Carbon-related tariffs may reduce global emissions, but the welfare losses would be high for emerging economies, such as China, Mexico and Brazil.
Adding a border tax or tariff to goods imported from countries without a strict emissions policy has been proposed as a way of levelling the economic playing field between countries with different commitments to greenhouse-gas reduction.
Using global trade data from 2004, Giles Atkinson from the London School of Economics and his colleagues traced the trade flows of the carbon embedded in goods — also known as virtual carbon — and estimated the economic impact of imposing a carbon tax on countries that export carbon-intensive products1. Assuming a price of $50 per ton for carbon dioxide, introducing a border tax on countries that do not have mandatory emission reduction targets under the Kyoto Protocol — known as non-Annex B countries — could result in a tariff burden as high as 30% for the most carbon-intensive sectors, including metals, chemicals and petroleum.
Aside from concerns about the impact of a border tariff on exporters, the authors note that information on the carbon content of goods is imperfect and hard to obtain, which could lead to complex disputes in imposing them.
References
Atkinson, G. et al. Trade in 'virtual carbon': Empirical results and implications for policy. Glob. Environ. Change 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.009 (2011).
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Franz-Vasdeki, J. Taxing options for trade. Nature Clim Change (2011). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1054
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1054