Main

The ICP growth model divides human growth into three successive and partly superimposed phases—infancy, childhood, and puberty—reflecting the endocrinology of the growth process (1, 2). The infancy phase of the ICP model has been assumed to begin mid-gestation and tails off at approximately 3–4 y of age, representing the postnatal extension of fetal growth; it is regarded as being nutrition dependent, closely linked to the action of IGFs (3, 4). The second phase—childhood—starts during the second half-year of life and slowly decelerates, although it continues into puberty until growth ceases. This phase has been taken to mirror the effect of GH (5, 6). The normal range for the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth had previously been depicted to occur between 6 and 12 mo (7) and more recently, based on a larger set of data, between 6 and 15 mo of age (8).

A delay in the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth generally accounts for a significant portion of the growth deficit in those observed (9). In a recent work, it has also been shown that the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth has a lifelong impact; 1 mo later than average will reduce final height by 0.5 cm. So far, the following predictors have been identified for the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth: sex (7), various diseases (2), socioeconomic factors (9, 10), length/growth velocity before onset (7), and IGF-I serum level (11).

The aims of this study were to identify any new predictors for the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth and the consequences of this timing on subsequent heights in 1720 longitudinally monitored Shanghai children. Then these results were compared with the results obtained from previous longitudinal studies.

METHODS

The data series represents a community-based, longitudinal, child-health monitoring system carried out at the Department of Child Health Care, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, PR China. The study population consisted of 6018 full-term children, born between January 1, 1980, and December 31, 1990, i.e. 11 birth-year cohorts, in Fenglin Community, Shanghai; 3202 boys (53.2%) and 2816 girls (46.8%).

Exactly 1720 children remained for continual monitoring at the clinic at 6 y of age, representing 28.6% of the total sample. To estimate ages at onset of the childhood phase of the ICP growth model, at least three repeated length measurements are needed at approximately 1 y of age (7); 97 subjects did not fulfill this criterion and they were therefore deleted from the analysis. As a result, 1623 children remained in the analysis, i.e. 849 boys and 774 girls.

Socioeconomic Status

The educational levels that were achieved by the parents were reported to the clinic upon their first visit. Education levels were categorized into three sections, namely primary, secondary, and postsecondary.

Body Measurements

The children were routinely monitored in the department up to the age of 6 y. They were measured approximately monthly from birth to 6 mo of age, then every 3 mo from 6 to 12 mo, every 6 mo from 12 to 36 mo, and annually from 3 to 6 y of age. Measurements taken 3 d before or after the children's exact monthly ages, during their first 6 mo of life, were kept. Similarly, measurements taken 7 d before or after the children's exact monthly ages, during the second half-year, were also kept. Between the ages of 1 and 3 y, an acceptable margin of up to 14 d, before or after the children's exact yearly ages, was allowed. The margin for children aged between 4 and 6 y was increased to 1 mo before or after the children's exact yearly ages. Records that did not meet these criteria were not included in the analysis.

Weight.

Children <3 y of age were weighed on a balance-beam scale. Beginning from the age of 3 y, children were weighed on a standing-beam scale. Their weight was measured to the nearest 50 g.

Length/height.

For children <3 y of age, height was measured as supine length. From the age of 3 y onward, the children's standing height was measured using a stadiometer attached to a wall. Both length and height were measured to the nearest 0.1 cm.

Body mass index.

The individual BMI was calculated as weight/length2 (kg/m2).

Growth velocity.

Growth velocities for weight, length/height, and BMI were defined as the increment in body size in kg, cm, and kg/m2 during age periods of 3–6 mo, 12–36 mo, and 36–72 mo of age.

Parental weight and height.

Parental weight and height were also measured at the Department of Health Care at their first visit to the clinic. Weight was measured to the nearest 50 g and height to the nearest 0.1 cm.

Determination of Age at Onset of the Childhood Phase of Growth

The age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was determined individually, in units of 1 mo, by visual inspection of the data contained within the individual computer-generated, ICP-based growth chart for both length and length velocity (Fig. 1) (7). The age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was identified visually from this chart and was defined as an abrupt increase in growth velocity, in line with previous reports (7, 10, 12). Using this methodology, the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was determined in 1623 individual children (849 boys, 774 girls). The age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was determined in all children by one of the authors (X.X.). However, the first 200 growth charts were also reviewed by another author (J.K.), who also concurred with our findings. The interobserver error was 3.5%.

Figure 1
figure 1

Computer-generated ICP growth chart with the mean curve and 3 SD curves about the mean for the infancy phase and the combined growth (infancy + childhood) for both attained length and length velocity (7). The original longitudinal data were plotted individually on this chart to facilitate the determination of ages at the onset of the childhood phase of growth. The age at onset was identified visually as an abrupt increase in length growth velocity and its corresponding change in the attained length growth pattern. Two vertical reference lines indicate the approximate normal range of the age of onset of the childhood phase of growth (7, 8).

The mean weight, length, and BMI values were all compared against a set of recent Swedish growth reference values (13, 14). These reference values were chosen because they are based on the same methodology as the analysis of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth in Shanghai children.

Statistical Analysis

Both t tests and χ2 tests were used for the comparisons of background measurements, between both the included and excluded children and also the distribution of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth between Shanghai children and Swedish children. Multiple linear regression analyses were used to describe, first, the variation in length/height at various ages; second, the variation of the age at childhood onset; and third, the variation in growth velocities at various age intervals. All analyses and graphics were prepared using SAS software, version 6.10 (15).

RESULTS

There was no significant difference (p > 0.05) in background measurements, such as sex, educational level, body size at 1 mo, and parental height between the children monitored for <6 y and the children monitored for 6 y of age, as well as between the included (n = 1623) and excluded children (n = 97).

Figure 2 illustrates the mean weight, length/height, and BMI values for boys in the 11 birth groups from birth to 6 y of age, together with Swedish growth reference curves. The mean length/height values of Shanghai children were similar to the Swedish mean values during the first year of life. Then they gradually fell below the Swedish mean values to reach a position of approximately 0.5 SD below the mean at 2 y of age, where they remained at this level until 36 mo. However, from 36 mo of age onward, the Shanghai mean values increased to reach the Swedish mean values at 6 y of age.

Figure 2
figure 2

Mean weight, length, and BMI for boys in the 11 birth groups (solid lines) monitored up to 6 y of age at the Children's Hospital of Shanghai Medical University. The new Swedish growth reference values (dashed lines) are included here for comparison (13, 14).

A similar pattern was seen regarding weight. In contrast to the Swedish values, the mean Shanghai BMI increased during the first 3 mo of life, reaching a peak maximum difference at around 9 mo, followed by a gradual decline to approximately 25% of the Swedish value from 12 to 24 mo. The mean BMI values gradually increased from 36 mo and stabilized between 25% and 50% of the Swedish reference. These age-dependent growth patterns are further highlighted in Figure 3 in terms of the mean difference from the Swedish mean reference values. Note that some constant differences can be noted for the various birth-year groups. A same phenomenon has been seen in girls (details not given in figure).

Figure 3
figure 3

The mean difference for three body measurements—weight, length, and BMI—between the individual Shanghai boys measurements and the Swedish mean values with a zero line of unity. The Shanghai data were separated into four groups by year of birth: 1980–1982, 1983–1985, 1986–1988, and 1989–1990. A t test with an expected mean value of zero was applied to each age and birth-year group values. Significant (p < 0.05, t test with an expected value of zero) differences are indicateded (*).

Table 1 compares the distribution of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth between Shanghai children and Swedish children (10). There was a significant (p < 0.05) difference in the distribution of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth between the Shanghai and Swedish populations. The mean ± SD of the age onset of the childhood phase of growth among the Shanghai series was 11.5 ± 2.67 mo for boys, and 10.9 ± 2.20 mo for girls, but with a significant (p < 0.05) unevenness in the distribution. A natural logarithmic transformation was applied to the data, which gave a mean value of 2.41 (the antilog mean value was 11.2 mo) and an SD value of 0.233 mo for boys, and a mean of 2.37 (the antilog mean value was 10.7 mo) and an SD value of 0.202 mo for girls. The antilog mean age at onset of the childhood phase of growth value was 1.3 mo later for boys and 1.4 mo later for girls than their Swedish counterparts. The age at onset of the childhood phase of growth in girls occurred significantly (χ2 test, p < 0.05) earlier than it did in boys in Shanghai populations; there was, however, no significant (χ2 test, p > 0.05) difference in the distribution of age at onset of the childhood phase of growth during the 11 birth-years for either boys or girls in Shanghai (results not given).

Table 1 Distribution of age at onset of childhood phase of growth between Shanghai children and Swedish children

Figure 4 illustrated the relationship between the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth and body length as well as length velocity. The mean values of length/height among the four groups were found to be significantly (p < 0.05) different from 12 mo onward. At 72 mo of age, the mean difference between the earliest age at onset of the childhood phase of growth group and the latest one was about 5 cm. However, a significant (p < 0.05) difference in the mean length/height velocities among the four groups were in principle only found during the following intervals: 3–6, 6–9, 9–12, and 12–18 mo of age. Note that the mean velocity values were inversely related to age at onset of the childhood phase of growth at 3–6 mo of age.

Figure 4
figure 4

Mean attained length and mean length velocity for boys in four groups of the age at childhood phase of growth; the age at onset between 6.0 and 8.9 mo of age (circles, n = 54), 9.0–11.9 mo (triangles, n = 314), 12–14.9 mo (stars, n = 371), and ≥15 mo (squares, n = 110). The new Swedish growth reference values are also given here (14). The Kruskal-Wallis k-sample test was applied to any differences in the central tendency of attained length and length velocity among the four groups; *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, and ***p < 0.0001.

In Figure 5, the BMI velocity values showed consistently significant (p < 0.05) differences between groups of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth during the transition period from infancy to childhood phase of growth. The mean BMI velocity values were higher for the earlier group of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth than they were for the later ones (before the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth, i.e. 3–6 mo of age). This is contrary to the observation found for length velocity at this age interval (Fig. 4). Girls have the same results as boys (details not given).

Figure 5
figure 5

Mean BMI and mean BMI velocity for boys in four groups of the age at childhood phase of growth; the age at onset between 6.0 and 8.9 mo of age (circles, n = 54), 9.0–11.9 mo (triangles, n = 314), 12–14.9 mo (stars, n = 371), and ≥15 mo (squares, n = 110). The new Swedish growth reference values are also given (13). The Kruskal-Wallis k-sample test was applied to any differences in the central tendency of attained BMI and BMI velocity among the four groups; *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, and ***p < 0.0001.

A multiple regression model, with length at 6 mo of age and the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth as independent variables, was applied to the series (Table 2). Both length at 6 mo of age and the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth were significantly (p < 0.05) related to length/height from 12 mo of age onward for both sexes. The total R2 was between 0.45 and 0.74. The importance of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth for height at 5 y of age in Shanghai children was similar to that in their Swedish counterparts;i.e. 1-mo delay in the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was associated with a reduction in height by approximately 0.4 cm for boys and 0.5 cm for girls (Table 2).

Table 2 Impact of age at onset of childhood phase of growth (in months) on linear growth at various ages analyzed by a multiple linear regression model* with adjustment for the height (cm) at 6 mo of age

Table 3 gives the multiple linear regression analyses of influential factors on the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth. The age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was found to be significantly (p < 0.05) associated with the sex of the child, length at 6 mo of age, and mid-parental height. A simple linear regression was applied to the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth and mid-parental height (Fig. 6); the slope (β) was −0.076 in boys and −0.067 in girls, which means that the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was 1.5 mo later in boys and 1.3 mo later in girls, for children with a mid-parental height −2 SD below the mean in comparison with the children of tall parents, i.e. a mid-parental height equal to mean + 2 SD.

Table 3 Multiple linear regression model ( R 2 = 0.04) with age at onset of childhood phase of growth (in months) in Shanghai children as the dependent variable ( n = 1455)
Figure 6
figure 6

A simple linear regression analysis between the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth (months) and mid-parental height (cm). Boys and girls were treated separately. The vertical lines represent the mean parental height and ± 2 SD around this mean. The bivariate correlation coefficient was 0.13 for boys and 0.14 for girls.

In line with the noted difference in the growth pattern before and after 36 mo of age (Fig. 3), we divided the period between 12 to 72 mo of age into two age intervals, i.e. 12–36 mo and 36–72 mo. A multiple linear regression analysis was applied to the series to explain the variation in height gain during these two age intervals (Table 4). The height gain at 12–36 mo of age was found to be significantly (p < 0.05) related to the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth, birth year, sex, BMI at 12 mo of age, mid-parental height, and mid-parental BMI at birth. The height gain at 36–72 mo of age was also found to be significantly (p < 0.05) associated to birth year, sex, height and BMI at 36 mo of age, BMI gain at both 12–36 mo of age and at 36–72 mo, and mid-parental height. Note that the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was not found to offer a satisfactory explanation (p > 0.05) for variations in height gain at 36–72 mo of age.

Table 4 Multiple linear regression model with the height gain at 12–36 mo of age and the height gain at 36–72 mo in Shanghai children as the dependent variables ( n = 1406)

DISCUSSION

In this study we have applied the ICP growth model to a large series of longitudinal growth data from Shanghai. The analysis confirmed that previous findings related to the importance of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth on subsequent height are also valid for the Chinese population under study. The novel findings of this work are 1) a strong negative association between mid-parental height and the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth, 2) the positive relationship between height at 6 mo of age and the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth, and 3) a distinct BMI pattern of Chinese children between birth and 6 y of age.

Study design.

The methodology for determining the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth has been evaluated and discussed in detail in previous studies (7, 10). In this study, one of the authors (X.X.) estimated the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth, after an initial training section. The first 200 growth charts were also reviewed by one of the other authors (J.K.), with a high level of agreement. For these reasons, we believe that the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth has been accurately determined in the present study.

Fenglin Community is situated in the southwest of Shanghai, China. The people of the community consist of various educational levels, representing the middle to upper-middle socioeconomic levels of society in Shanghai, China. The growth of children in this community was similar to the Chinese national references for urban children (16). Such a sample should reflect the typical characteristics of the current urban child population in China.

One may argue that the subgroup selected for the present study does not represent the population as a whole. The reason for excluding infants from this study was because of the lack of available longitudinal data, so that the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth could not be determined in an appropriate way or, indeed, its impact on later childhood growth. However, there were no significant differences in the background measurements between the included and excluded children. We feel that the subsample used in this analysis can therefore be taken to represent the population as a whole.

Age at onset of the childhood phase of growth and its consequences.

The mean age at onset of the childhood phase of growth (the antilog mean value) was 10.7 mo in girls and 11.2 mo in boys. In two previous Swedish studies, it was reported that girls experienced on average age a 0.6 mo earlier age at onset of the childhood phase of growth than boys did (7, 8). There was also a significant difference in the distribution of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth between the Shanghai and Swedish sample groups. Based on the Swedish normal range of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth, with an upper limit set to 12 mo of age, we found among the Shanghai children that 23% of boys and 14% of girls experienced a delayed childhood onset of growth. This figure was higher than that for the normal Swedish population (approximately 10%), but not as high as has been reported for various populations with growth-related disorders; for instance, 36.2% of patients with Turner syndrome, 47.6% of children with celiac disease, and 69.2% of children with Sotos syndrome also experience a delay in the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth (2). The Shanghai figure was also much lower than the typical figure for a Pakistani community-based population, in which nearly half of all children were identified as having a delay in their childhood onset (9, 10).

Our finding that there is a close relationship between the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth and early linear growth was also in line with the results of previous studies (10). Up to 6 mo of age, i.e. during the infancy phase, the linear growth was virtually the same across all the different groups of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth. However, after 6 mo of age, the mean length values among the different groups of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth diverged significantly. This study showed the importance of age at onset of the childhood phase of growth and length at 6 mo of age, a factor that explained between 45% and 74% of variation in length/height from 12 mo of age onward. For each month's delay in the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth, there is a reduction of 0.5 cm in height at 60 mo of age; this finding is virtually the same as reported for Swedish populations (10).

Predictors of age at onset of childhood phase of growth.

Previous studies have reported some predictors for the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth. The most consistently identified predictors are sex, growth-related disorders, and the general socioeconomic status of the population (2, 7, 9). Another identified predictor of childhood onset age is the magnitude of the infancy phase of growth (7). In this study, we found very much the same predictors—sex, length at 6 mo of age, and a child being shorter than normal during infancy—will, in general, correlate to an earlier onset. However, we have also been able to identify an additional predictor of the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth and that is mid-parental height. This finding implies a genetic influence on the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth so that a child with tall parents will on average have 1–2 mo earlier onset of the childhood phase of growth than a child with short parents (Fig. 6).

Growth deficit during 12 to 36 mo of age in the Shanghai children.

Compared with the Swedish case study, the mean length/height values of Shanghai children were quite similar to the Swedish mean values during the first year of life (Fig. 3). During the second year of life, the mean length values gradually fall below the Swedish mean values to reach a trough at 2 y of age, and they remained at this level for up to 36 mo. This age-specific growth pattern in the Shanghai children is remarkably similar to the findings in Hong Kong (11, 17), Pakistan (2), and Brazil (18).

The relative reduction in height gain among the Shanghai infants during their second year of life, in comparison with the Swedish infants, can mostly, or at least partly, be explained by the difference in the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth. The age at onset of the childhood phase of growth was also negatively related to height gain between 1 and 3 y of age, after adjusting for significant variables such as birth year, sex, and mid-parental height. We also found an inverse relationship between BMI gain and height gain between 1 and 3 y of age. This observation may simply reflect that children, who are increasing greatly in height during this period, will be large influenced more by the inverse effect of GH (onset of the childhood phase of growth) on adipose tissue (19, 20).

A catch-up growth from 3 to 6 y of age in Shanghai children.

Unexpectedly, the Shanghai children showed a different growth pattern from 36 to 72 mo in comparison with the previous age groups. For all birth-year groups and for both sexes, the mean weight, height, and BMI values increased and reached the mean value (or close to the mean value) of the Swedish reference, especially for the most recent birth groups. However, no relationship was found between the height gain at 36–72 mo of age and either the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth or the height gain at 12–36 mo. This implies that the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth is not associated with the observed catch-up growth between 3 and 6 y of age. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time catch-up growth, occurring in childhood and based on a community model with noninterventional data, has been observed. The Shanghai children in the 11 birth groups all demonstrated a considerable degree of catch-up growth from 36 to 72 mo. To identify the exact reason for this phenomenon, further investigation is needed.

A distinct BMI pattern in Chinese children between birth and 6 y of age.

Another interesting observation was the different trend in mean BMI between the Shanghai and Swedish children. Compared with their Swedish counterparts, there was a sharp increase in BMI in the Shanghainese during their first 6 mo of life. From approximately 4 to 6 mo, the mean BMI values of the Shanghai children decreased, crossing the median Swedish values at 9 mo of ge and continuing to decline up to 24 mo. It has been shown that the 90th percentile of the BMI values of the Swedish reference are quite similar to that of US national reference between 1 and 7 y of age (21, 22). Inasmuch as the US BMI reference values are currently not available before 1 y of age, we opted to use the Swedish values as a reference. Similar BMI patterns have previously been reported for Chinese infants up to 2 y of age; the difference in BMI between normal Chinese and white infants has been speculated to be related to genetic factors during the first year of life and to nutritional factors during the second year (23). However, this observation should be further examined in light of the association between growth and nutrition in early life and cardiovascular risk factor and disease in adulthood. For instance, adult blood pressure has been connected to size at birth (24), changes in BMI in the first year of life (25), and sodium intake in the first year of life (26). In a recent study, based on a cross-section of very lean adult population from China, there was an association between BMI and cardiovascular risk factors previously observed in predominantly overweight Western populations (27); this observation may reflect early life growth and nutrition in the Chinese population.

In conclusion, the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth is equally important in the Shanghainese children as it is with their Swedish counterparts. This study also identified two new predictors for the age at onset of the childhood phase of growth, i.e. height before onset and mid-parental height. Another interesting finding was the distinct BMI pattern in the Chinese population between birth and 6 y of age in comparison with white values.