Introduction

There is need to understand susceptibility to effects of radiation1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14—radiosensitivity, radioresistance, and radiation toxicity, and factors tied to these15,16,17. This understanding may be important both for optimizing therapeutic benefit of radiation treatment (e.g., using radiosensitizers) and for protecting patients from medical misadventure. Moreover, the need to understand factors linked to radiation effect vulnerability extends beyond settings of therapeutic radiation use (e.g., occupational and military occupational settings). Radiation therapy for cancers have both capitalized intentionally on radiosensitizers18, and been plagued by complications arising from inadvertent harms of radiation particularly to radiosensitive individuals17,19. Findings from medical radiation have parallels with ultraviolet radiation toxicity (e.g., sunburn). In that setting, photosensitizing agents are known, and oxidative stress (OS) is implicated20,21,22,23. OS arises from and contributes to mitochondrial toxicity, which also serves as a known toxicity mechanism for radiation across the electromagnetic spectrum, extending also to nonionizing radiation24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34.

Chemical sensitivity (symptoms in response to levels of chemicals that are not a problem for most people) has been tied to heightened sensitivity to toxicity from nonionizing radiation35,36. This is consistent with the same shared mechanisms of toxicity involving OS and mitochondrial impairment, relevant again to radiation and to many drugs and chemicals, irrespective of their nominal specific modes of action37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56. Some exposures—like organophosphates—can lead to persistent mitochondrial toxicity57,58,59 and thereby ongoing elevated OS60,61,62, so could serve as instigators of persistent radiation sensitivity. To our knowledge, there has been no assessment of whether chemical sensitivity is tied to radiosensitivity (which is the term used to refer to “the relative susceptibility of cells, tissues, organs or organisms to the harmful effect of ionizing radiation”63, here used in reference to the organisms)—increased toxicity/adverse effects (AEs) with ionizing radiation exposure.

Some agents (such as fluoroquinolone antibiotics) have been tied to radiation sensitivity in many frequency bands—for (ionizing) medical radiation64,65, photosensitivity (ultraviolent radiation)65,66,67,68, and nonionizing radiation sensitivity69. (Fluoroquinolone mechanisms of action prominently involve OS and mitochondrial impairment38).

Gulf War illness (GWI) is an environmentally-triggered chronic multisymptom health condition that affects an estimated third of the ~ 700,000 US personnel deployed to the 1990–1991 Gulf theater—attributable to deployment70. It prominently involves fatigue, brain and muscle symptoms, with gastrointestinal, respiratory, dermatologic, pain, and autonomic symptoms also common. Dose–response and gene-environment data support causality for environmental exposures, particularly acetylcholinesterase inhibiting carbamates. GWI has been documented to involve mitochondrial impairment71,72,73. Veterans with GWI (VGWI) report increased intolerance/AEs to many drugs and environmental exposures74, including increased rates of self-reported chemical sensitivity74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81—particularly those veterans with pesticide exposure81. Organophosphates and carbamates were heavily used in the Gulf82,83, and mechanisms of toxicity again involve OS and mitochondrial compromise84,85,86,87,88,89. VGWI were heavily exposed to numerous environmental agents. Increased exposures and increased AEs in this group may afford improved opportunity/power to appraise exposure relations to radiation AEs (RadAEs).

Electromagnetic radiation comprises “transverse” waves (in which the direction of variation is perpendicular to the direction of travel, in contrast to longitudinal waves, such as sound waves). These travel at the speed of light, irrespective of the frequency of the radiation. Since all travel at the same speed (“C,” 2.99 × 108 m/s), those with a longer wavelength (meters per cycle) must have a lower frequency (cycles per second) to achieve the same speed (meters per second or C). Higher frequencies of radiation have more energy, according to the equation E = hν, where “ν” (“nu”) is the frequency and “h,” the proportionality constant, is Planck’s constant. At high enough frequencies (energies), the energy suffices to dislodge an electron from an atom or molecule, a process termed “ionization.” Thus, higher frequencies—starting partway through the ultraviolet range and higher—are termed “ionizing” and lower frequencies termed “nonionizing.” Examples of nonionizing radiation include powerline radiation, radio waves, and microwaves (a subset of radio waves), such as are used in cell towers, cell phones and many communication devices. Examples of ionizing radiation include the higher frequencies of ultraviolet, as well as X-rays and gamma rays.

In fact, just because some radiation is ionizing does not mean that the ionization is responsible for its toxicity, and indeed most data on harms of (and protections against harms of) ionizing radiation relate not to the ionization but to oxidative stress—the type of free radical injury that antioxidants help to protect against—and oxidative stress is also shown for nonionizing radiation25 (both types also show interrelated biological mechanisms including mitochondrial injury, and membrane damage, for instance24,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99,100,101). This paper is focused on ionizing radiation, but draws parallels to findings reported with nonionizing radiation. (While there is nominally debate about whether nonionizing radiation can cause biological and health effects, this is substantially a manufactured debate, with evidence showing powerful ties between results of studies and financial conflicts of interest102,103. The majority of publications that evaluate the relationship between anthropogenic nonionizing radiation and biological/health effects do show a relationship, despite the impact of financial conflicts of interest104).

In this effort, we wish to see if the increased reported propensity to experience AEs to drugs and environmental factors observed in VGWI extended to AEs of radiation. We seek to assess whether propensity to experiencing RadAEs relates to GWI severity or to chemical sensitivity. Finally, we wish to begin initial exploration of whether certain exposure factors might contribute to mediating increased radiation adverse effect propensity, if observed.

Results

Table 1 shows participant characteristics. 93% of participants were male, 54% Caucasian. 41 GWI cases, and 40 controls matched to 40 of the cases were similar in age, sex, and ethnicity, by selection. Minor/nonsignificant differences were attributable to the additional unmatched case. VGWI were more likely to be married. (We’ve noted this in prior studies, and hypothesize that this is because VGWI are significantly compromised and it is primarily those with good social support that are able to add study participation to their already challenging lives). Cases were selected for meeting GWI symptom criteria, controls for not doing so. Thus, a total symptom score was much higher in affected veterans, as were a number of Kansas symptom domains that “qualified” toward GWI (out of a maximum of six). Self-reported chemical sensitivity was strongly greater in VGWI.

Table 1 Study participant characteristics (N = 81).

As Table 1 also shows, reported radiation exposures were greater in veteran participants, with the radiation exposure score 2.4-fold higher in those with GWI. Radiation symptoms were sixfold greater in VGWI than healthy controls; and RadAE propensity score was about 2.5-fold greater. (RadAE reports were predominantly from x-ray radiation in both cases and controls).

Table 2A shows that RadAE propensity relates strongly to GWI severity (gauged here by the summed Kansas symptom score) in the total sample and cases separately, demonstrated by nonparametric test of trend and (unadjusted) ordinal logistic regression. GWI severity range in controls is rigidly restricted (by selection), precluding meaningful analysis in controls separately. Table 2B shows that RadAE propensity relates strongly to chemical sensitivity, in the total sample and in cases separately. Significance of the relationship is shown by rank sum test, and then by (univariable) ordinal logistic regression. As noted previously, only one control cited chemical sensitivity, precluding analysis in controls separately.

Table 2 Radiation adverse effect propensitya: clinical correlates.

Numerous exposures were assessed as candidate univariate predictors of RadAE propensity, overall and separately in cases and controls. The strongest univariable predictors are shown in Supplement Table 1. Highlighted exposures are those that were significant in the total sample, and in cases and controls separately (despite low power for this assessment in controls). Exposures were prioritized for display if they had a z-score of at least 2 in cases and a z-score of around 3 or greater in the total sample. These included carbon monoxide (CO) (strongest in both groups, by over a full z-score point, overall and in cases separately), some fuels/solvents, metals, pesticides/repellents, and radiation. Radiation exposures were predictors of RadAE propensity in cases and in the total sample, but not in controls. Two exposures are shown that were strong in controls (albeit based on small numbers) and significant in the total sample, but not in cases.

Table 3 shows results of a multivariable regression model predicting RadAE propensity with several predictor variables. CO, diesel fumes, and twinrx (hepatitis A + B) vaccine were selected based on assessing univariable predictors to RadAE propensity in a multivariable model. As in the univariable assessments for all participants and for cases, CO was the strongest predictor. Testing other variables from Supplement Table 1 by addition/substitution to this Primary Model served to support the Primary Model. Pesticide and metal variables appeared promising on univariable assessment but did not approach significance with adjustment for Primary Model variables, while CO and diesel fumes retained significance. Twinrx had a weaker univariable relationship, but performed better than other assessed variables in the multivariable model. As Table 3 shows, GWI case status was not a separately significant predictor of RadAE propensity after these exposures were considered. Assessing the model in cases separately, two of the three variables retained significance. The magnitude of the beta was similar or greater in cases for the third variable, but the sample was smaller and standard error for the variable larger. The model was assessed in the full sample with and without adjustment for case status; and in cases and controls separately. Table 3 also shows the multivariable model in split halves analysis stratified at the median age. CO retains significance in both age strata. The twinrx exposure was borderline significant in both age groups. Attempting reassessment of age-stratified analysis among cases, or with adjustment for cases, appeared to reproduce significance of CO in both age groups (p < 0.001), and produced significance for the twinrx vaccine in the full group adjusted for case status; however, convergence was not achieved in the younger age group for these models.

Table 3 Radiation adverse effect propensitya: multivariable predictionb.

Table 4 shows the multivariable model in split halves analysis stratified at the median age. CO retains significance in both age strata. The twinrx exposure was borderline significant in both age groups. Attempting reassessment of age-stratified analysis among cases, or with adjustment for cases, appeared to reproduce significance of CO in both age groups (p < 0.001), and produced significance for the twinrx vaccine in the full group adjusted for case status; however, convergence was not achieved in the younger age group for these models.

Table 4 Radiation adverse effect propensitya: multivariable prediction stratified by chemical sensitivityb.

Table 4 shows the models stratified by chemical sensitivity. There were more participants without chemical sensitivity, but greater prevalence of radiation problems in those with chemical sensitivity. Significance for the CO relationship is observed in each group.

Supplement Table 2 shows that the relation of chemical sensitivity to RadAE propensity, and of GWI severity to RadAE propensity, each remained significant after adjustment for the model predictors, in the total sample (adjusted for case status), and in cases separately. The twinrx vaccine is significant in the model adjusted for chemical sensitivity but not GWI severity. Conversely, diesel fumes are significant in the model adjusted for GWI severity, but not the case model with adjustment for chemical sensitivity, consistent with collinearity between diesel fume exposure and chemical sensitivity. Strong significance for CO (p < 0.001) survives addition of these variables to the model. Case status emerges as a significant negative predictor of RadAE propensity in models adding adjustment for these variables.

Discussion

Three principal findings emerge from this study. First, VGWI were more prone to reported AEs when exposed to radiation than were healthy controls, and this propensity was tied to the severity of GWI. Heightened vulnerability to radiation toxicity is thus a newly described feature of GWI. Second, while a tie between chemical sensitivity and vulnerability to symptoms from nonionizing radiation has previously been reported35,36, a novel finding here is that heightened vulnerability of persons with chemical sensitivity to radiation extends to ionizing radiation adverse effects, consistent with known shared mechanisms of OS and mitochondrial impairment, for toxicity of radiation both ionizing and nonionizing24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34, and toxicity of many drugs and chemicals37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,105. Third, in the context that a hypothesized relation between CO exposure and vulnerability to nonionizing radiation has been previously reported106: here, CO exposure was the strongest and most robust predictor of ionizing RadAE propensity—robust to covariable adjustments and data stratifications.

Each of these findings triangulates with and receives support from other evidence. Increased vulnerability to reported RadAEs in GWI fits longstanding reports by VGWI that heightened vulnerability to drug and environmental toxicity is a feature of their illness—reports that now have substantiation in evidence74,107. Many drugs and chemicals, as well as both ionizing15,17,18,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120,121,122,123,124,125,126,127,128 and nonionizing24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31 radiation, have toxicity mediated substantially not through the nominal specific action of the respective agent, but through OS and mitochondrial injury37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56. Exposures and conditions tied to mitochondrial injury (like CO129,130,131,132,133,134; GWI71,73; and conditions that overlap with GWI such as chronic fatigue syndrome135, which is also tied to mitochondrial impairment135) may lead to greater free radical production since mitochondria—especially when compromised60,61,62—are a leading source as well as a target of oxygen free radicals60,61,62, providing a lesser antioxidant buffer against new exposures. This may also thwart ability of new exposures to produce oxidative preconditioning—upregulation of antioxidant defenses—if such defenses are already maximally engaged or overwhelmed. It is likely at least in part for this reason that mitochondrial patients can fare poorly with many drugs37,136,137; indeed, “avoiding certain drugs is often more beneficial than application of established, apparently indicated drugs”138. Moreover, “mitochondrial cocktails,” used to mitigate clinical problems in affected patients, focus on antioxidation in addition to energy support139,140. Patients with “overlap” syndromes, like chemical sensitivity/fibromyalgia/irritable bowel syndrome, which are present with increased prevalence in those with GWI75,78, can also fare poorly on many drugs141. Findings shown here dictate the need to examine whether ionizing RadAE vulnerability may also be elevated in overlap conditions like irritable bowel syndrome.

Chemical sensitivity is among the overlap conditions tied to vulnerability to AEs of nonionizing radiation, and is particularly strongly related35,142. Nonionizing radiation can also produce AEs104,143,144,145,146,147,148 (emphasizing a vulnerable subset), and as noted above, toxicity of radiation (nonionizing and ionizing) as well as of many drugs and chemicals is mediated by OS and mitochondrial impairment, providing a foundation for strong crossover. Consistent with mediation by OS, gene polymorphisms and detoxifying activity related to less avid antioxidant defenses have been linked to both chemical sensitivity149,150 and “electrosensitivity”151. OS and impaired antioxidant defenses have also been tied to heightened toxicity of ionizing radiation15,118. Chemical sensitivity and electrosensitivity overlap with chronic multisymptom illnesses like GWI and chronic fatigue syndrome69,152,153,154—i.e., prevalence of each is elevated in those affected by the other—and mitochondrial impairment has been reported in these latter conditions71,73,135,155. This underscores the likelihood that mitochondrial compromise—produced also by CO129,133,134,156,157—is a predisposing factor71,135. To our knowledge, the data presented here are the first to empirically tie reported chemical sensitivity or any related “overlap condition” to increased vulnerability to AEs from ionizing radiation.

Potentially buttressing the striking relationship observed between CO exposure and RadAE vulnerability, one physician published a report of his own experience developing nonionizing radiation sensitivity (electrosensitivity) following sustained low-grade CO exposure106; and we are familiar with another case of severe electrosensitivity that followed a more acute CO exposure with persisting sequalae. In both instances, the individuals became intolerant to forms of radiation (nonionizing and in at least one, also ionizing) that they previously tolerated. In both, temporality was clear: the CO exposure preceded heightened vulnerability to radiation effects. Since CO can cause mitochondrial injury and enhances OS production129,132,133,134, and since mitochondrial injury can lead to ongoing OS62,158, perching the individual closer to (or beyond) the threshold at which further OS or exposures will surpass antioxidant defenses, a causal relationship to heightened radiosensitivity is strongly plausible. Indeed, mechanisms of injury with CO, including mitochondrial damage and OS129,132,133,134, are also present with known radiation sensitizing (including photosensitizing) agents, such as fluoroquinolone antibiotics38,64,159,160,161,162,163,164,165,166,167,168,169,170.

Data were drawn from a study with a different principal purpose171,172; however, the original study included broad inquiries precisely to permit analyses like this that stretch knowledge about GWI and open domains of inquiry. Veterans with Gulf War illness are affected by fatigue, so inquiries eliciting AE details were optional: While comment lines were provided for adverse effect descriptions, many participants did not make use of the opportunity to share these. Although the sample size of 81 is comparatively modest for evaluating relations of exposures to outcomes, a focus on a high-exposure/high-outcome VGWI group markedly enhances statistical power, and strong significance even on internal stratification underscores the adequacy of sample size/power for this purpose. This study has limitations, such as the cross-sectional character of exposure and AE elicitation. However, prospective studies are unlikely to occur eliciting exposure and adverse effect information beginning during high exposure military operations, when different mission objectives are the priority. Additionally, a conflict involving the high number and intensity of multiple exposures may (it is hoped) not recur—and these adverse features advantage power to examine exposure-outcome ascertainments, for a study such as this.

Veterans have more health problems and may have been exposed to more medical radiation, but this cannot account for the evidence, including the apparent relation of RadAE propensity to CO exposure, and its significant relation to multiple chemical sensitivity—which is known to be elevated in VGWI75,76,77,78,80,81. These factors comport with the hypothesis that mitochondrial impairment—implicated in GWI71,73, in radiation toxicity24,173, in CO toxicity129,132,133,134 and in chemical sensitivity149—are implicated here.

The present study, as above, is cross-sectional, and involves self-report: Self-report always carries the possibility of reporting or recall bias. However, self-reported exposures in VGWI have effectively been validated by potent evidence of gene-environment interactions174,175 based on self-reported exposures: Such potent interactions, with self-report conducted in absence of knowledge of genetic features, validate exposure self-report in VGWI on a statistical basis. Moreover, prior literature has reported good concordance between patient reports/attributions of AEs and AEs determined based on knowledgeable interviewers’ ascertainment176,177. Retrospective AE self-report has elsewhere mirrored findings from AE reporting system data, which relies predominantly on provider reporting177,178. We know of no discussion relating radiation to GWI, or evaluating radiation injury as a feature of GWI (beyond limited discussions of depleted uranium). Nor has there been attention to CO (or diesel fumes)—though exhaust from tent heaters was a known exposure70. These factors reduce the likelihood that reporting bias plays a major role in the observed relationships.

In principle, it cannot be excluded from this analysis alone that common vulnerabilities (such as impaired antioxidant defenses) underlie both development of radiation toxicity, and recognition/awareness that CO exposure has occurred. Added caution with radiation exposure in those with past CO exposure would still, however, be indicated under this hypothesis.

Not every potentially relevant exposure was assessed, and for those that were, not enough individuals may have had the exposure to allow relevance to RadAE propensity to be evaluated. Sample sizes placed limits on examination of multiple exposures concurrently in relation to outcomes. Some exposure categories in which univariable relationships did not survive multivariable adjustment in this study, such as metal and pesticide exposures, may still merit attention in future studies. VGWI have the conjoint advantage and disadvantage, for exposure-outcome assessments, that they had many exposures. The presence of exposures aid power/ability to see exposure relationships to outcomes. Although exposure multiplicity might also increase prospects that an exposure serves as a proxy for a correlated exposure (or exposures), or that the relevance of an exposure may be obscured through collinearity with another exposure, replication of key study findings in controls goes far towards mitigating this concern. Particularly for exposure relations, authority of findings will rest on replication and/or triangulation with other evidence.

While multiple analyses were performed, most served to affirm/validate key findings in different ways. For exposure predictors, these served to first identify candidate predictors, and then assessed the robustness of identified exposure predictors. This type of analysis multiplicity, rather than serving to increase chance as the basis of findings, instead aids in defending against chance as the likely explanation for key findings.

Findings, positioned in context of other evidence, support a shift from the construct of “ionizing radiation” to the more clinically relevant construct of “oxidizing radiation.” Findings underscore the existing recognition that differences in vulnerability to radiation effects exist18,19,20,150 and that heightened vulnerability is tied to certain clinical conditions (e.g., here chemical sensitivity, GWI) and may be fostered by certain exposures. This information is important for optimizing outcomes and minimizing iatrogenic complications with radiation use for diagnosis and therapy1,2,64,65,179,180,181,182,183,184,185,186,187,188,189,190,191,192,193,194,195 and is germane in considerations for environmental and occupational radiation exposures. OS may heighten radiosensitivity—which may be favorable for treating cancer, but is unfavorable for bystander toxicity to healthy tissue. Findings fit with evidence that antioxidants may protect from the tissue injury that can follow radiation exposure, including for diagnostic purposes.

Future studies should replicate and extend findings, expand evaluation of, and prospectively assess predictors (including other factors tied to OS and mitochondrial mechanisms), elicit details on RadAEs, and expand assessment of whether vulnerability factors for AEs are shared for ionizing and nonionizing radiation35,196,197,198. Animal studies should experimentally examine the impact of individual and multiple pre-exposures, to a range of candidate risk factors (particularly with potential for mitochondrial toxicity)—assessing whether these depress the intensity or duration of radiation required to produce evidence of radiation damage, considering both damage mechanisms—e.g., OS, mitochondrial alteration, membrane alteration, etc.—or clinical injury—e.g., radiation mucositis, etc. Such assessments should consider including animals with genetic variations adverse to OS defense (vulnerable hosts), as occurs in environmentally vulnerable people18,19,20,150.

This study, for the first time, documents that radiation adverse effect propensity is elevated in veterans with Gulf War illness, a highly chemically exposed group. For the first time, it ties propensity to ionizing radiation adverse effects, to propensity to chemical sensitivity—extending past reported connections between chemical sensitivity and nonionizing radiation toxicity. For the first time, it identifies carbon monoxide exposure as an apparent risk factor for ionizing radiation sensitivity, triangulating with past published evidence putatively connecting carbon monoxide to development of nonionizing radiation sensitivity. Although these findings are novel, they fit in a framework of evidence in which exposures that mediate toxicity by oxidative stress and mitochondrial impairment (as does radiation) may serve as risk factors for development of enhanced toxicity with radiation exposure. Findings fit with and have implications for protection from radiation injury and enhancing radiation therapy effectiveness. Increased caution may be prudent with use of diagnostic and therapeutic radiation, and occupational or incidental exposure to radiation, in VGWI, in persons with chemical sensitivity, and in those with past carbon monoxide exposure.

Methods

Ethics statement

Data acquisition was funded by the Department of Defense Congressionally Directed Medical Research Programs (GW093063). The study funders had no role in the study design, collection, analysis and interpretation of data, or the decision to publish. The study was approved by the UCSD Human Research Protections Program (protocol number # 100959), and all participants gave written informed consent. All methods were performed in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations.

Study design

This study uses data from the UCSD Gulf War illness study, a case–control study from which multiple findings have emerged107,171,172,199,200. Both case–control analyses and cross-sectional analyses (examining predictor-outcome relationships in the total sample and in cases and controls separately) are included. Given the limited funding allocated for GWI and the strain on veteran participants arising from study participation, it is strongly desirable to respect participants’ contribution by efforts to gain (from this participation) maximal information of relevance and importance to affected veterans—and potentially extending beyond them. Use of data from a previous study constrains the nature of the measures available; these nonetheless afford critical opportunities to open new domains of inquiry.

Participants

Eighty-one participants comprised 41 VGWI, and 40 healthy controls matched 1:1 to 40 of the cases on sex, age (within 4 years), and ethnicity. An additional case completed the study; recruitment had continued until there were 40 matched pairs, and for this individual GWI case, a matched control had not at that time been identified. Although limited case–control comparisons are also included, most analyses here are cross-sectional and the additional case adds relevant information in this setting.

Cases

To qualify as a GWI case, veterans must have been deployed to the Persian Gulf theater of operations any time between August 1, 1990 and July 31, 1991. Veterans were additionally required to meet both Centers for Disease Control & Prevention (CDC) and Kansas symptom inclusion criteria for GWI78,201. CDC criteria require presence of symptoms for at least 6 months, arising during or after Gulf War participation, in at least two of the three domains of fatigue/sleep, mood-cognitive, and musculoskeletal201. The more discriminating and specific Kansas criteria require that symptoms have been present for at least six months, arising during or after Gulf deployment, in at least three of a suite of six categories comprising fatigue/sleep, pain, neurological, cognitive/mood, respiratory, gastrointestinal, and dermatologic78. For a symptom domain to qualify toward Kansas symptom criteria, the component symptoms must be at least moderate in severity (not mild) and/or there must be multiple symptoms within the category78.

Controls

Healthy non-veteran controls were drawn from the general population (using recruitment sources such as ResearchMatch and drawing on control participants from prior Gulf War illness studies). To qualify as a control, prospective participants were required to be non-veterans, meeting neither Kansas nor CDC symptom inclusion criteria for GWI, and additionally not meeting Kansas exclusion criteria (that is, they could not have other health conditions such as lupus or multiple sclerosis that could produce symptoms that could be confused for those of GWI, whether or not such symptoms were present). Controls were selected to match 1:1 to enrolled cases on sex, ethnicity, and age. A half-match for ethnicity was deemed to be qualifying, in recognition of the prevalence of mixed ethnicities. Age matching for matched pairs was within four years.

Preference for non-veteran healthy controls

Both veteran and non-veteran controls have limitations of different types. Veterans that are from the Gulf War era but were not deployed, were often selected for non-deployment for reasons that may compromise their validity as controls202. Moreover, many military will have had exposures that may bear shared mechanisms with exposures that triggered GWI problems. Examples include shared use of many vaccines, historical heavy use in the military of toxic pesticides, and potential for exposure to depleted uranium, burn pits etc., in other deployments. Therefore, other veterans may yield exposure histories and health histories intermediate between healthy non-veteran controls and affected Gulf War veterans. Deployed but healthy Gulf War veterans may be different in a distinct way, as these—if they bore full Gulf War exposures but nonetheless were healthy—may have distinct mechanisms/physiologies that provide (on a group basis) selective protection. For these reasons, despite distinct potential limitations, we have elected to use non-veteran healthy individuals as controls in our GWI studies71,73,107,171,172,199,200.

Measurements

Surveys elicited information on demographics, adherence to/scoring on Kansas and CDC GWI criteria, chemical sensitivity, exposures, and adverse effects.

Exposures

Participants were asked whether they had experienced each of an extensive list of general exposures (non-Gulf specific). Exposure to each was designated by the participant as “no,” “unsure,” or “yes” (coded as 0, 0.5, and 1, respectively). For veterans, a further survey inquired about Gulf theater-specific exposures. However, to enable use of the full sample, only non-Gulf specific exposures (including in the Gulf) are considered here (necessary to have numbers required for split halves and other analyses). For each exposure, participants were asked whether an adverse effect had been experienced to the exposure and were offered the (optional) opportunity to provide details. For this study, only radiation exposures (below) and their reported adverse effects were the focus of the outcome measure. Other exposures were assessed as predictors of radiation adverse effect propensity.

Radiation exposures

Four radiation-related exposures were queried: radiation therapy, x-ray radiation, radioactive chemicals, and other radiation. Exposures were rated “no,” “unsure,” or “yes.” Those with an exposure were asked if they had experienced an AE to the exposure (“symptoms or conditions” attributed to the exposure) and were offered the optional opportunity to provide details. Examples of radiation AEs can include, for instance, dermatitis6,13, mucositis6,9, esophagitis7, enteritis8, proctitis1,2, as well as central nervous system sequelae (including from blood–brain barrier breach)5; and so-called “late effects” also adding further renal, pulmonary, pain, fibrosis, lymphedema, skin, and CNS effects among others that have been tied to ongoing oxidative stress triggered by the radiation203,204. Response options were “no,” “unsure,” or “yes,” coded as 0, 0.5, and 1, respectively (functionally, an ordinal variable). A score of rRadAEs summed responses on the radiation exposure AE queries. Radiation exposures were summed across the radiation categories (totrad), downgrading unsure responses to 0.25 (so that when summed, four unsure responses are required to achieve the same score as one certain one). To generate a proxy for RadAE propensity, the ratio of rRadAEs over totrad was calculated following the tradition of ratio measures205. Three participants cited no radiation exposure. The decision was made to assign these a RadAE propensity of zero.

Chemical sensitivity

The study assessed self-rated chemical sensitivity via the chemical sensitivity question from the Kansas GWI questionnaire (recommended for GWI evaluation by both the Department of Defense206 and the Institute of Medicine/National Academy of Medicine207), as well as via our single-item UCSD GWI chemical sensitivity self-rating, analyzed as a binary assessment (0 if absent, 1 if present). The Kansas criteria question states: “Having physical or mental symptoms after breathing in certain smells or chemicals.” The timeframe for the Kansas query is the prior 6 months, with a 4-point Likert scale as absent, mild, moderate, severe rated 0, 1, 2, 3, respectively. The UCSD self-rating states: “Chemical sensitivity (e.g., unusual sensitivity to smells).” The timeframe is 2 weeks. The Kansas and UCSD measures show convergent validation against one another: r = 0.57, p = 0.0001. The single-item UCSD chemical sensitivity measure was further validated by affirming a previously reported relationship of chemical sensitivity to the polymorphism of the main mitochondrial antioxidant—SOD2, in which alanine rather than valine is present at codon 16208. This relationship was previously reported in a Japanese sample of paper pulp workers, that employed the QEESI chemical sensitivity ascertainment instrument (Japanese language version)149. Finally, the UCSD binary measure showed superior convergent validity relative to the Kansas instrument in correlating to actual chemical adverse effect propensity: UCSD r = 0.44, p = 0.004; Kansas r = 0.31, p = 0.047.

GWI severity was gauged by the proxy of summed Kansas criteria symptom scores78. Twenty-eight symptoms were each scored from 0 to 3 (as absent, mild, moderate, severe), and the ratings were summed.

Analyses

Descriptive statistics were used to depict participant characteristics, Kansas symptom ratings, totrad, rRadAE, RadAE propensity, GWI severity, and chemical sensitivity for all participants, and in cases and controls separately. Rank sum and chi-squared tests compared characteristics of cases to those of controls for continuous and categorical variables, respectively.

Relation of RadAE propensity to GWI severity score was assessed using nonparametric test of trend. Nonparametric tests were used due to skewed distributions. The relationship was assessed in the total sample and in cases separately. Controls were selected for very low and tightly restricted GWI severity scores, precluding separate analysis of these relationships in controls.

Relation of RadAE propensity to self-rated chemical sensitivity was assessed using the rank sum test, in all participants and in cases separately. Only one control cited chemical sensitivity, precluding separate analysis of this relationship in controls. RadAE propensity took on 10 ordinally progressing values, and each of the two clinical relationships were reassessed using (unadjusted) ordinal logit. All regressions used robust (heteroskedasticity-independent) standard errors.

Univariable exposure relations to RadAE propensity were evaluated in the total sample, and in cases and controls separately, using nonparametric test of trend. Separate assessment in cases was important to ensure that any relations did not derive simply from higher exposure in cases, and concurrent higher RadAE propensity in cases. Predictors with z-scores exceeding 2 in cases, and around or above 3 in the total sample were assessed for inclusion in a multivariable model.

A set of three candidate predictors that retained significance in a multivariable model were then evaluated in all participants (with and without adjustment for case status), and in cases separately. (Controls did not support separate multivariable assessment). The model was appraised in split halves analysis, stratified at the median age. It was also assessed stratified by presence/absence of reported chemical sensitivity. Impact of addition of chemical sensitivity and of GWI severity to the models was evaluated.

For one of the exposure variables used in the multivariable model (hepatitis A + B vaccine i.e., twinrx), three participants did not provide a response. Missing values were coded as zero (no exposure, the most common reported exposure status for the variable), to allow use of the full data set. No other exposure variables among those in multivariable analyses, and no other variables used in analyses, had missing values.

Multiple comparison adjustment was not performed in this analysis. This is a novel analysis opening an area of inquiry, a setting in which Type II error is the bigger concern. Additionally, multiple hypothesis adjustment is based on the presumption that chance is the first order explanation for findings, which is commonly not the case in real world data of this type209. For case–control comparisons, 41 and 40 participants nominally provide 80% power with 2-sided alpha of 0.05 to detect an effect that is at least 0.63 standard deviations. De facto, each analysis involves different power considerations due to different fractions of participants with an exposure or outcome. Our emphasis is on findings that are robust.

Analyses used Stata® versions 8.0 and 13.0 (College Station, Texas). Two-sided p < 0.05 designated statistical significance.