The idea that earthquakes are 'time-predictable' underlies many of today's probabilistic forecasts. In a key test on California's San Andreas fault the concept is found wanting, but the news may not be all bad.
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MICHAEL COLLIER
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Stein, R. Parkfield's unfulfilled promise. Nature 419, 257–258 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1038/419257a
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/419257a
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