Many symbiotic relationships can be modified extensively by environmental conditions1. Harmless symbiotes can become pathogenic and mutualistic relationships can break down1. The emerging infectious disease chytridiomycosis, caused by the amphibian chytrid fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd), is an excellent system for examining such environmental context dependence. Chytridiomycosis has caused amphibian population declines and extinctions in many parts of the world1,2, yet many amphibian species that have declined or have been extirpated by the disease in some environments coexist with Bd in others1,2,3,4. Additionally, some infected amphibians can survive for years in the wild with no clinical signs of disease5 and some species that coexist with endemic chytridiomycosis in the field can be highly susceptible to Bd in the laboratory, experiencing 100% mortality6.

It is known that environmental temperature can determine the progress and outcome of Bd infections in the laboratory. In culture, Bd grows best between 17 and 25°C7. In the laboratory, low and/or fluctuating temperatures can retard the pathogen's growth and elevated body temperatures can clear frogs of Bd infection6. In nature, population-level infection prevalence and host mortality rates are often correlated with ambient environmental conditions; the infection rates are highest during cooler months2,3,4 and at higher elevations4. Similar context-dependence occurs in other host-pathogen systems1.

One study8 has shown that after the first appearance of chytridiomycosis in a susceptible population, mean body temperatures of frogs increased, which should reduce the negative effects of the pathogen. Increases in mean body temperature at the population level could reflect adaptive responses of individuals to infection, shifting thermal preferences to produce “behavioural fever”8. However it could also result from selective sweeps in which individuals that attain higher temperatures for other reasons9 are more likely to survive during outbreaks of chytridiomycosis. Understanding such population-level responses and determining their implications for the management of amphibian populations requires information on the individual-level patterns that underlie the population-level relationships.

In order to examine the relationship between Bd infection status and individual thermal behavior, we measured the Bd infection status and body temperatures in nature of stream-associated rainforest frogs of three species that have declined to different degrees due to chytridiomycosis in rainforests of northern Queensland, Australia; Litoria lesueuri (least affected by declines), Litoria serrata (intermediate) and Litoria nannotis (most affected). Frogs were tracked in the summer/wet and winter/dry seasons at a total of four rainforest sites and their individual body temperatures were recorded nocturnally and diurnally every 24 h.


Infection prevalence did not differ significantly among sites within seasons for any of the three species (Fisher's exact tests, all P > 0.05). Infection prevalence appeared to differ among species and seasons (Fig. 1a). Our ANOVA showed that the proportions of individuals' body temperatures that were above 25°C (this temperature was chosen as the cut-off because in vitro the growth rate of Bd declines sharply above that temperature7) was significantly affected by species, gender, season and their interactions (Table 1; Fig. 1b).

Table 1 Analysis of variance for the effects of species, gender (sex) and season (cold, dry or warm, wet, season) on individual thermal history, measured as proportion of individual body temperatures that were above 25°C
Figure 1
figure 1

Individual probability of infection by the amphibian chytrid skin fungus and individual thermal history in nature.

(a) Prevalence of Bd infection in tracked frogs by species and gender and by season. Bars represent binomial (Clopper-Pearson) 95% confidence limits. (b) Boxplots illustrating distribution of percent of frog body temperatures above 25°C by species and gender and by season. Heavy bars represent medians, boxes represent 25% and 75% quartile boundaries, whiskers represent ranges and stars are points outside 1.5× the interquartile range from the nearest quartile boundary. Comparing (a) and (b) suggests an inverse relationship between prevalence and percent of body temperatures above 25°C; this relationship was explored statistically in the models presented in Table 2.

Model fitting and selection of models relating species, gender, season and proportion of individual body temperatures above 25°C produced three candidate models with delta AICc less than 3 (Table 2). These were averaged to produce a final model that included the effects of species, gender and proportion of body temperatures above 25°C (Table 2; Fig. 2). The averaged model shows that individual probabilities of infection by Bd decreased strongly with increasing percentage of body temperatures above 25°C in all three species (Fig. 2). Males and females of the least vulnerable species (L. lesueuri) had the lowest probabilities of infection. Females of the two more vulnerable species had moderate probabilities of infection, particularly if they rarely elevated their body temperatures above 25°C and males of those species had the highest probabilities of infection. Frogs of all species and genders were very unlikely to carry Bd infections if 75% or more of their body temperatures were above 25°C. No separate effects of season appeared in our best fitting models, suggesting that seasonal differences in infection prevalence are explained by effects of season on individual body temperatures.

Table 2 Logistic regression models evaluated as possible fits to infection status (0 = infected, 1 = uninfected) of tracked frogs. All possible one, two and three-variable main-effects only models involving species identity (Species), gender of the individual (Sex), season (summer/wet season or winter/dry season, Season) and the proportion of body temperatures measured for each individual that were greater than 25°C (PA25) were considered. Models including more than three main effects or interactions were not included to preclude overfitting. The three best fitting models, with a total Akaike weight of 0.705, were averaged to obtain the final model. Predictions of this model appear in Figure 2
Figure 2
figure 2

Individual probability of infection by the amphibian chytrid skin fungus in nature was strongly related to individual thermal history.

This logistic model, incorporating species identity, gender and percent of body temperatures above 25°C (Table 2), was produced by averaging the three best fitted models, each with delta AICC < 3. Color coding corresponds to species-level susceptibility to epidemic chytridiomycosis (red most, amber intermediate, green least). Predictions of the model correspond well (r2 = 0.739, 4 d.f., P = 0.028) with population-level patterns of prevalence when it is used to predict prevalence by season and site, factors not included in the model.


Our study is the first demonstration that individual thermal histories affect the probability of infection by Bd of frogs in nature and one of the first examining how individuals' environmental histories affect their vulnerability to disease in wildlife. We found that individual probabilities of infection by Bd decreased strongly with increasing percentage of body temperatures above 25°C in all three species of rainforest stream frog examined. This relationship can explain population-level patterns of prevalence in nature2,3,4.

The effects of species and gender on individual probabilities of infection by Bd probably reflect a combination of differences in immune function and differences in transmission rates2,10. Our measure of thermal history, the percentage of individual body temperatures above 25°C, is directly related to the known thermal sensitivity of Bd in vitro; it thus seems likely that the effects we found were caused by direct effects on rates of pathogen reproduction2,6,7, however they could also reflect responses of frogs' immune function to temperature11.

Our findings are not highly consistent with the hypothesis that frogs elevated their body temperatures in response to infection (behavioural fever)8, since the probability of infection declined dramatically with increasing time spent at higher body temperatures. However, we cannot entirely eliminate the possibility that infection may cause individuals to regulate their body temperatures at higher levels than normal. For example, if thermal preferenda vary among individuals, we may have only seen infections in those that normally have low upper set points and in whom raising the set point has failed to elevate temperatures sufficiently to reduce their probability of infection. Alternatively, infection could lead to long-term changes in thermoregulatory behaviour, so that a propensity to maintain a relatively high body temperature reflects what might be termed the ghost of infection past.

Our results may also have a simpler cause. Individuals that choose relatively high body temperatures for other reasons, i.e. to aid in growth, digestion9, or reproduction3 may have coincidentally decreased their probability of Bd infection. While Bd remains endemic, any tendency to maintain higher body temperatures could be reinforced by natural selection. Alternatively, our results could reflect a tendency for infected individuals to maintain relatively low body temperatures. This could be coincidental; e.g. lower activity levels in infected individuals could have reduced their opportunities for thermoregulation. It could also reflect manipulation of hosts by the pathogen. These hypotheses regarding cause and effect can only be resolved by future experimental work.

Regardless of the cause, our results show that individual histories of body temperature can explain a substantial fraction of the seasonal, elevational and interspecific patterns of Bd infection prevalence that have been observed in nature1,2,3,4. Variation in thermal preferences among individuals should provide opportunities for natural selection to reduce vulnerability to chytridiomycosis. Manipulating habitats to increase the availability of warmer temperatures may serve as a mechanism to increase the survival of threatened amphibians in nature. The effects of global change are likely to vary among species and sites; for example increased temperatures might tend to decrease the effects of Bd, but increases in cloud or canopy cover could tend to increase them. Our results highlight the importance of the effects of body temperature variation among and within individuals on host-pathogen systems involving ectothermic animals.


Study sites

The study was conducted at four streamside sites within the tropical rainforests of northern Queensland, Australia: Python Creek (“Tully Gorge”, 145°35'E 17°46'S, 200 m asl) and an unnamed creek (“Lower Tully”, 145°41'E 17°48'S; 70 m asl) in Tully Falls Forest Reserve, an unnamed creek in Kirrama State Forest (“Kirrama”, 145°52 E 18°11 S; 200 m asl) and Frenchman Creek, in Wooroonooran National Park (“Babinda”, 145°55' E 17°20' S 20–100 m asl). A marked transect at each stream served as a reference for frog locations.

Study species

Frogs of three species were tracked: the Stony Creek Frog L. lesueuri (31 females, 37 males), which has not experienced population declines12, the Green Eyed Treefrog L. serrata (10 females, 13 males), which declined during epidemics of chytridiomycosis in the late 1980s and early 1990s and subsequently recovered12 and the Waterfall Frog L. nannotis (29 females, 8 males), which was extirpated from many sites during chytridiomycosis epidemics12. The taxonomy of L. lesueuri was revised in 200413. Two newly recognized species, L. jungguy and L. wilcoxii, occur in sympatry in the study region, hybridise and cannot reliably be distinguished morphologically13. Our study populations could have included either species, mixtures of both and hybrid individuals. Population declines have not been observed in either species. We therefore continue to refer to the study species as L. lesueuri, while recognizing that our samples contain unknown proportions of the two morphologically indistinguishable species. All three species are large to medium sized hylids (males 5.4–12.5 g, females 6.5–41.3 g).


At initial capture, frogs were weighed and swabbed on the ventral surface for diagnostic PCR using a sterile rayon swab (Medical Wire & Equipment Co. (Bath) Ltd., Wiltshire, UK). Swab samples were analysed using diagnostic PCR or quantitative PCR14.

Tracking devices (radio transmitters, or diode tags for harmonic direction finding, depending on size of the frog16) were then fitted in situ and frogs were released at their point of capture after less than five minutes of handling. Tracking followed protocols we have previously published15.

Surveys lasted 16 days and were conducted in the winter/dry season (July-September) and the summer/wet season (February-April) at two sites for each species. Litoria genimaculata and L. nannotis were tracked simultaneously at the same streams during 2004 and L. lesueuri were tracked during 2005. During surveys, the location of each frog was determined once during the day (0900–1800 h) and once at night (1900–0400 h). Whenever possible, the temperatures of located frogs and their substrates were recorded.

When we could visually locate individual frogs and were able to reach within 0.5 m of them, temperature of the dorsal body surface was measured using a Raytek ST80 Pro-Plus Non-contact Thermometer (RAYST80, emissivity set to 0.95). This technique obtains body temperature readings within 0.5°C of cloacal temperatures17. When the infrared thermometer could not be used, if the frog was fitted with a temperature-sensitive transmitter, we recorded the pulse interval of the telemetry signal by timing 90 pulses with a stopwatch. This was converted to temperature using individual calibration curves for each transmitter.

On average, each frog was located 17 times (minimum 5, maximum 28). We excluded data from the night following tag attachment from analyses due to the potential short-term behavioural effects of handling18. Effects of tags on behavior are unlikely to persist after the first night of tag attachment16. The weights of tracked individuals did not change significantly over the study period (Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test; Z = −1.361, p = 0.173, n = 70). Research was carried out under Scientific Purposes Permits issued by the Queensland Parks and Wildlife Service (WISP01715204 and WITK01715604) and approved by the James Cook University Animal Care and Ethics Committee (A863).

Data analyses

On swabs analysed using qPCR, we measured between 6 and 10,527 zoospore genome equivalents per swab. As ~20% of our samples were analysed via PCR only, we included only infection prevalence in our statistical analyses. Because tracking did not occur at the same sites for all three species, we could not include site as a factor in orthogonal models. We initially examined our data for possible site-specific effects using Fisher's exact tests to determine whether infection prevalence differed significantly among sites within seasons for each species. It did not (Fisher's exact tests; all p > 0.05). We thus omitted site as a factor in all further analyses. We next examined whether individual thermal history, measured as the proportion of body temperatures of each individual that were greater than 25°C, was affected by species, gender and season, using an ANOVA in SPSS version 19. This analysis showed that thermal histories were affected by all those factors. Finally, we examined how Bd infection status (0 = infected, 1 = uninfected) was affected by species, gender, season and the thermal histories of individuals (proportion of body temperatures above 25°C), using a set of models created using the generalized linear models procedure in SPSS version 19 with a binary logistic link function (Table 2). We used Akaike's information criterion, corrected for finite sample size (AICc) to evaluate model fit, using the criteria of Burnham and Anderson19. Our best fitting models were averaged to obtain the final model19.