An integrated Earth system analysis is applied to project the probability of sequential hazards from tropical cyclones along the US East and Gulf coasts. Even a moderate-emissions scenario increases the chances of back-to-back tropical cyclone hazards and, possibly, two extreme tropical cyclone events impacting the United States within a short period of time.
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References
Xi, D. & Lin, N. Sequential landfall of tropical cyclones in the United States: from historical records to climate projections. Geophys. Res. Lett. 48, e2021GL094826 (2021). This paper examines the historical sequential landfalling of TCs along the US East and Gulf coasts and projects an increase in such events over the twenty-first century.
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This is a summary of: Xi, D. et al. Increasing sequential tropical cyclone hazards along the US East and Gulf coasts. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01595-7 (2023).
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Likelihood of back-to-back tropical cyclone hazards is increasing. Nat. Clim. Chang. 13, 220–221 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01596-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01596-6
