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Projection and prediction

Climate sensitivity on the rise


Recent observations of Earth's energy budget indicate low climate sensitivity. Research now shows that these estimates should be revised upward, resolving an apparent mismatch with climate models and implying a warmer future.

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Figure 1: Probability distribution of climate response to forcings.


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Correspondence to Kyle C. Armour.

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Armour, K. Climate sensitivity on the rise. Nature Clim Change 6, 896–897 (2016).

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