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Who has difficulty in registering with an NHS dentist? – A national survey by C. McGrath, R. Bedi and N. Dhawan Br Dent J 2001; 191: 682–685

Comment

The evidence base that supports much of what dentists do is flimsy — and that is being kind. Many common dental procedures are not supported by evidence of their efficacy or advisability and many new materials arrive on the market with little clinical trial information to support them.

When politicians turn to matters dental, the problem gets significantly worse. Heaven forbid we should expect policy decisions based on sound evidence!

One of the biggest problems facing the dental profession today is estimating the demand for dental treatment that is present in the population. Both sides of the public health service use assumptions and perceptions as weapons with which to attack the other with little solid information to back them up.

The Government's recently published document 'Modernising NHS Dentistry — Implementing the NHS Plan' claims two million patients are unable to access NHS dentistry. This figure is deployed with a degree of conviction but little evidence. The problem for anyone who wishes to argue with it is that there is little evidence to the contrary.

The new data provided by this survey is important because it fills in some yawning gaps in the existing picture. The sample is substantial enough to demand attention, the interviews took place face to face and are likely to be more accurate as a result. A headline figure of 19% of the population having difficulty finding an NHS dentist would imply a national figure nearer to 10 million than the 2 million the Government favours.

Statistical extrapolation of this magnitude is fraught with danger and this survey alone will not provide us with the complete data set we need for future service planning but it is a big step towards it.

Questions need to be asked about the accuracy of patients' answers (the public do sometimes tell lies!) and methods of countering fraudulent responses. The sample size is impressive but is it big enough to fend off all arguments? The questions themselves may be questioned. Are they the most appropriate? Do they go far enough? Was enough information extracted for all that effort?

This study should prompt others to ask similar questions and increase our information on service demand. If we are to make progress on workforce planning and the cost effective use of public funds, the best data must be available to underpin our decisions.