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Nature 415, 514-517 (31 January 2002) | doi:10.1038/415514a;
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Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate
Radiative effects of anthropogenic changes in atmospheric composition are expected to cause climate changes, in particular an intensification of the global water cycle with a consequent increase in flood risk. But the detection of anthropogenically forced changes in flooding is difficult because of the substantial natural variability; the dependence of streamflow trends on flow regime further complicates the issue.
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