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Nature 431, 1032 (28 October 2004) | doi:10.1038/4311032a; Published online 27 October 2004

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Earthquake prediction: A seismic shift in thinking

David Cyranoski1

  1. David Cyranoski is Nature's Asian-Pacific correspondent.

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Earthquake researchers in the United States have long shunned the word 'prediction'. But, thanks to improved data and a change in public perception, cracks are beginning to appear in their resolve. David Cyranoski tracks the debate.

At last month's meeting of the Southern California Earthquake Center in Palm Springs, a certain word was whispered in corridors or condemned with expletives in cocktail-party conversations. On slides during talks it was written only as the 'p-word'.

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