Abstract
Sea-level proxy records and palaeoclimate models suggest that globally elevated temperatures during the greenhouse climate of the Jurassic were punctuated by poorly understood, transient icehouse events. Here we investigate atmospheric CO2–ice-sheet dynamics as a case study from the Early Jurassic Pliensbachian–Toarcian transition (182.7–180.6 million years ago). Applying the C3 CO2 plant proxy to previously published fossil wood data reveals that CO2 levels during this transition ranged from 250 to 400 ppm. Previously published belemnite δ18O values suggest that sea-level low stands were equivalent to ice volumes up to two-thirds of Antarctica today. Beginning with the Toarcian ocean anoxic event, these ice sheets largely melted when CO2 reached sustained concentrations of ~500–700 ppm. Compared with the Cenozoic East Antarctic Ice Sheet and ice sheets modelled for the Middle Jurassic, Early Jurassic ice sheets exhibit minimal lags (hysteresis) between warming and cooling limbs, suggesting they were thin and located at lower latitudes and elevations with a higher temperature sensitivity to melting. These sensitivities of ice volume to CO2 provide additional constraints on climate models for application to warming transitions in both the past and future.
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Data availability
All values from wood and bulk carbonate δ13C to compute atmospheric CO2 concentrations and all values from the δ18O of belemnites for sea-level estimates were compiled from other sources as discussed in the main text and Methods section. Readers may contact L.N. if additional information is needed from this manuscript.
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Acknowledgements
We thank H. Jahren for comments that improved the clarity of the manuscript. S. Hesselbo kindly provided his previously published stable carbon and oxygen data from the Peniche study area.
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L.N. and D.B. designed the study. J.W. helped provide the underlying assumptions and plant physiological interpretations of the C3 plant CO2 proxy. L.N. wrote the main part of the paper in consultation with D.B. and J.W.
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Extended data
Extended Data Fig. 1 δ18O belemnite values from the Western Tethys.
Note general congruence of data prior to the T-CIE, and greater scattering during and after. Study areas in the northern Tethys (Bulgaria72; Yorkshire, UK, plus symbol73; Yorkshire, UK, gray square74; Yorkshire, UK, orange circle75; S. France76; Belgium77; Germany78; and S. France77) were likely influenced by freshwater lowering δ18O values during the T-CIE, where because of anoxia, belemnites may have migrated to warmer surface habitats further lowering isotopic values50. Scattered δ18O values after the T-CIE are attributed to the evolution of new belemnite species adapted to different habitats in the water column50. Data from Portugal and Spain (N. Spain, gray circle23; N. Spain, blue circle22; N. Spain, red circle24; Portugal, green circles19) were influenced less by freshwater and anoxia, and used for the sea level computations.
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Nordt, L., Breecker, D. & White, J. Jurassic greenhouse ice-sheet fluctuations sensitive to atmospheric CO2 dynamics. Nat. Geosci. 15, 54–59 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00858-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00858-2
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