Abstract
We aimed to identify markers of future affective lability in youth at bipolar disorder risk from the Pittsburgh Bipolar Offspring Study (BIOS) (n = 41, age = 14, SD = 2.30), and validate these predictors in an independent sample from the Longitudinal Assessment of Manic Symptoms study (LAMS) (n = 55, age = 13.7, SD = 1.9). We included factors of mixed/mania, irritability, and anxiety/depression (29 months post MRI scan) in regularized regression models. Clinical and demographic variables, along with neural activity during reward and emotion processing and gray matter structure in all cortical regions at baseline, were used to predict future affective lability factor scores, using regularized regression. Future affective lability factor scores were predicted in both samples by unique combinations of baseline neural structure, function, and clinical characteristics. Lower bilateral parietal cortical thickness, greater left ventrolateral prefrontal cortex thickness, lower right transverse temporal cortex thickness, greater self-reported depression, mania severity, and age at scan predicted greater future mixed/mania factor score. Lower bilateral parietal cortical thickness, greater right entorhinal cortical thickness, greater right fusiform gyral activity during emotional face processing, diagnosis of major depressive disorder, and greater self-reported depression severity predicted greater irritability factor score. Greater self-reported depression severity predicted greater anxiety/depression factor score. Elucidating unique clinical and neural predictors of future-specific affective lability factors is a step toward identifying objective markers of bipolar disorder risk, to provide neural targets to better guide and monitor early interventions in bipolar disorder at-risk youth.
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Funding
BIOS is supported by the National Institute of Mental Health grant R01 MH060952-16 (Birmaher and Phillips, University of Pittsburgh). LAMS was supported by the National Institute of Mental Health grants: 2R01 MH73953-09A1 (Birmaher and Phillips, University of Pittsburgh), 2R01 MH73816-09A1 (Holland, Children’s Hospital Medical Center), 2R01 MH73967-09A1 (Findling, Case Western Reserve University), and 2R01 MH73801-09A1 (Fristad, Ohio State University), and the Pittsburgh Foundation (Phillips).
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BB has or will receive royalties from for publications from Random House, Inc (New hope for children and teens with bipolar disorder) and Lippincott Williams & Wilkins (Treating Child and Adolescent Depression). He is employed by the University of Pittsburgh and the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center and receives research funding from NIMH. MLP is a consultant for Roche Pharmaceuticals. LEA has received research funding from Curemark, Forest, Lilly, Neuropharm, Novartis, Noven, Shire, Supernus, and YoungLiving (as well as NIH and Autism Speaks) and has consulted with or been on advisory boards for Arbor, Gowlings, Ironshore, Neuropharm, Novartis, Noven, Organon, Otsuka, Pfizer, Roche, Seaside Therapeutics, Sigma Tau, Shire, Tris Pharma, and Waypoint and received travel support from Noven. RLF receives or has received research support, acted as a consultant and/or served on a speaker’s bureau for Aevi, Akili, Alcobra, Amerex, American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, American Psychiatric Press, Bracket, Epharma Solutions, Forest, Genentech, Guilford Press, Ironshore, Johns Hopkins University Press, KemPharm, Lundbeck, Merck, NIH, Neurim, Nuvelution, Otsuka, PCORI, Pfizer, Physicians Postgraduate Press, Purdue, Roche, Sage, Shire, Sunovion, Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Syneurx, Teva, Tris, TouchPoint, Validus, and WebMD. MAF receives royalties from Guilford Press, American Psychiatric Press, and CFPSI. RK is a consultant for Forest Pharmaceutical and the REACH Foundation. He is employed by the Ohio State Wexner Medical Center. EAY has consulted with Pearson, Western Psychological Services, Lundbeck and Otsuka about assessment, as well as having grant support from the NIH. All the remaining authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
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Bertocci, M.A., Hanford, L., Manelis, A. et al. Clinical, cortical thickness and neural activity predictors of future affective lability in youth at risk for bipolar disorder: initial discovery and independent sample replication. Mol Psychiatry 24, 1856–1867 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41380-018-0273-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41380-018-0273-4
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