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Nature 407, 571-572 (5 October 2000) | doi:10.1038/35036659
Uncertainty in climate change
Andrew J. Weaver & Francis W. Zwiers1
Abstract
Climate modelling has produced varying projections of possible global rises in temperature. A simple statistical method brings several such projections into closer agreement and includes an indication of potential accuracy.
Governments around the world are investing heavily in coupled-climate models to project future climate change. Such models have interacting atmosphere, ocean, land and sea-ice components, and serve as laboratories for studying the effects of natural and human influences on the climate system.
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