September Issue Now Live

Featuring: projections of ENSO; climate services evaluation; rising drought risks; and wetland CH4 emissions.

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  • The North Pacific Meridional Mode (NPMM) can trigger El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. Climate simulations suggest that with warming ocean temperatures, the NPMM’s impact on future ENSO strengthens, contributing to increased frequency of future extreme ENSO events and their predictability.

    • Fan Jia
    • Wenju Cai
    • Emanuele Di Lorenzo
  • Ocean heat content is increasing, yet projections have not been constrained by observations. Using Argo data and CMIP6 models shows high climate sensitivity models overestimate increases; constrained projections estimate sea-level rise, from 0 to 2,000 m thermal expansion, of 17–26 cm by 2081–2100.

    • Kewei Lyu
    • Xuebin Zhang
    • John A. Church
  • Combining previous estimates in a multimethod approach, extreme sea levels are assessed under global warming levels of 1.5–5 °C at over 7,000 coastal sites worldwide. By 2100 or before, about 50% of locations exhibit present-day 100-year extreme sea levels at least once per year, even at 1.5 °C of warming.

    • Claudia Tebaldi
    • Roshanka Ranasinghe
    • Lorenzo Mentaschi
    Article Open Access
  • The impact of climate warming on El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) amplitude is uncertain in centennial-scale model projections due to internal variability, but an ensemble of millennial-scale simulations suggests decreased ENSO amplitude in the equilibrium response to greenhouse gas forcing.

    • Christopher W. Callahan
    • Chen Chen
    • Elisabeth J. Moyer
  • Improved management of water has been shown to have important benefits in both climate adaptation and mitigation. Water must be explicitly considered in climate policy, on par with its energy and land siblings.

    • Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm
  • Water management in the western United States is rooted in an adversarial system that is highly sensitive to climate change. Reforms are needed to ensure water management is efficient, resilient and equitable moving forward.

    • Dylan R. Hedden-Nicely
  • Old-fashioned qualitative research methods are still powerful in answering the most emergent climate questions we are faced with.

Tenth Anniversary

Tenth Anniversary

To celebrate the 10th anniversary of Nature Climate Change, we invited experts to highlight exciting developments of the past decade, and talk to our past and present editors about some of the remarkable papers published in the journal.

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