The latitude of the tropical rainbelt is constrained by the energy balance between hemispheres. An expansion of this theory that includes longitudinal variations of atmospheric heating can predict regional changes in tropical precipitation.
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Donohoe, A. Energy and precipitation. Nature Geosci 9, 861–862 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2846
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2846