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Future emission scenarios for chemicals that may deplete stratospheric ozone

Abstract

Scenarios are developed for long-term future emissions of seven of the most important manmade chemicals that may deplete ozone and the corresponding effect on stratospheric ozone concentrations is calculated using a one-dimensional atmospheric model. The scenarios are based on detailed analysis of the markets for products that use these chemicals and span a central 90% probability interval for the chemicals' joint effect on calculated ozone abundance, assuming no additional regulations.

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Hammitt, J., Camm, F., Connell, P. et al. Future emission scenarios for chemicals that may deplete stratospheric ozone. Nature 330, 711–716 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1038/330711a0

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