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Volume 1 Issue 4, July 2011

In This Issue

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Editorial

  • Early warning of the Earth's tipping points will bring us closer to staving off abrupt climate change, but a societal tipping point is needed to achieve sustainability.

    Editorial
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Correspondence

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Commentary

  • Estimates of how much food we can grow in a warmer world are out of date. Researchers need to switch to more rigorous multi-model ensembles.

    • Reimund P. Rötter
    • Timothy R. Carter
    • John R. Porter
    Commentary
  • An introduction needs to be made between the rich cultural knowledge of social studies and the natural sciences.

    • Mike Hulme
    Commentary
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Feature

  • Predicting abrupt changes in ecological systems could help stave off some of the worst impacts of climate change. But how close are we to foreseeing tipping points?

    • Mason Inman
    Feature
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Snapshot

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On Our Bookshelf

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Books & Arts

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Policy Watch

  • With its short-term focus, the financial sector is largely turning its back on the climate challenge, shows a new study. Sonja van Renssen reports.

    • Sonja van Renssen
    Policy Watch
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Market Watch

  • The insurance business must get to grips with climate science faster than most, Anna Petherick reports.

    • Anna Petherick
    Market Watch
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Research Highlights

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News & Views

  • Climate change is known to affect the carbon balance of Arctic tundra ecosystems by influencing plant growth and decomposition. Less predictable climate-driven biotic events, such as disease outbreaks, are now shown to potentially shift these ecosystems from net carbon sinks to sources.

    • Susan M. Natali
    • Michelle C. Mack
    News & Views
  • A lack of buy-in by the United States arguably represents the greatest obstacle to tackling climate change. A major new report urges America to take action to cut emissions and begin adapting to climate change.

    • Nigel Arnell
    News & Views
  • Climate change has reached the level of a 'scientific consensus', but is not yet a 'social consensus'. New analysis highlights that a growing divide between liberals and conservatives in the American public is a major obstacle to achieving this end.

    • Andrew J. Hoffman
    News & Views
  • The causes of the severe drought in the Sahel in the 1970s and 1980s are uncertain. Now a study provides the firmest evidence so far that emissions of aerosols from industrialized countries played a significant role, but other forcings cannot be ruled out yet.

    • Michela Biasutti
    News & Views
  • The inability to verify nations' reported progress towards emission-reduction commitments is a stumbling block in climate change negotiations. Narrowing uncertainties in the global carbon cycle could help overcome this obstacle.

    • Gary W. Yohe
    News & Views
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Review Article

  • A tipping point occurs when an external forcing causes a qualitative change in a system. Human-induced climate change could push several large elements of the climate system, such as the Greenland ice sheet, past a tipping point. Given the severity of the potential impacts, early warning of these changes would be advantageous. This Review discusses the most promising approaches to early warning of tipping points.

    • Timothy M. Lenton
    Review Article
  • The processes of abstraction, conveyance and treatment of fresh water and wastewater are all energy-intensive processes. This systematic review shows that the growing energy use and greenhouse-gas emissions from the water sector are under-recognized, suggesting the need for energy use to be further quantified and integrated into water resources management.

    • Sabrina G. S. A. Rothausen
    • Declan Conway
    Review Article
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Letter

  • The importance of disease in modulating ecosystem responses to climate change remains poorly understood. A seven-year study of the effects of increased snow cover on tundra plant communities in Sweden found that, although plant growth was favoured by increased snow, biomass and carbon-balance trends were reversed by a pathogen outbreak.

    • Johan Olofsson
    • Lars Ericson
    • Robert Baxter
    Letter
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Erratum

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Beyond Boundaries

  • Carmenza Robledo brought together a diverse group of experts from resource management to information technology and policy to assess how forest ecosystems help African rural communities cope with extreme weather events.

    Beyond Boundaries
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