Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Letter
  • Published:

Persistence of Subsaharan drought

Abstract

The Subsaharan drought of the early 1970s attracted widespread attention. Particularly prominent was the suggestion that it was not likely to disappear in the near future, and could even persist into the next century1–3. (The basis of this standpoint is reviewed in ref. 4.) In contrast, the post-1974 discussion of the Subsaharan climate has tended to the opinion that the drought ended by 1974 or 19754–11. That this may not be the case has been neglected. It was not investigated during several detailed studies of West African rainfall published since 197512–16, because the data sets used terminated in 1974 or 1975, and is only weakly suggested by the World Meteorological Organization's annual summaries of significant meteorological events17. Strong claims that the drought continued beyond 1974 have been few, very brief, regionally focused, and qualitative18–20. I therefore now provide a 1975–81 update of a Subsaharan rainfall index previously published for 1941–7421. This confirms the drought's persistence.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Winstanley, D. Nature 245, 190–194 (1973).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  2. Lamb, H. H. Drought in Africa (eds Dalby, D. & Harrison-Church, R. J.) 28–29 (School of Oriental and African Studies, London, 1973).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bryson, R. A. Ecologist 3, 366–371 (1973).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Lamb, P. J. Prog. phys. Geogr. 3, 215–235 (1979).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Tanaka, M., Weare, B. C., Navato, A. R. & Newell, R. E. Nature 255, 201–203 (1975).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  6. Hare, F. K. Geogr. Mag. 49, 705–708 (1977).

    Google Scholar 

  7. United Nations Desertification Conference Secretariat Desertification: Its Causes and Consequences, 4, 6 (Pergamon, Oxford, 1977).

  8. Grove, A. T. Prog. phys. Geogr. 1, 296–310 (1977).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Grove, A. T. Geogr. J. 144, 407–415 (1978).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Kanamitsu, M. & Krishnamurti, T. N. Mon. Weath. Rev. 106, 331–347 (1978).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  11. Hare, F. K. Proc. Wld Climate Conf. 51–87 (World Meteorological Organization Publication 537, Geneva, 1979).

    Google Scholar 

  12. Bunting, A. H., Dennett, M. D., Elston, J. & Milford, J. R. Q. Jl R. met. Soc. 102, 59–64 (1976).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  13. Kraus, E. B. Mon. Weath. Rev. 105, 1009–1018 (1977).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  14. Kidson, J. W. Q. Jl R. met. Soc. 103, 441–456 (1977).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  15. Motha, R. P., LeDuc, S. K., Steyaert, L. T., Sakamoto, C. M. & Stommen, N. D. Mon. Weath. Rev. 108, 1567–1578 (1980).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  16. Stoeckenius, T. Mon. Weath. Rev. 109, 1233–1247 (1981).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  17. Wld met. Org. Bull. 25, 86–93 (1976); 26, 170–179 (1977); 27, 242–250 (1978); 28, 192–201 (1979); 29, 161–170 (1980); 30, 163–169 (1981).

  18. Lough, J. M. Climate Monitor 9, 150–157 (1980).

    Google Scholar 

  19. Faure, H. & Gac, J.-Y. Nature 291, 475–478 (1981).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  20. Vermeer, D. E. Geogr. Rev. 71, 281–298 (1981).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Lamb, P. J. Tellus 30, 240–251 (1978).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  22. Monthly Climatic Data for the World, 1957–65 (U.S. Weather Bureau, Asheville, 1957–65).

  23. World Weather Records, 1941–50 (U.S. Weather Bureau, Washington DC, 1959).

  24. Monthly Climatic Data for the World, 1966–70 (ESSA, Asheville, 1966–70).

  25. World Weather Records, 1951–60, Vol. 5 (ESSA, Washington DC, 1967).

  26. Monthly Climatic Data for the World, 1971–81 (NOAA, Asheville, 1971–81).

  27. Lamb, P. J. N.Z. J. Geogr. 68, 12–16 (1980).

    Google Scholar 

  28. CEAS Climatic Impact Assessment, Foreign Countries, 1981 Annual Summary (Environmental Data and Information Service, NOAA, Washington DC, 1982).

  29. Katz, R. W. Mon. Weath. Rev. 106, 1017–1021 (1978).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  30. Lamb, P. J. Mon. Weath. Rev. 106, 482–491 (1978).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  31. Glantz, M. Bull. Am. met. Soc. 58, 150–158 (1977).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Wade, N. Science 185, 234–237 (1974).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Lamb, P. Persistence of Subsaharan drought. Nature 299, 46–48 (1982). https://doi.org/10.1038/299046a0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/299046a0

This article is cited by

Comments

By submitting a comment you agree to abide by our Terms and Community Guidelines. If you find something abusive or that does not comply with our terms or guidelines please flag it as inappropriate.

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing