively short moisture trajectories, the speleothem and parent water Δ′17O values from coastal regions serve as direct proxies for the conditions of moisture sources. Furthermore, the speleothem and parent water Δ′17O values from most Chinese inland cave sites exhibit a near-horizontal trend, reflecting the aforementioned Rayleigh distillation processes. Therefore, the low speleothem Δ′17O values from most Chinese inland cave sites could inherit the large-scale hydroclimate processes similar to coastal regions. The 7-day air mass back-trajectories calculated using the Hybrid Single‐Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory model (HYSPLIT) algorithm (see “Methods” section) show that during summer, the air masses in China are affected by both the local hydroclimatic systems and the Asian summer monsoon, including the East Asian monsoon from the West Pacific Ocean and the Indian summer monsoon from the Indian Ocean (Supplementary Fig. 3). Since the summer monsoon supplies most of the annual rainfall to the Asian monsoon region (Supplementary Figs. 3 and 5), we suggest that the observed Δ′17O spatial pattern in the coastal and inland regions that, to some extent, may have also been modified by initial water vapor evaporation conditions17,26,41, such as the Indian and West Pacific oceans.

Several high Δ′17O values occur in relatively high-latitude (Beijing) and high-altitude (Qinghai province in northwestern China) areas. The speleothem carbonate and reconstructed parent water Δ′17O records show no noticeable correlations with latitude and altitude on the continental scale (Supplementary Fig. 2b). In contrast, a previous study revealed a strong latitudinal effect on the tap water Δ′17O from −6 to 43 per meg across the USA6. Indeed, analyses of mid-latitude rainfall δD and δ18O show that moisture recycling plays a vital role in the continental moisture balance42,43. The evaporative recycling of continental moisture could contribute to the substantial local effect by increasing the Δ′17O in the vapor flux and inducing positive Δ′17O shift in the resultant mixed vapor, thus resulting in slight increases in precipitation Δ′17O8,44. Moreover, moisture recycling processes, such as the sublimation of surface snow, can potentially elevate precipitation Δ′17O and subsequently speleothem Δ′17O values45. Additionally, the triple oxygen isotope compositions of speleothems formed from the dripwater follow the equilibrium line between carbonate and water14. In the context of precipitation originating from consistent moisture sources (such as the Indian and Pacific oceans), speleothems in the colder and/or higher-altitude caves in northeastern China would result in lower δ18O and higher Δ′17O values14,31 compared to those in central China during the process of speleothem formation. We, therefore, suggest that the high speleothem Δ′17O values from high-altitude areas are likely related to the contribution of moisture from continental recycling in relatively arid regions (e.g., northwestern China), or low cave temperature in high-altitude regions (e.g., northern China), or the moisture recycling processes.

Intriguingly, several inland cities around the Yangtze River have slightly higher speleothem and reconstructed parent water Δ′17O values. Our speleothem Δ′17O results show differences between adjacent cave sites in southwestern China (e.g., Longtan and Shuanghe caves from Guizhou province in southwestern China, and Furong cave in the vicinity of Chongqing city in southwestern China) (Fig. 1 and Supplementary Table 1), indicating different water sources or mixing water sources in these caves6,13. Thus, we suppose that the higher Δ′17O values are likely caused by the combination of local moisture recycling effects and/or changes in moisture source. In inland cave sites, the higher values of Δ′17O are most likely due to the input of the recycling of water vapor.

Possible mechanisms controlling the distribution of Δ′17O

The interpolated speleothem Δ′17O data presents a spatial pattern with lower values over coastal regions and most Chinese inland cave sites and higher values over northwestern and northern China (Fig. 4). Lower Δ′17O values in central and southern China (Fig. 4) as previously discussed, signify moisture sources originating from the Pacific and Indian oceans (Supplementary Fig. 3). However, relatively higher Δ′17O values are displayed across the Yangtze River region.

HYSPLIT air mass back-trajectories results suggest that polar air masses and continental sources may contribute to the winter or pre-meiyu (early May) precipitation in China (Supplementary Fig. 3). Oxygen isotope values vary in tandem with continental moisture recycling when the trajectories of polar air masses contribute moisture to winter or pre-meiyu precipitation. Indeed, the Δ′17O values in surface snow and water vapor at NEEM (North Greenland Eemian Drilling Project; Greenland), mainly sourced from polar regions, have lower values during summer and the highest values from winter to spring, with an average value of 50 (±11) per meg (VSMOW-SLAP)46. Furthermore, the triple oxygen isotope records from the USA, where precipitation in high-latitude areas is usually influenced by westerly moisture, display elevated Δ′17O values (31 to 43 per meg)6. These support the suggestion that the westerly and polar air masses sources may influence precipitation and contribute to higher Δ′17O in some areas of China during the winter and/or pre-Meiyu season. Therefore, the moisture source influences the triple oxygen isotope composition of precipitation caused by different conditions (e.g., relative humidity) at the moisture source regions and varying air mass histories when moisture uptake occurs47,48.

Seasonal fluctuations in the position, shape, and intensity of the WPSH directly correlate with the distribution of rainfall in China49,50,51. The low-level jet stream along the northwestern periphery of the WPSH transports copious amounts of water vapor to East Asia. Consequently, any alteration in the WPSH impacts the Meiyu front, affecting the convergence of tropical water vapor with extratropical airflows30,52. When the WPSH strengthens and moves equatorward30, the rain belt is located along the Yangtze River valley, resulting in precipitation during the pre-Meiyu and Meiyu seasons, produced by the Meiyu front. The front remains relatively stationary, exemplifying the interaction between warm, moist air from the tropics and cold water vapor sources from the Arctic or local regions contributing to the precipitation53,54. In the context of global warming, the anomalously cold air represents an intrusion, which enhances convergence, stimulates convection, and increases the frequency of heavy rainstorms.

Furthermore, higher Δ′17O values in the northern and Tibetan Plateau regions are caused by moisture from the arid north, which evidently has undergone distinct local moisture recycling. Additionally, the latitudinal position of the westerlies could affect the seasonality of the East Asian summer monsoon55, with the seasonal migration of the westerlies from the south of the Tibetan Plateau to the north, corresponding to the transition from the pre-Meiyu to the Meiyu, and the migration of the westerlies away from the northern edge of the plateau corresponds to the transition from the Meiyu to the midsummer period56.

The changes in the Arctic not only influence temperature and precipitation in the midlatitudes but also contribute to severe convection54,57. In the context of anthropogenic global warming, warm air infiltrates over anomalously cold air from the Arctic regions, enhancing convergence, stimulating convection, and increasing the frequency of rainstorms57,58. Notably, the amplified warming trend in the Indian Ocean–western Pacific has prompted the westward extension of the WPSH since the late 1970s, attributable to cooling in the central and eastern tropical Pacific and augmented monsoon condensational heating in the equatorial Indian Ocean/Maritime Continent55,56. Given these findings and observations of continental-scale variations in the triple oxygen isotope of speleothems from the Asian monsoon region, the interactions between Arctic teleconnections and other regional and distant feedback processes could potentially result in more persistent hot-dry extremes in the future, particularly in northern China and the Yangtze River region4,57.

Conclusions

We have characterized the spatiotemporal variability of δ18O and derived Δ′17O values of speleothem carbonates from the Asian monsoon region (21 sites) over the past 300 years and attempted to reconstruct the spatial pattern of the Asian monsoon development. The results show that Δ′17O variations of the speleothems varied between −78 and −56 per meg with a mean value of −70 ± 6 per meg. The reconstructed parent water δ18O values ranged from −16.406‰ to −3.920‰, and the Δ′17O values ranged from 11 to 37 per meg with an average of 20 ± 7 per meg.

The speleothem and reconstructed parent water Δ′17O values display a ‘quadrupole’ pattern, characterized by low Δ′17O values in coastal regions (such as Thailand and the Guangdong province in southern China) and most Chinese inland cave sites. Conversely, higher values are observed in high-altitude and northwestern China due to their location deep in the continental interior and far away from the ocean, leading to more remarkable continental moisture recycling (including sublimation of surface snow) and changes in the water source. A positive Δ′17O anomaly is apparent in the Yangtze River valley, primarily attributable to the water vapor sources from the Arctic or local regions. Overall, the continental-scale variations in the triple oxygen isotopes of speleothems from the Asian monsoon region reveal large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns and associated complex water vapor sources.

Methods

Speleothem Δ′17O measurements

Δ′17O values of the CO2 of the speleothem carbonate samples were precisely measured based on O2-CO2 Pt-catalyzed oxygen isotope equilibrium14,59. All the measurements were performed at the Institute of Global Environmental Change of Xi’an Jiaotong University (China). The major steps included: (i) extraction of CO2 gas from carbonates using concentrated phosphoric acid at 25 °C; (ii) equilibration of the extracted CO2 and O2 with known isotope compositions for 30 min under Pt-catalyzation at 750 °C; (iii) cryogenic separation of the two post-equilibration gases; (iv) measurement of the equilibrated O2 using a MAT-253 Stable Isotope Ratio Mass Spectrometer, and the calculation of Δ′17O values. The δ18O values of the CO2 standard gases were directly measured and normalized to the concurrent analyses of standard NBS18, which were then cross-calibrated to standard IEAE603. A two-point linear normalization method60 was used to normalize the measured δ18O, δ17O, and Δ′17O values, using the published high-precision values of standards NBS18 and IAEA603 presented by Wostbrock et al.61.

The measured δ18O and Δ′17O values of CO2 extracted from carbonates were calculated using the factors of 1.01025 (18αCO2/carbonate)62 and 1.00535 (17αCO2/carbonate)61 for the oxygen fractionation between CO2 and carbonate, respectively, during the phosphoric-acid digestion process. We used an exponent of 0.523 for θCO2/carbonate to calculate 17αCO2/carbonate during phosphoric-acid digestion at 25 °C61.

Water Δ′17O measurements

The δ18O and δ17O values of water samples were measured using Picarro-L2140i at the Xi’an Jiaotong University Isotope Laboratory, Xi’an, China. Each sample was measured at least three times. In order to avoid the memory effect associated with the continuous flow method, ten injections were conducted every time, and the first three measurements were discarded63.

The results were calibrated against the VSMOW and SLAP standards by a two-point calibration, with δ18O and δ17O values as follows: VSMOW (0‰, 0‰) and SLAP (−55.5‰, −29.7‰)64. We also employed three lab working standards with δ18O and δ17O values as follows: LAB1 (−1.270‰, −0.680‰), LAB2 (−11.651‰, −6.141‰) and LAB3 (−17.619‰, −9.315‰). The analytical precisions (1σ SD) were better than ± 0.025 ‰ for δ17O and δ18O63. Typical in-sample Δ′17O precisions (1σ SD) in water standards were 10 per meg, respectively.

230Th dating method

Ages of speleothem samples were established by 230Th dating. Dating was performed at the Institute of Global Environmental Change of Xi’an Jiaotong University (China), using a Neptune Plus Multi-Collector Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometer (MC-ICP-MS). The chemical and instrumental procedures are described in Edwards et al.65 and Cheng et al.66.

Notations in the triple oxygen isotope system

Oxygen-isotope ratios (17O/16O and 18O/16O) are reported using the δ notation relative to the Vienna Standard Mean Ocean Water (VSMOW) or Vienna Pee Dee Belemnite (VPDB) standard:

$${{{{{{\rm{\delta }}}}}}}^{18}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}=(({\,\!}^{18}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}/{\,\!}^{16}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}})_{{{{{{\rm{sample}}}}}}}/{({\,\!}^{18}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}/{\,\!}^{16}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}})}_{{{{{{\rm{standard}}}}}}}-1)\times 1000$$
(1)

and

$${{{{{\rm{\delta }}}}}}{\,\!}^{17}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}=({({\,\!}^{17}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}/{\,\!}^{16}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}})}_{{{{{{\rm{sample}}}}}}}/({\,\!}^{17}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}/{\,\!}^{16}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}){\,\!}_{{{{{{\rm{standard}}}}}}}-1)\times 1000$$
(2)

The δ notation is expressed as per mil (parts per thousand, ‰).

The definition of Δ′17O defines the deviation of triple oxygen isotope data from a reference relationship between δ17O and δ18O, which is expressed in the linearized form26

$${\Delta ^{\prime} }^{17}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}=({{{{{{\rm{\delta }}}}}}^{\prime} }^{17}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}-0.528\times {{{{{{\rm{\delta }}}}}}^{\prime} }^{18}{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}})\times 1000$$
(3)

where, δ′17O = 1000 × ln(1 + δ17O/1000) and δ′18O = 1000 × ln(1 + δ18O/1000).

Here, 0.528 is the slope of the δ′18O-δ′17O reference line commonly used in hydrological studies5. A recent study suggested that triple oxygen isotope data may not always fit this global meteoric water line8. In addition, several studies have indicated that even the Δ′17O value of standard SLAP2 is non-zero (λ = 0.528)61 and meteoric waters should fall on a curvilinear trend26. However, in this study, we still used 0.528 to enable comparison with the reported triple oxygen isotope data in much of the previous literature. All reported isotope data are for the gaseous phase only. The magnitude is minimal for 17O anomalies; thus, we report this value in ‘per meg’ (1 per meg = 10−6 = 10−3 per mil).

The isotopic fractionation between the parent water and the carbonate precipitated from the water is defined as:

$$^* {{{{{{\rm{\alpha }}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{carbonate}}}}}}/{{{{{\rm{water}}}}}}}=({{{{{\rm{\delta }}}}}}^* {{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{carbonate}}}}}}}+1000)/({{{{{\rm{\delta }}}}}}^* {{{{{{\rm{O}}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{water}}}}}}}+1000)$$
(4)

where *αcarbonate/water represents 18αcarbonate/water and 17αcarbonate/water, and the exponent θcarbonate/water is defined as:

$${{{{{{\rm{\theta }}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{carbonate}}}}}}/{{{{{\rm{water}}}}}}}={{{{\mathrm{ln}}}}}({\,\!}^{17}{{{{{{\rm{\alpha }}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{carbonate}}}}}}/{{{{{\rm{water}}}}}}})/{{{{\mathrm{ln}}}}}({\,\!}^{18}{{{{{{\rm{\alpha }}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{carbonate}}}}}}/{{{{{\rm{water}}}}}}})$$
(5)

Reconstructed parent water from speleothem carbonates

Values for 18αcarbonate/water and 17αcarbonate/water are necessary to back-calculate the triple oxygen isotope composition of the parent waters via a carbonate proxy. Previous studies suggested that different carbonate minerals (e.g., calcite, aragonite), should have very similar θcarbonate/water values. Theoretical estimates by Guo and Zhou67 for θcarbonate/water are 0.525 at 25 °C, and experimental results show values similar to these theoretical predictions: analysis of O2 derived from the fluorination of modern marine brachiopod shells resulted in values of 0.52486 and 0.52515 at 0 °C and 30 °C, respectively68. However, this parameter was predicted to have a potentially minor69,70 or moderate71 temperature sensitivity across the range of 0–40 °C11, in which the main source of uncertainty for the calculated water triple oxygen isotope compositions is derived from analytical errors, rather than the potential temperature effect on θcarbonate/water values. In this study, we calculated the parent water oxygen isotope values using the θcarbonate/water value of 0.525 and temperature-specific 18αcarbonate/water values72. The temperature is based on cave monitoring. The values of the parent water were calculated using a Monte Carlo model combined with statistical estimates of the uncertainty (Supplementary Table 1). Monte Carlo analysis (MC = 1000) was used to reconstruct the isotopic composition of the parent water from speleothem carbonates. The Error calculation includes uncertainties in temperature estimation, speleothem carbonates δ18O (0.010‰), and triple oxygen isotope exponent between carbonate and water (0.0001 for 18αcarbonate/water and 0.0002 for θcarbonate/water).

Spatial interpolation

Interpolated maps of the δ18O and Δ′17O values of speleothems were generated using inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation73, in ArcGIS 10.1 using the Geostatistical Analyst extension. The spherical semivariogram with a nugget effect was used for the IDW of isotopic data. The quality of the interpolated prediction was tested by cross-validation, which includes prediction at each sample site based on the IDW of the dataset without data from that site.

Moisture sources analysis

Moisture trajectories were derived using the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) HYSPLIT74. The moisture source area was determined based on the point density of the trajectories (an hourly point on the trajectory was taken as a point). The moisture back-trajectories are traced back to 120 h for different cave sites for summer (from June to September) and winter (from November to February).