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Nature 438, 208-211 (10 November 2005) | doi:10.1038/nature04121; Received 26 May 2005; Accepted 10 August 2005

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Possible solar origin of the 1,470-year glacial climate cycle demonstrated in a coupled model

Holger Braun1, Marcus Christl1, Stefan Rahmstorf2, Andrey Ganopolski2, Augusto Mangini1, Claudia Kubatzki3, Kurt Roth4 & Bernd Kromer1

  1. Heidelberg Academy of Sciences, c/o Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 229, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany
  2. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
  3. Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Bussestrasse 24, 27570 Bremerhaven, Germany
  4. Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 229, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany

Correspondence to: Holger Braun1 Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to H.B. (Email: holger.braun@iup.uni-heidelberg.de).

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Many palaeoclimate records from the North Atlantic region show a pattern of rapid climate oscillations, the so-called Dansgaard–Oeschger events, with a quasi-periodicity of approx1,470 years for the late glacial period1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Various hypotheses have been suggested to explain these rapid temperature shifts, including internal oscillations in the climate system and external forcing, possibly from the Sun7. But whereas pronounced solar cycles of approx87 and approx210 years are well known8, 9, 10, 11, 12, a approx1,470-year solar cycle has not been detected8. Here we show that an intermediate-complexity climate model with glacial climate conditions simulates rapid climate shifts similar to the Dansgaard–Oeschger events with a spacing of 1,470 years when forced by periodic freshwater input into the North Atlantic Ocean in cycles of approx87 and approx210 years. We attribute the robust 1,470-year response time to the superposition of the two shorter cycles, together with strongly nonlinear dynamics and the long characteristic timescale of the thermohaline circulation. For Holocene conditions, similar events do not occur. We conclude that the glacial 1,470-year climate cycles could have been triggered by solar forcing despite the absence of a 1,470-year solar cycle.

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