Editorial |
Featured
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Commentary |
Free-riders to forerunners
Multi-actor integrated assessment models based on well-being concepts beyond GDP could support policymakers by highlighting the interrelation of climate change mitigation and other important societal problems.
- Klaus Hasselmann
- , Roger Cremades
- & Nick Winder
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Commentary |
Duality in climate science
Delivery of palatable 2 °C mitigation scenarios depends on speculative negative emissions or changing the past. Scientists must make their assumptions transparent and defensible, however politically uncomfortable the conclusions.
- Kevin Anderson
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Letter |
Systematic change in global patterns of streamflow following volcanic eruptions
Following large explosive volcanic eruptions, precipitation decreases over much of the globe. An analysis of streamflow records from fifty large rivers reveals statistically significant flow reductions in some regions, but increases in others.
- Carley E. Iles
- & Gabriele C. Hegerl
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Commentary |
The catastrophic nature of humans
Natural landscapes are shaped by frequent moderate-sized events, except for the rare catastrophe. Human modifications to the Earth's surface are, compared with natural processes, increasingly catastrophic.
- Richard Guthrie
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Letter |
No growth stimulation of tropical trees by 150 years of CO2 fertilization but water-use efficiency increased
Increasing CO2 concentrations are expected to increase plant growth and water efficiency. Tree-ring data covering 150 years from tropical forests show that water-use efficiency has increased with CO2 concentrations but tree growth has not.
- Peter van der Sleen
- , Peter Groenendijk
- & Pieter A. Zuidema
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News & Views |
A faulty fertilizer
Elevated levels of CO2 can stimulate photosynthesis in plants and increase their uptake of atmospheric carbon. A five-year study in Minnesota grasslands shows that increased plant uptake of CO2 is restricted by the availability of vital nutrients and water.
- Whendee L. Silver
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Editorial |
Over to the diplomats
Guidance for mitigation action should come from the insights that global mean temperatures respond to cumulative carbon emissions and that there are risks beyond warming alone. Momentum for the negotiations requires a sense of opportunity.
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Review Article |
Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets
In order to limit climate warming, CO2 emissions must remain below fixed quota. An evaluation of past emissions suggests that at 2014 emissions rates, the total quota will probably be exhausted within the next 30 years.
- P. Friedlingstein
- , R. M. Andrew
- & C. Le Quéré
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News & Views |
The colour of smoke
Particles of smoke from natural and human-made fires absorb sunlight and contribute to global warming. Laboratory experiments suggest that smoke is often more absorbing than current numerical models of global climate assume.
- Nicolas Bellouin
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Editorial |
Renewable versus sustainable
Solar energy is undoubtedly renewable. We must make sure it is also as sustainable as possible.
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Commentary |
Biochar by design
Biochar has been heralded as a solution to a number of agricultural and environmental ills. To get the most benefit from its application, environmental and social circumstances should both be considered.
- S. Abiven
- , M. W. I. Schmidt
- & J. Lehmann
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Editorial |
Farm and bench
Climate change could compromise food security over the coming century. Scientists working towards mitigation and adaptation have to win over those who work on the land.
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Commentary |
Communication in a divided world
Livestock production accounts for a significant fraction of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Progress in mitigating the adverse environmental impacts of this industry can be improved by shifting research emphases and fostering communication between researchers and ranchers.
- Joseph M. Craine
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Article |
Statistically derived contributions of diverse human influences to twentieth-century temperature changes
The causal connection between human activities and the evolution of climate warming over the past century is not fully understood. A state-of-the-art statistical analysis of time series of temperature and radiative forcing reveals that reductions in ozone-depleting substances and methane have contributed to the slow-down in warming since the late 1990s.
- Francisco Estrada
- , Pierre Perron
- & Benjamín Martínez-López
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Commentary |
China's carbon conundrum
China's carbon dioxide emissions are rising fast. Yet, per capita, gross domestic product and energy use are only a fraction of their United States equivalents. With a growing urban middle class, the trend will continue, but there is progress on the path to a low-carbon economy.
- Ye Qi
- , Tong Wu
- & David A. King
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Commentary |
The fourth food revolution
In areas of the developing world that have benefited only marginally from the intensification of agriculture, foreign investments can enhance productivity. This could represent a step towards greater food security, but only if we ensure that malnourished people in the host countries benefit.
- Paolo D'Odorico
- & Maria Cristina Rulli
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Letter |
Small temperature benefits provided by realistic afforestation efforts
Afforestation, the conversion of croplands or marginal lands into forests, is considered one of the key climate-change mitigation strategies available to governments. Model simulations suggest that the temperature benefits of realistic afforestation efforts are marginal.
- Vivek K. Arora
- & Alvaro Montenegro
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News & Views |
Agricultural greenhouse gases
Mitigating greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture is important and achievable. However, cutting emissions to meet the UK's legal targets for 2050 will bring technical and political challenges, and may affect food production.
- Chris Pollock
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Letter |
Mangroves among the most carbon-rich forests in the tropics
The areal extent of mangrove forests has declined by 30–50% over the past half century. An analysis of mangrove forests across the Indo-Pacific suggests that mangrove deforestation generates losses of 0.02–0.12 Pg C yr−1, equivalent to up to 10% of carbon emissions from global deforestation.
- Daniel C. Donato
- , J. Boone Kauffman
- & Markku Kanninen
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Letter |
Ongoing climate change following a complete cessation of carbon dioxide emissions
Following a hypothesized complete cessation of carbon dioxide emissions, global climate models simulate approximately constant global mean temperatures for centuries. Long-term simulations with the Canadian Earth System Model suggest that, on these timescales, regional changes in temperature and precipitation are nevertheless significant, and that Southern Ocean warming at intermediate depths could affect the stability of Antarctic ice.
- Nathan P. Gillett
- , Vivek K. Arora
- & William J. Merryfield
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Editorial |
Can we fix it?
Mitigation of climate change is increasingly being portrayed as technologically feasible, if only political support was adequate. But there are good reasons to be unsure.
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Commentary |
Short-lived uncertainty?
Short-lived greenhouse gases and black-carbon aerosols have contributed to past climate warming. Curbing their emissions and quantifying the forcing by all short-lived components could both mitigate climate change in the short term and help to refine projections of global warming.
- Joyce E. Penner
- , Michael J. Prather
- & David S. Stevenson
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Letter |
Warming influenced by the ratio of black carbon to sulphate and the black-carbon source
Black-carbon aerosols absorb solar radiation and are thought to be a significant source of global warming. Surface and aircraft measurements of aerosol plumes in China suggest that solar absorption increases with the ratio of black carbon to sulphate.
- M. V. Ramana
- , V. Ramanathan
- & J. J. Schauer
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Letter |
Regional climate response to solar-radiation management
Modelling studies suggest that management of solar radiation could produce stabilized global temperatures and reduced global precipitation. An analysis of a large-ensemble simulation of 54 temperature-stabilization scenarios suggests that it may not be possible to achieve climate stabilization through management of solar radiation simultaneously in all regions.
- Katharine L. Ricke
- , M. Granger Morgan
- & Myles R. Allen
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Letter |
Long-term effectiveness and consequences of carbon dioxide sequestration
Sequestration of carbon dioxide has been proposed for the mitigation of ongoing global warming. Projections with an Earth system model over 100,000 years suggest that leakage from carbon-storage reservoirs of no more than 1% per thousand years, or continuous resequestration, would be required to maintain conditions similar to a low-emissions scenario.
- Gary Shaffer
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News & Views |
Microbial mitigation
Increasing temperatures stimulate the decomposition of soil organic matter in the short term. But a shift in microbial carbon allocation could mitigate this response over longer periods of time.
- Göran I. Ågren