Abstract
PRICE1 conjectured that a Poisson distribution might be a good fit for the pattern of incidence of multiple discoveries. We have fitted a modified Poisson distribution to the frequency of duplication of discovery of antibiotics.
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References
Price, D. De S., Little Science, Big Science, 66 (Columbia University Press, New York, 1963).
Neelameghan, A., Library Science with a Slant to Documentation, 5, 264 (1968).
Kendall, M. G., and Stuart, A., Advanced Theory of Statistics, second ed., 1 (Hafner, New York, 1958).
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NEELAMEGHAN, A., BUCHE, V. & GUPTA, B. Distribution Pattern of the Duplication of Discoveries. Nature 227, 1060 (1970). https://doi.org/10.1038/2271060a0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/2271060a0
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