Abstract
Background
α-fetoprotein (AFP) response has been demonstrated as a biomarker for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) patients receiving immunotherapy, but its definition is still unclear. This exploratory study investigated the AFP trajectory and clinical outcomes of receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) therapy.
Methods
This secondary analysis used the Atez/Bev arm data of phase III IMbrave150 study to distinguish potential AFP changing rate trajectories through latent class trajectory models. The multivariable Cox models were applied to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for clinical outcomes.
Results
Three distinct trajectories were identified among the uHCC patients with 7 times (range, 3 to 28) of AFP measurements: low-stable (50.0%, n = 132), sharp-falling (13.3%, n = 35), and high-rising (36.7%, n = 97). Compared with the high-rising class, HRs of disease progression were 0.52 (95% CI: 0.39, 0.70) and 0.26 (95% CI: 0.16, 0.43) for the low-stable class and sharp-falling class, respectively. In contrast, HRs of death were 0.59 (95% CI: 0.40, 0.81) and 0.30 (95% CI: 0.16, 0.57) for the two groups after propensity score adjustment. Besides, AFP trajectories had the highest relative importance of each covariate to survival.
Discussion
There are three distinct AFP trajectories in uHCC patients receiving Atez/Bev, and it is an independent biomarker for clinical outcomes.
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Data availability
Qualified researchers may request access to individual patient-level data through the clinical study data request platform (https://vivli.org). Further details on Roche criteria for eligible studies are available at https://vivli.org/members/ourmembers.
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Acknowledgements
We are grateful for the support of professional knowledge form Fujian HCC-biomarker Study Group and the statistical support from Empower U team of the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, X&Y solutions Inc. in Boston. This publication is based on research using data from data contributors Roche that has been made available through Vivli, Inc. Vivli has not contributed to or approved, and is not in any way responsible for, the contents of this publication.
Funding
Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province (Nos 2020J011147); Research Initiation Foundation of Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University (Nos QDZJ-2022-001).
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Conception and design: LLB, ZPC, TQH, HSS; Data analysis and interpretation: LLB, ZPC; Resources: LLB, ZPC, TQH, HSS; Funding acquisition: CX; Writing-original draft: LLB, ZPC; Writing-review & editing: all authors. Final approval of manuscript: all authors. LLB (doctorxiaolin@fjmu.edu.cn) is responsible for this paper.
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This is a secondary analysis based on IMbrave 150 study (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03434379), and the Data Use Agreement with Research Plan is proved by the vivli platform (https://search.vivli.org/).
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Lu, L., Zheng, P., Pan, Y. et al. Trajectories of α-fetoprotein and unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab: a secondary analysis of IMbrave150 study. Br J Cancer 129, 620–625 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41416-023-02334-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41416-023-02334-7