Abstract

Biodiversity and ecosystem service losses driven by land-use change are expected to intensify as a growing and more affluent global population requires more agricultural and forestry products, and teleconnections in the global economy lead to increasing remote environmental responsibility. By combining global biophysical and economic models, we show that, between the years 2000 and 2011, overall population and economic growth resulted in increasing total impacts on bird diversity and carbon sequestration globally, despite a reduction of land-use impacts per unit of gross domestic product (GDP). The exceptions were North America and Western Europe, where there was a reduction of forestry and agriculture impacts on nature accentuated by the 2007–2008 financial crisis. Biodiversity losses occurred predominantly in Central and Southern America, Africa and Asia with international trade an important and growing driver. In 2011, 33% of Central and Southern America and 26% of Africa’s biodiversity impacts were driven by consumption in other world regions. Overall, cattle farming is the major driver of biodiversity loss, but oil seed production showed the largest increases in biodiversity impacts. Forestry activities exerted the highest impact on carbon sequestration, and also showed the largest increase in the 2000–2011 period. Our results suggest that to address the biodiversity crisis, governments should take an equitable approach recognizing remote responsibility, and promote a shift of economic development towards activities with low biodiversity impacts.

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Data availability

The authors declare that all the data, except the land use spatially explicit dataset, supporting the findings of this study are available in the paper and its supplementary information files. The land-use spatially explicit dataset and the computer code used in this work are available upon request.

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Acknowledgements

Authors would like to thank the financial support provided by EU-FP7 project DESIRE (project no. FP7-ENV-2012–308552). K.H.E. and T.K. have been funded by the Austrian Science Fund project GELUC (project no. P29130), the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) project no. KA 4815/1-1 and ERC grant (ERC-2010–263522 LUISE). K.H.E., T.K. and C.P. have been funded by the Vienna Science and Technology Fund (WWTF) through project no. ESR17-014. T.K. acknowledges support from the Swedish Research Council Formas (project no. 231–2014–1181). M.A.J.H. was supported by the ERC grant (ERC—CoG SIZE 647224).

Author information

Affiliations

  1. Institute of Environmental Sciences, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands

    • Alexandra Marques
    •  & Arnold Tukker
  2. German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany

    • Alexandra Marques
    • , Inês S. Martins
    • , Joana Canelas
    •  & Henrique M. Pereira
  3. Institute of Biology, Martin Luther University, Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany

    • Alexandra Marques
    • , Inês S. Martins
    • , Joana Canelas
    •  & Henrique M. Pereira
  4. Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Frankfurt am Main, Germany

    • Thomas Kastner
  5. Institute of Social Ecology (SEC), Department of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Vienna, Austria

    • Thomas Kastner
    • , Christoph Plutzar
    • , Michaela C. Theurl
    • , Nina Eisenmenger
    •  & Karlheinz Erb
  6. Division of Conservation Biology, Vegetation Ecology and Landscape Ecology, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria

    • Christoph Plutzar
  7. Institute for Water and Wetland Research, Department of Environmental Science, Radboud University, Nijmegen, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

    • Mark A. J. Huijbregts
    •  & Jelle P. Hilbers
  8. Industrial Ecology Programme, Department of Energy and Process Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway

    • Richard Wood
    •  & Konstantin Stadler
  9. Institute for Ecological Economics, Vienna University of Business and Economics, Vienna, Austria

    • Martin Bruckner
  10. Durrell Institute of Conservation and Ecology, School of Anthropology and Conservation, University of Kent, Canterbury, UK

    • Joana Canelas
  11. Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research TNO, Den Haag, The Netherlands

    • Arnold Tukker
  12. Universidade do Porto, Vairão, Portugal

    • Henrique M. Pereira

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Contributions

All authors provided input into the final manuscript. A.M., I.S.M., M.B., M.A.J.H., T.K., K.E. and H.M.P. designed the study. A.M., I.S.M., T.K., C.P., M.T., N.E., K.H.E., R.W. and K.S. contributed data. A.M., I.S.M. and T.K. performed the analysis. A.M. and H.M.P. wrote the paper with help from all the authors and coordinated the study.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Alexandra Marques.

Supplementary information

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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-0824-3