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Assessing temperature pattern projections made in 1989

Successful projection of the distribution of surface temperature change increases our confidence in climate models. Here we evaluate projections of global warming from almost 30 years ago using the observations made during the past half century.

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Figure 1: Geographical distribution of the change in surface air temperature.
Figure 2: Seasonal variation of the zonal mean change in surface air temperature.
Figure 3: Zonally averaged ocean temperature (°C) change.

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R.J.S and S.M. equally participated in all aspects of this work.

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Correspondence to Ronald J. Stouffer.

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Stouffer, R., Manabe, S. Assessing temperature pattern projections made in 1989. Nature Clim Change 7, 163–165 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3224

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