Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • News & Views
  • Published:

Biodiversity redistribution

Rapid range shifters show unexpected population dynamics

Combining species range-shift estimates with population trends for 146 marine species reveals that population abundances tend to decline as the velocity with which the species’ range is shifting poleward increases. The findings suggest widespread transient population dynamics rather than a simple dichotomy between climate-change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Fig. 1: Embracing both range-shift and population-level viewpoints to understand biodiversity redistribution under climate change.

References

  1. Poloczanska, E. S. et al. Nat. Clim. Chang. 3, 919–925 (2013).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  2. Lenoir, J. et al. Nat. Ecol. Evol. 4, 1044–1059 (2020).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  3. Free, C. M. et al. Science 363, 979–983 (2019).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  4. Hastings, R. A. et al. Curr. Biol. 30, 1572–1577.e2 (2020).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  5. McLean, M. et al. Curr. Biol. 31, 4817–4823.e5 (2021).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  6. Cheung, W. W. L., Watson, R. & Pauly, D. Nature 497, 365–368 (2013).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  7. Dornelas, M. et al. Ecol. Lett. 22, 847–854 (2019).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  8. Chaikin, et al. Nat. Ecol. Evol., https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-024-02350-7 (2024).

  9. Comte, L. et al. BioShifts: a global geodatabase of climate-induced species redistribution over land and sea. Figshare https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.7413365.v1 (2020).

  10. Dornelas, M. et al. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 27, 760–786 (2018).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  11. Gottfried, M. et al. Nat. Clim. Chang. 2, 111–115 (2012).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  12. Bertrand, R. et al. Nature 479, 517–520 (2011).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  13. Devictor, V. et al. Nat. Clim. Chang. 2, 121–124 (2012).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  14. Comte, L., Olden, J. D., Tedesco, P. A., Ruhi, A. & Giam, X. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 118, e2011639118 (2021).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  15. Chen, I.-C., Hill, J. K., Ohlemüller, R., Roy, D. B. & Thomas, C. D. Science 333, 1024–1026 (2011).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  16. Parmesan, C. et al. Nature 399, 579–583 (1999).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  17. Doak, D. F. & Morris, W. F. Nature 467, 959–962 (2010).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jonathan Lenoir.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Lenoir, J., Comte, L. Rapid range shifters show unexpected population dynamics. Nat Ecol Evol (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-024-02354-3

Download citation

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-024-02354-3

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing