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Emergent constraints on climate sensitivity

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Fig. 1: Analysis of the robustness of the emergent constraint on ECS.
Fig. 2: Dependence of the emergent constraint on the time period.


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M.R., H.-B.F., K.R. and R.J.S. designed the study. H.-B.F. and R.J.S. collected data from the CMIP5 ensemble. M.R. and H.-B.F. performed the analyses. M.R., H.-B.F. and K.R. wrote the paper, with input from all authors.

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Correspondence to Martin Rypdal.

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Rypdal, M., Fredriksen, HB., Rypdal, K. et al. Emergent constraints on climate sensitivity. Nature 563, E4–E5 (2018).

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  • Emergent Constraints
  • Instrumental Temperature Record
  • Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC)
  • Multivariate Ornstein Uhlenbeck Process
  • Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS)

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