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Total lipid energy as a proxy for total egg production by fish stocks

Abstract

The indeterminate relationship between the total biomass of mature fish (spawner biomass) and the number of offspring produced (recruitment) has puzzled population dynamicists1 and impeded fisheries management2. The relationship assumes that spawner biomass (in tonnes) is proportional to the total number of eggs produced (TEP) by the stock3, an assumption under increasing challenge4,5,6,7,8. Most stocks require proxies for TEP because contemporary and/or historical fecundity data are lacking. Here we show a positive association between recruitment and the liver weights of spawners in the Barents Sea cod stock which suggests that recruitment is constrained by the amount of lipid energy stored in the liver. This stimulated our interest in estimating total lipid energy (TLE; in kilojoules) for mature females in the stock. We examined the suitability of TLE as a proxy through correlation and simulation analyses. The results indicate that TLE is proportional to TEP and exhibits a similar response to varying food abundance. Replacing spawner biomass with more accurate measures of reproductive potential is essential to developing a rational basis for stock conservation9. Correctly specifying the first-order maternal effect on TEP is a prerequisite to detecting environmental and ecological effects on recruitment10.

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Figure 1: Empirical relationship between recruitment to age three years18 and the mean liver condition index estimated for a single spawning year (defined as the mean of monthly values recorded for July the preceding year through to June of the spawning year).
Figure 2: Simulated relationship between mean values of the three output variables expressed relative to the value at the minimum capelin biomass.

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Acknowledgements

We thank the staff at the Polar Research Institute of Marine Fisheries and Oceanography who maintained the liver condition database. This work was supported by the Norwegian Research Council (CTM), the Norwegian Foreign Department (NAY), the Canadian Department of Fisheries and Oceans (YL) and the European Union (OSK).

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Correspondence to C. Tara Marshall.

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Marshall, C., Yaragina, N., Lambert, Y. et al. Total lipid energy as a proxy for total egg production by fish stocks. Nature 402, 288–290 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1038/46272

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