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Combined effect of visit-to-visit variations in heart rate and systolic blood pressure on all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients

Hypertension Research volume 44, pages 1291–1299 (2021)Cite this article

Abstract

Elevated resting heart rate (RHR) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) are independent risk factors for all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients. However, the association of the visit‐to‐visit variation (VVV) in SBP and RHR with the risk of mortality in hypertensive patients remains unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of the VVVs in SBP and RHR on the risk of all-cause mortality. We enrolled 16,602 hypertensive patients from the Kailuan cohort study who underwent three health examinations from 2006 to 2010. The VVVs in SBP and RHR were defined by the coefficient of variation, standard deviation, variability independent of the mean, and average real variability. High variability was defined as the highest quartile of variability. Participants were classified numerically according to the number of high-variability parameters (e.g., a score of 2 indicated high variability in two parameters). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios for mortality. High VVVs in SBP and RHR were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients. In the multivariable-adjusted model comparing a score of 0 with a score of 2, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) for all-cause mortality were 1.38 (1.11–1.69), 1.52 (1.24–1.87), 1.32 (1.07–1.63), and 1.43 (1.16–1.75) using the coefficient of variation, standard deviation, variability independent of the mean, and average real variability, respectively. High VVVs in SBP and RHR constituted an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients. High VVVs in SBP and RHR additively increased the risk of all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients.

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Acknowledgements

We thank all of the members of the Kailuan Study Group for their contributions, the participants who contributed their data, and Liwen Bianji, Edanz Editing China (www.liwenbianji.cn/ac), for editing the English text of a draft of this manuscript.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Cardiology, Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing, China

    MaoXiang Zhao, Siyu Yao, Yao LI, Miao Wang, Chi Wang, Cuijuan Yun, Sijin Zhang, Yizhen Sun, Ziwei Hou & Hao Xue

  2. Department of Cardiology, Kailuan Hospital, Tangshan, China

    Shouling Wu

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Contributions

MXZ had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Concept and design: MXZ, MW, CW, SY, YL, SZ, CY. Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: MXZ, SW, and HX. Drafting of the manuscript: MXZ, SW, and HX. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: all authors. Statistical analysis: MXZ. Supervision: SW and HX.

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Correspondence to Shouling Wu or Hao Xue.

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Zhao, M., Yao, S., LI, Y. et al. Combined effect of visit-to-visit variations in heart rate and systolic blood pressure on all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients. Hypertens Res 44, 1291–1299 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41440-021-00695-1

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