Genome-wide association studies have identified numerous loci linked with complex diseases, for which the molecular mechanisms remain largely unclear. Comprehensive molecular profiling of circulating metabolites captures highly heritable traits, which can help to uncover metabolic pathophysiology underlying established disease variants. We conduct an extended genome-wide association study of genetic influences on 123 circulating metabolic traits quantified by nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomics from up to 24,925 individuals and identify eight novel loci for amino acids, pyruvate and fatty acids. The LPA locus link with cardiovascular risk exemplifies how detailed metabolic profiling may inform underlying aetiology via extensive associations with very-low-density lipoprotein and triglyceride metabolism. Genetic fine mapping and Mendelian randomization uncover wide-spread causal effects of lipoprotein(a) on overall lipoprotein metabolism and we assess potential pleiotropic consequences of genetically elevated lipoprotein(a) on diverse morbidities via electronic health-care records. Our findings strengthen the argument for safe LPA-targeted intervention to reduce cardiovascular risk.
An understanding of the genetic factors involved in systemic metabolism and their associations with chronic disease is a key objective, as large disease consortia have now uncovered numerous variants associated with metabolic diseases1,2. Metabolic phenotypes serve as good intermediate traits for a genome-wide association study (GWAS) and blood metabolites can be potentially used to discover genetic determinants of circulating metabolites, and particularly to understand the metabolic context of disease-associated genetic variants. Advances in nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy and mass spectrometry have enabled analytical techniques that can provide hundreds of quantitative metabolic measures from large biological sample collections3. GWAS meta-analysis of metabolic measures from these methodologies have been performed, however, the sample sizes have only reached several thousand, which is still modest compared with disease consortia studies4,5,6. The size of previous GWASs utilizing metabolic profiling techniques may partially explain the modest new biological insight added for known disease-associated variants.
To overcome the challenge of small sample size, we perform an expanded GWAS from our previous study4 by combining up to 24,925 individuals in a meta-analysis of 123 metabolic measures. We discover eight new loci for circulating metabolites. We focus on a new metabolite association with variants in LPA, a known coronary heart disease (CHD) risk locus. We follow up the novel association by constructing a strong genetic risk score for LPA and use the risk score for the molecular characterization of the metabolic effects of Lp(a) synthesis and assessment of causality for the metabolic associations. Finally, we perform reverse genetics using electronic health records together with the genetic risk score to test if LPA targeting treatment for reducing CHD risk would be associated with potential strong comorbidities. To conclude, we demonstrate how intermediate phenotypes can provide new biological information for known disease loci and how large multi-omics biobank data could be used to inform drug discovery already at an early stage.
Genome-wide association study
Using the additive genetic model, we tested for univariate associations between genome-wide single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) panels imputed to 39 million genetic markers and 123 human blood lipid and metabolite concentrations quantified by high-throughput NMR spectroscopy metabolomics (Supplementary Table 1 for trait information, Methods for analysis details) in 14 genotyped data sets derived from ten European studies (Fig. 1) for up to 24,925 individuals (Table 1 for study characteristics, Supplementary Table 2 for study details and Supplementary Notes 1 for study descriptions). Cohorts were analysed individually and summary statistics were combined in a meta-analysis (Methods). Up to 12,133,295 SNPs, small insertions and deletions were included in the meta-analysis after applying quality control filters. All meta-analysis results are available through URL: http://www.computationalmedicine.fi/data/NMR_GWAS/. To correct for multiple testing, genome- and metabolome-wide statistical significance was set to P<2.3 × 10−9, where the standard genome-wide significance level (5 × 10−8) is divided by the number of principal components (22) that explain over 95% of variation in the metabolomics data. Overall, 62 loci were significantly associated with at least one metabolic measure. Supplementary Fig. 1 presents the associations in 2 Mb windows around the strongest individual variant for the 62 loci. The forest plots for all 62 lead variant associations are shown in Supplementary Fig. 2. We tested if the identified 62 loci harboured additional independent variants. In 9 out of the 62 loci (PCSK9, LPL, PPM1K, HAL, CETP, CILP, PLTP, APOB and LIPC), we found a secondary statistically independent association, in 2 of these loci (APOB and LIPC), we found a third independent variant and LIPC additionally harboured a fourth independent variant (Supplementary Table 3 and Methods). The formal conditional testing was first performed in a subset of cohorts and after conditioning with significant variants, the resulting lead variant was then tested using the genomic correlation structure information and summary statistics (Methods). Our correlation structure was obtained from the Finnish population that has longer linkage disequilibrium structure than more outbred populations7 and as a result our discovered number of independent variants may be an underestimate. The strength of our approach was to first optimize the variance explained by the next best variant. However, our approach may result in an underestimate of the number of independent variants in a locus, as the variant that explains largest proportion of variance in a trait may be tagging two or more functional variants8. In contrast, if the independent variant detection relied only on correlation structure and summary statistics, it may result in a gross overestimate on the number of independent variants in a locus if data are imputed with 1,000 Genomes reference panel. This is because an algorithm based on r-squared between markers does not perform well with rare or low-frequency variants. Overall, this resulted in a total of 74 variants that were independently associated with one or more of the 123 metabolic traits. We estimated the proportion of variance explained by these 74 variants on the metabolic traits (Supplementary Table 1 and Methods). For all, but six, metabolite traits, we observed at least one genome-wide significant association, with the proportion of variance explained ranging from 0.2% for acetoacetate to 12.5% for glycine, with a median of 5%. The average increase in the proportion of variance explained was 1.1% when comparing with our previous study4. In 8 of the 62 loci, we found the lead variant to be a non-synonymous substitution. The SERPINA1 missense variant (rs28929474) had not been identified as the lead variant for the associated metabolite in prior GWAS. The variant had not been available from the HapMap-panel or through genotyping arrays but has become available through 1,000 Genomes imputation. This may explain why we see it as a new lead variant. The PCSK9 locus also harboured a missense variant as a secondary signal that was independent of the lead variant (Supplementary Table 3). We used the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) project database to further evaluate if the independent SNPs would be associated with the expression of nearby genes in various human tissues9 and the expression quantitative loci (eQTLs) are presented in Supplementary Table 4 (Methods). Although GTEx is still in pilot phase, we were able to link 14 variants with gene expression of nearby genes, and in six loci, our manually curated functional candidate was confirmed as an eQTL (Table 2 and Supplementary Table 4). The eight loci that have not previously been associated with the same or similar metabolic measures in population samples are listed in Table 2. Six of the eight novel loci were associated with the blood concentration of amino acids, one with pyruvate and one with polyunsaturated fatty acids. The glycine decarboxylase (GLDC) on chromosome 9q24.1 (rs140348140, P=3.7 × 10−40) and glycine cleavage system protein H (GCSH) on chromosome 16q23.2 (rs10083777, P=3.0 × 10−13) gene regions showed association with glycine concentrations. In addition, rs10083777 was associated with the expression of GCSH in the tibial nerve in the GTEx data (Supplementary Table 5). As a potential limitation, because of GTEx still being in pilot phase, we cannot assess if the variant is also associated with GCSH expression in other tissues. Mutations in these two genes have been previously shown to cause Glycine Encephalopathy (OMIM: 605899), a rare recessive disorder of glycine metabolism that manifests as severe early onset neurological complications and is diagnosed by abnormally high glycine concentration in the blood. In this study, we have linked the neuronal expression of GCSH and circulating glycine levels with a common variant on the population level.
Known loci and LPA association
In addition to the new loci discovered, we found significant SNPs spread in 54 loci that have already been associated with the same or related metabolic measures as presented in the catalogue of published GWASs1 or recently discovered5 (Supplementary Table 4). We then went through the loci that had been associated with similar metabolic traits compared with the prior published findings to pinpoint potential novel biological functions for the already known loci. Here, we noted that the Lp(a)-raising allele rs10455872-G located in the intron of LPA was associated with a smaller diameter of very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) particles (P=1.3 × 10−12). This allele was also associated with lower concentrations of extra-large, large and medium VLDL particles (Fig. 2). This metabolic link found between circulating Lp(a) with VLDL metabolism is novel. Lp(a) is thought to be comprised of an low-density lipoprotein (LDL) particle and a covalently bound protein product of the LPA gene, apo(a). Although the same variant in the LPA locus has been associated with LDL and total cholesterol in over 100,000 individuals10, our association in this study had nearly twice the effect estimate for the VLDL associations using the same variant. Both studies had standardized values and compared effect estimates were in standard deviation units. The LPA locus is known for its association with CHD risk11,12 and the genetic variants associated with higher CHD risk are also associated with higher Lp(a) concentrations13 making it a potentially important drug target for CHD. Furthermore, the Lp(a) increasing allele rs10455872-G has also been shown to reduce statin response, which implies that LPA targeting treatment could also potentially improve statin efficacy14,15.
Genetic risk score for LPA and metabolite associations
We have discovered new and stronger metabolic associations for a known important CHD risk locus than identified previously10. This intriguing finding directed us to fine map the genetic architecture of Lp(a) in order to generate the best possible Lp(a) genetic risk score (GRSLp(a)) that would enable us to clarify associations with the intricate aspects of lipoprotein metabolism. The gene score was generated by performing GWAS on circulating Lp(a) levels in FINRISK97 (N=4,935) using stepwise incremental conditioning (Supplementary Methods). The resulting gene score consisted of 18 independent genetic variants located near the LPA gene and associated with Lp(a) at genome-wide significance (P<5 × 10−8). All 18 SNPs were further replicated for circulating Lp(a) in The Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study (YFS; N=2,022, Supplementary Table 6). The effect estimate weighted gene score explained 54% of Lp(a) variation in the discovery and 45% in the replication cohort. Notably, the effect estimates for the 18 variants were generally larger in the replication cohort, which might be reflective of the different assay methods used (Supplementary Table 5). We then assessed whether the metabolic associations were strengthened by the better instrument for genetically elevated Lp(a) by meta-analysing risk score associations with the metabolic measures in FINRISK97 and YFS (Fig. 3). The strongest association for the GRSLp(a) was again with the diameter of VLDL particles (P=8.6 × 10−47, N=7,365, Supplementary Data 1 for all associations in both individuals cohorts). We used Mendelian randomization16 to evaluate causality of Lp(a) for metabolic disturbances (Supplementary Methods and Fig. 3); the detailed lipoprotein measures and circulating Lp(a) levels were available in the FINRISK97 and YFS cohort for 4,889 and 1,991 individuals, respectively. The similar association pattern between observational associations and causal effect estimates strongly support that Lp(a) synthesis is causally altering lipoprotein concentrations (observational associations and instrumental variable estimates for the metabolites are presented in Fig. 3, and Supplementary Data 1). These findings suggest, maybe somewhat surprisingly, that Lp(a) synthesis widely affects overall lipoprotein metabolism, and in particular, the synthesis of large VLDL particles in the liver and thereby the triglyceride metabolism in general. Based on these results, we propose that the apoB-containing lipoprotein particle used to form Lp(a) by the covalent attachment of apo(a), may actually also be a poorly lipidated VLDL-type of particle. This suggests that circulating Lp(a) particles are likely to be a more heterogeneous group than simply an apo(a) component added to LDL particles17.
LPA genetic risk score with electronic health records
Although several pharmaceutical agents are known to cause a modest decrease of circulating Lp(a), no drugs exist yet to effectively lower Lp(a)18. Statins do not lower the risk due to Lp(a) as statin use was not associated with a change in Lp(a) levels in a study by Cobbaert et al.19 and the JUPITER trial showed that Lp(a) was a significant predictor of residual risk in participants treated with potent statin therapy20. However, an antisense oligonucleotide targeting LPA mRNA was shown to effectively lower circulating Lp(a) in a phase 1 trial21 and is now in phase 2 trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02160899). The pharmacological use still depends on whether the LPA expression modifying treatment would be associated with unintended side effects. Since we were able to derive an exceptionally strong genetic instrument for the metabolic associations, we used reverse genetics to assess whether genetically elevated Lp(a) would be associated with any disease leading to hospitalization or death across the nation-wide electronic health-care registers in Finland in the FINRISK samples (N=17,487; 429,357 person-year follow-up; Supplementary Methods). We found that the gene score for Lp(a) was associated with ischaemic heart diseases (ICD10 I20-I25, P=6.8 × 10−9, Nevents=1,634, odds ratio (OR)=1.25 per unit increment in log(Lp(a))) but not with any of the other of the 218 summary diagnoses tested (Supplementary Data 2). Consistently, the gene score was only associated with diagnoses within this ICD-block when testing associations across all the 615 diagnoses in the electronic health-care records at the accuracy of three-digit ICD codes (Supplementary Data 2). Our study extends the results from a loss-of-function study by Lim et al.22 that used two truncating LPA splice variants serving as a human knock-out model for LPA. Their study found no increased morbidity for the individuals carrying the LPA knockout alleles. The present study had a considerably stronger genetic instrument for evaluating co-morbidities linked with Lp(a) in the general population and thus strengthens the evidence that no strong common disease co-morbidities are caused by Lp(a). However, these reverse genetic analyses prevent conclusions for rare disease events or weak association for common diseases. In addition, the Hospital Discharge Register Diagnoses are non-validated outcomes and this may reduce our power to detect associations. However, the general validity of the Finnish Hospital Discharge Register Diagnoses has been examined in numerous studies and found to be good23. Nevertheless, these novel findings support the notion that lowering circulating Lp(a) levels would be a suitable therapeutic target to reduce residual CHD risk, and that LPA targeting therapy could be a beneficial addition to statin treatment.
In this study, detailed molecular profiles of circulating metabolites were analysed for almost 25,000 individuals to increase knowledge on genetic regulation of systemic metabolism. Our main findings were twofold. First, a discovery of eight new genetic loci for circulating metabolites and fatty acids. The new associated loci contained either transporters or enzymes closely involved in the metabolism or trafficking of the associated metabolite as shown in Table 2. These new data are now available to be used to study the potential causality of a plethora of biomarkers and to better understand the intricate metabolic effects of known risk factors. Second, in our search for new metabolic pathways in relation to known disease-associated variants, we found that a known CHD-associated variant near LPA was linked with circulating triglycerides and VLDL metabolism. Because of these new metabolic findings for this particular variant, we focused on this region and fine mapped the genetic architecture of Lp(a). In fact, we were able to generate a gene score that explained over 45% of the variation in Lp(a) in the replication cohort. The metabolic associations were strengthened with the stronger genetic instrument. Subsequently, we used the genetic risk score in Mendelian randomization to show that the discovered novel effects of Lp(a) synthesis on overall lipoprotein and triglyceride metabolism are causal. Furthermore, as we now had a strong genetic risk score for Lp(a), we could use it for reverse genetics in combination with electronic health records. Intriguingly, according to extensive electronic health record data, the genetic variation in LPA appears to be associated with ischaemic heart disease but not with other common adverse disease events. Thus, our results provide the first evidence of the potential consequences to lipoprotein metabolism when people are treated with emerging drugs (a phase 2 trial for LPA mRNA antisense oligonucleotides is currently active (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02160899)). Our findings also provide support that the treatment may well be suitable for CHD risk reduction and is likely to be free of other strong morbidities. This study also serves as a proof of concept in terms of how large multiomics biobank data could be efficiently used to inform drug discovery at an early stage.
This work is an extension of our previous GWA-metabolomics study, in which the quantitative high-throughput NMR metabolomics platform, used to quantify human blood metabolites, was applied4. In this study, we have utilized the same platform to quantify 123 metabolite measures that represent a broad molecular signature of systemic metabolism. The metabolite set covers multiple metabolic pathways, including lipoprotein lipids and subclasses, fatty acids as well as amino acids and glycolysis precursors. Most of the NMR-based metabolomics analyses were performed with the comprehensive quantitative serum/plasma platform described originally by Soininen et al.24 and reviewed recently25. This same platform was used here to analyse samples in Estonian Genome Center of University of Tartu Cohort (EGCUT), Finnish Twin Cohort, a subsample of FINRISK 1997 (FR97), Genetic Predisposition of Coronary Heart Disease in Patients Verified with Coronary Angiogram (COROGENE), Genetics of METabolic Syndrome, Helsinki Birth Cohort Study (HBCS), Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA), Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 (NFBC 1966), FINRISK subsample of incident cardiovascular cases and controls (PredictCVD), EGCUT sub-cohort (PROTE) and YFS. Metabolite-specific untransformed distributions and descriptive summary statistics from the largest cohort, NFBC 1966, are presented in Supplementary Fig. 3. Chemical shifts and the coefficients of variation for inter-assay variability are presented in Supplementary Data 3 for each metabolite. Here, the study was extended with Erasmus Rucphen Family Study (ERF), Leiden Longevity Study (LLS) and Netherlands Twin Register (NTR) cohorts for which the small-molecule information was available from another NMR-based method (Supplementary Table 2 for details)26. Metabolite-specific untransformed distributions and descriptive summary statistics for these measures from the ERF cohort are given in Supplementary Fig. 4. Chemical shifts and the coefficients of variation for inter-assay variability are presented in Supplementary Table 7. The sample material was mostly serum, except for EGCUT, PROTE, NTR and LLS in which the sample material was EDTA-plasma. The ERF cohort had additional lipoprotein measures available through the method developed by Bruker Ltd. (https://www.bruker.com/fileadmin/user_upload/8-PDF-Docs/MagneticResonance/NMR/brochures/lipo-analysis_apps.pdf). The terminology of this method utilized for lipoprotein analyses in ERF was matched based on the lipoprotein particle size with the comprehensive quantitative serum/plasma platform to enable meta-analyses. The vast majority of blood samples were fasting, however, if a study did not have overnight fasting samples, we corrected the fasting time effect by using R package gam and fitting a smoothed spline to adjust for fasting. All metabolites were first adjusted for age, sex, time from last meal, if applicable, and ten first principal components from genomic data and the resulting residuals were transformed to normal distribution by inverse rank-based normal transformation.
Genome-wide association study
We performed a GWAS for metabolites from 14 cohorts from Europe, totaling up to 24,925 individuals (cohorts are described in Table 1, Supplementary Table 2 and Supplementary Notes 1) to include as many samples with NMR metabolite data and genome-wide SNP array data as possible. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants. Studies were approved by the following ethical committees: Ethical Committee of Oulu University Faculty of Medicine for NFBC 1966; Ethics Committee of the National Public Health Institute for Health2000 and HBCS; Helsinki University Hospital Coordinating Ethical Committee for FINRISK and Twins; The KORA studies have been approved by the ethics committee of the Bavarian Medical Association; NTR, Central Ethics Committee on Research Involving Human Subjects of the VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam; EGCUT, Ethics Review Committee on Human Research of the University of Tartu; ERF, medical ethics board of the Erasmus MC Rotterdam, the Netherlands; LLS, Medical Ethical Committee of the Leiden University Medical Centre; and Ethics Committee of the Hospital District of Southwest Finland for YFS. Individuals under lipid-lowering medication or pregnant were excluded form the analyses. FINRISK cohorts included genotype batches PredictCVD, COROGENE, DILGOM and FINRISK97. Estonian biobank had two genotype batches included in this study: EGCUT and PROTE. Genotype batches were analysed separately. We used an additive model implemented in analysis software (Supplementary Table 2) for each cohort. All studies were approved by local ethical committees. SNPs were imputed up to 39 million markers using a 1000 Genomes Project March 2012 version as described in Supplementary Table 2 (ref. 27). The genomic positions used throughout this study are human genome build 39. Each cohort was analysed separately and SNPs with accurate imputation (proper info>0.4) and minor allele count >3 were combined in fixed-effects meta-analysis using double genomic control correction, that is, both individual cohort results and meta-analysis results were corrected for the genomic inflation factor as implemented in GWAMA28. Variants, after filtering and meta-analysis, present in more than seven studies were considered for the final results. A genome-wide significance level was set to 2.27 × 10−9 correcting for 22 independent tests as the metabolite data are correlated (standard genome-wide significance threshold of 5 × 10−8/22, the number of principal components explaining over 95% of the variance in the metabolomics data). The number of independent tests was derived from the number of principal components that explain over 95% of variation in the metabolite data. All traits gave genomic inflation factors in the meta-analysis less than 1.034 showing that there was little evidence of systematic bias in the test statistics. Quantile plots for measurements listed in Supplementary Table 1 are presented in Supplementary Fig. 5.
Conditional analyses and proportion of variance explained
We conducted an initial formal conditional analysis for each of the 62 significant loci. We performed an association test for all SNP—trait pairs in a 2- or 4-Mb window around the lead SNP. The 4-Mb window was used for seven loci where the association peak was so wide that it spanned over the 2-Mb window, as in the case of CPS1 locus. The associations in each window were first screened in the seven Finnish cohorts only. The lead SNP-trait pair was then analysed using the meta-analysis summary statistics and correlation structure from the FINRISK-cohort to adjust for the correlation between the lead SNP and possible secondary variant using the method proposed by Yang et al.29. Further association was similarly adjusted for correlation between preceding variants. The proportion of variance explained was calculated based on the summary statistics for each trait accounting for all independent SNPs from the primary meta analysis and conditional analyses that were significant at the pre-specified threshold (P=2.27 × 10−9) for that trait.
GTEx eQTL analyses
We investigated whether the lead SNPs of our associated loci were also associated with the expression levels of nearby genes by querying the multi-tissue gene expression resource from The GTEx project9,30. The project, data collection and analysis methods were recently described in detail9. Briefly, the pilot data set of the GTEx Project (dbGaP accession number phs000424.v3.p1) provides expression data for multiple tissues from up to 156 densely genotyped individuals per tissue. The eQTL analysis was focused on nine tissues having greater than 80 samples (Adipose—Subcutaneous, Artery—Tibial, Heart—Left Ventricle, Lung, Muscle—Skeletal, Nerve—Tibial, Skin—Sun Exposed Lower leg, Thyroid and Whole Blood) and genes expressed at least 0.1 reads per kilobase per million mapped reads (RPKM) in two or more individuals in a given tissue. For this paper, cis-eQTLs were calculated for those 57 independent SNPs from the association analysis that had minor allele frequency (MAF)>5% in the GTEx data using a cis window of 1 Mb up- and down-stream from the transcription start site of a gene. The analysis was conducted using the Matrix-eQTL R package31 in linear regression mode correcting for sex, the first 15 probabilistic estimation of expression residual factors, and the first three principal components from the genotype data. The false discovery rate was estimated across the tested SNP–gene pairs (between 1,933 and 2,269 per tissue) using the Benjamini–Hochberg procedure.
Gene score for elevated Lp(a)
Lp(a) was measured in YFS from serum stored at –70 °C by the immunoturbidimetric method (Lp(a)-HA reagent, Wako Chemicals GmbH). Lp(a) was measured in FINRISK97 from serum stored at –70 °C using a commercially available latex immunoassay on an Architect c8000 system (Quantia Lp(a), Abbott Diagnostics). The imputed genotype batches PredictCVD, COROGENE and FR97 were combined to generate as complete a genotyped sample as possible for the genetic analyses (FINRISK97). We then performed a GWAS for natural logarithm transformed Lp(a) in FINRISK97 using sex, age and ten genetic principal components as covariates in linear models. Variants associated with Lp(a) at genome-wide significance were iteratively added to the association model for identification of independent variants. SNPs with info >0.7 and minor allele frequency >0.5% were considered. All 18 independent variants identified in FINRISK97 were replicated in the independent YFS cohort (Supplementary Data 1).
We used weighted effect estimates from FINRISK97 to generate a gene score for Lp(a) and tested the proportion of variance explained in the FINRISK97 discovery and YFS replication cohorts. We also tested the association between the Lp(a) gene score and metabolites using linear regression adjusted for the same covariates as for the GWAS.
Causality estimates for Lp(a) on lipoprotein metabolism
We used natural logarithm to transform the Lp(a) distribution and performed linear regression to test for association between Lp(a) and metabolites using linear regression adjusted for the same covariates as for the GWAS. As the effect estimates in FINRISK97 for circulating Lp(a) were larger than in YFS, we tested if differences in fasting time could account for the deviations—participants in FINRISK97 were only instructed to fast 4 h before the blood samples in contrast to overnight fasting in YFS. We observed no differences in the effect estimates between fasting over 8 h (N=4,269) or fasting less than 8 h (N=620) subgroups (β=0.40 for both groups) in FINRISK97.
Causal estimates of Lp(a) on metabolite measures were assessed by two-stage least-squares regression with the Lp(a) gene score as instrument. To enable comparison between the observational and causal effect estimates from these Mendelian randomization analyses, Lp(a) and metabolites had been corrected and transformed as in the GWAS. Observational associations, genetic risk score associations and instrumental variable estimates from FINRISK97 and YFS were combined with inverse variance weighted meta-analysis.
Reverse genetics for LPA with nationwide electron health records
The gene score for Lp(a) was tested in the FINRISK field studies conducted in 1992, 1997, 2002 and 2007 for association with any disease event leading to hospitalization or death in Finland during January 1987 to December 2010. PredictCVD, COROGENE, FR97 and additional Illumina core-exome genotyped sample of 9,906 FINRISK individuals were combined after imputation to form as complete and an unrelated data set as possible from FINRISK-samples. Genetic principal components were generated from the combined genotyped SNPs to account for population stratification and also to exclude related individuals. Maximum relatedness between individuals was set to 0.1 between genotyping batches to remove related individuals from the combined sample resulting in 17,496 unrelated individuals. Disease tracking was enabled by uniform diagnosis data obtained from the Finnish National Hospital Discharge Register and the National Causes-of-Death Register. These registers cover all events that have led to either overnight hospitalization or death in Finland. The disease events are linked to study participants using their social security number, which is assigned to every permanent resident of Finland. Both direct and side causes of the diagnoses and cause of death were analysed. Hospitalization and fatal events were combined.
The disease diagnoses were encoded according to the International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision (ICD-10) from 1997 onwards. Disease events occurring from 1987 to 1996 were encoded in ICD-9 format across Finland; these diagnoses were converted to ICD-10 format by the scheme provided by the United States Center for Disease Control Diagnosis Code Set General Equivalence Mappings (ftp://ftp.cdc.gov/pub/Health_Statistics/NCHS/Publications/ICD10CM/2011/), including combination codes. All diagnosis conversions were further verified according to the mapping scheme provided by the New Zealand Ministry of Health, National Data Policy Group (http://www.health.govt.nz/system/files/documents/pages/masterf4.xls). Manual curation of the conversion was conducted for diagnoses with mismatch in the conversion to the degree of three digits.
Testing of the Lp(a) gene score against disease events was conducted by logistic regression, using the gene score as a predictor and ever-occurrence of a disease from 1987 onwards as a binary outcome, with adjustment for sex, age at end-of-follow-up, study-collection-year and the first four principal components accounting for population structure. The cohorts were analysed here jointly. Similar results were obtained when the cohorts were also analysed separately and meta-analysed (data not shown). Diagnoses with more than ten events were analysed. The disease events tested were 18 ICD-10 chapters (for example, Diseases of the circulatory system: I00-I99), 189 ICD-10 blocks (A00-09 to T90-98, for example, Ischaemic heart diseases: I20-I25) and 615 ICD-10 codes (from A00 to T98, for example, Angina pectoris: I20). Overall, 822 outcomes were tested. We therefore corrected for multiple testing of 822 tests. The total follow-up time amounted to 429,357 person-years. Disease-specific follow-up for time to event models are given in the Supplementary Data 2.
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All acknowledgements are provided in the Supplementary Notes 2.
S.B. has received honoraria from Abbott Diagnostics, SIEMENS, Thermo Fisher and Roche Diagnostics and is a consultant for Thermo Fisher. The sponsor played no role in the design or conduct of this study; in the management, analysis or interpretation of the data; or in the preparation, review or approval of the manuscript or in the decision to submit the manuscript for publication. P.W., A.J.K., P.S. and M.A.-K. are shareholders of Brainshake Ltd. (), a company offering NMR-based metabolite profiling. Jo.K., P.W., A.J.K., P.S., Q.W., M.T. and Tu.T. report employment and consulting for Brainshake Ltd. The remaining authors declare no competing financial interests.
Supplementary Figures 1-5, Supplementary Tables 1-7, Supplementary Notes 1-2 and Supplementary References (PDF 22547 kb)
Mendelian randomization analyses of Lp(a), first are the three estimates listed for FINRISK97, and below same estimates for YFS (XLSX 92 kb)
Reverse genetics analyses for ICD categories, below this table are presented the three digit accuracy codes. (XLSX 132 kb)
For the NMR method (described in Soininen et al, Analyst, 2009) the most representative chemical shift values for the metabolic measures in the NMR spectra are shown (many metabolites have a complicated signal with components at multiple chemical shift locations).The representative coefficients of variation (in percent) are calculated for each metabolic measure based on 100 quality control serum samples in relation to the population mean of each metabolic measure. The control samples are processed identically with the actual study samples; one sample being placed in every 96-sample box, i.e., in this case the percentages represent an averaged situation for 9600 samples analysed. (XLSX 14 kb)
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Kettunen, J., Demirkan, A., Würtz, P. et al. Genome-wide study for circulating metabolites identifies 62 loci and reveals novel systemic effects of LPA. Nat Commun 7, 11122 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11122
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