Abstract
Two contrasting ecological models have been proposed for recovery from mass extinctions. The first posits that evolutionary recoveries are structured by trophic interactions alone, resulting in a predictable recovery of species richness and abundance earlier in lower trophic levels1. The second, the contingent model, holds that both chance and ecology are key to the structure of recoveries2, thus precluding inherent predictability. Documented recovery patterns from the Cretaceous–Palaeogene mass extinction could support either model1,3,4,5, as most previous studies have lacked the high-resolution records needed to discriminate between the scenarios. Here we use high-resolution marine sediment records to reconstruct pelagic community structure during the Palaeogene recovery in three sites in the South Atlantic and North Pacific Ocean. We document heterogeneity in the timing of recovery between sites from the alternative community structures characteristic in early pelagic ecosystems. We show that the evolution of species richness and abundance is decoupled between two well-represented groups of phytoplankton and zooplankton, as well as between taxa within a single trophic level. Our results favour the contingent recovery model. We suggest that ecological and environmental mechanisms may account for any similarities in community structure among sites and for the eventual transition from early recovery to late recovery communities, whereas chance may explain intersite differences in the timing and recovery path.
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Acknowledgements
This work was funded by NASA Exobiology grant NNX07AK62G (to R.D.N. and T.J.B.) and supported by the Ocean Drilling Program (special thanks to P. Rumford, C. Broyles and J. Firth). Thanks to A. Bhattacharya at Harvard for helium data, discussions and manuscript comments; S. Jiang at Jinan University for nannoplankton data; L. Eccles, T. Lindemann and G. Smith at Penn State for size structure analyses; D. Andreasen at UC Santa Cruz for stable isotope analyses; S. Kirtland, T. Westerhold and U. Röhl for X-ray fluorescence core scanning at the Bremen Repository; J. C. Zachos at UC Santa Cruz for suggesting the shell-weight analyses; M. D. Ohman and the Norris lab (Scripps Inst. of Oceanography), the Briggs lab (Yale), and M. L. Spreitzer, T. Manousaki and S. Fan (Universität Konstanz) for comments and suggestions improving the clarity of the manuscript.
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P.M.H., R.D.N. and T.J.B. conceived the study; all authors generated, compiled and analysed the data, and contributed to the writing of the manuscript.
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Hull, P., Norris, R., Bralower, T. et al. A role for chance in marine recovery from the end-Cretaceous extinction. Nature Geosci 4, 856–860 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1302
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1302
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