Original Communication

European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2003) 57, 566–572. doi:10.1038/sj.ejcn.1601573

Waist circumference as a predictor of cardiovascular and metabolic risk factors in obese girls

C Maffeis1, N Corciulo1, C Livieri1, I Rabbone1, G Trifirò1, A Falorni1, L Guerraggio1, P Peverelli1, G Cuccarolo1, G Bergamaschi1, M Di Pietro1 and A Grezzani1

1Childhood Obesity Group of the Italian Society of Pediatric Endocrinology and Diabetology, Italy

Correspondence: C Maffeis, Department of Pediatrics, University of Verona, Polyclinic Polyclinic, 37134 Verona, Italy. E-mail: claudio.maffeis@univr.it

Guarantor: Claudio Maffels, MO.

Contributors: Serone Ptlarma SpA, Via Casilina, 125 00 176, Roma, Italia.

Received 6 March 2002; Revised 18 June 2002; Accepted 19 June 2002.

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Abstract

Objectives: (a) to explore the relationship between waist circumference and certain cardiovascular risk factors in a group of girls; and (b) to assess the clinical relevance of waist circumference in identifying girls with higher cardiovascular risk across puberty.

Subjects and methods: One-hundred and fifty-five overweight or obese girls aged 5–16 y were recruited. Overweight and obesity were defined on the basis of BMI, according to Cole.

Results: Waist circumference was significantly correlated with plasma insulin (r=0.43; P<0.001), systolic blood pressure (r=0.22; P=0.007) and IRHOMA (r=0.40; P<0.001). A multivariate linear correlation analysis showed that, when adjusted for age and Tanner stage, waist circumference was significantly associated with plasma insulin (r 2=0.23; P<0.01), IRHOMA (r 2=0.17; P<0.02), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (r 2=0.20; P=0.006 and r 2=0.32; P<0.001, respectively). A logistic regression analysis, using IRHOMA as the dependent variable, showed that waist circumference was a significant independent risk factor of insulin resistance (IRHOMAgreater than or equal to2.6) in this group of girls (OR 1.10; 95% CI 1.03–1.18; P=0.003), independently of their age and Tanner stage.

Conclusions: Waist circumference of these girls was independently associated with certain cardiovascular risk factors, in particular insulin resistance and diastolic blood pressure, independently of age and Tanner stage. Thus suggesting that waist circumference may be reasonably included in clinical practice as a simple tool that may help to identify sub-groups of obese girls at higher metabolic risk across puberty.

Keywords:

child, obesity, cardiovascular risk factors, waist circumference

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Introduction

Obesity is a social emergency in industrialised countries (WHO, 1998). In particular, the progressive increase in the prevalence of childhood obesity is cause for concern due to the association of obesity with morbidity also in children and for the high persistency of obesity into adulthood (Must et al, 1992; Troiano & Flegal, 1998). Evidence that the duration of obesity and the persistency of metabolic and cardiovascular risk factors associated with obesity increase morbidity in adulthood suggests the need for early diagnosis of obesity as well as simple and sensitive indexes of metabolic and cardiovascular risks in obese individuals early in life (Dietz & Bellizzi, 1999).

Simple anthropometric measures, such as body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference, have been used to investigate the association between adiposity and cardiovascular risk factors in adults (Lean et al, 1998). Recently, studies on children seem to confirm the usefulness of waist circumference as an appropriate index of metabolic and cardiovascular risk also in the pre-puberty years (Freedman et al, 1999; Maffeis et al, 2001). However, few data are available for the period during puberty. Puberty affects cardiovascular and metabolic risk factors differently in males and females by the combined effects of hormones, changes of body composition and body fat distribution, and psycho-behavioural changes that may have relevant effects on one's lifestyle and nutritional habits.

Therefore, the purposes of the present study were: (a) to explore the relationship between anthropometric variables, lipid profile, insulin resistance index (IRHOMA) and blood pressure in a group of 154 girls aged 5–16 y; and (b) to assess the clinical relevance of waist circumference in identifying girls with higher cardiovascular risks across puberty.

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Materials and methods

Subjects

A sample of 154 girls aged 5–16 y was recruited at Childhood Obesity Care Centres in 11 hospitals in Italy. All the girls were overweight or obese on the basis of their BMI. Each girl underwent a physical examination by a paediatric endocrinologist. None of the girls were found to have an organic cause for her obesity, and none were taking any medication that might interfere with growth and weight control. The parents of each girl gave their informed consent to participate in the study. The protocol was in accordance with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975 as revised in 1983.

Physical characteristics

Measurements of height, weight, triceps and sub-scapular skinfolds, waist circumference and blood pressure were carried out in fasting conditions. Paediatric endocrinologists participating in the study standardized the procedure to measure anthropometric parameters. Body weight was determined to the nearest 0.5 kg on standard physician's beam scales with the girl wearing only underwear and no shoes. Height was measured to the nearest 0.5 cm on standardized, wall-mounted height boards according to the following protocol: no shoes, heels together, girl's heels, buttocks, shoulders and head touching the vertical wall surface with line of sight aligned horizontally. BMI was defined as weight/height2 and was expressed in units of kg/m2. Each of the standard physician's beam scales and wall-mounted height boards used to measure the children were previously calibrated. Waist circumference was measured to the nearest cm with a flexible steel tape measure while the subjects were in the standing position at the end of gentle expiration (Lohman, 1986). The following anatomical landmarks were used: laterally, midway between the lowest portion of the rib cage and iliac crest, and anteriorly midway between the xiphoid process of the sternum and the umbilicus (Lohman, 1986). Girls were defined as obese when their BMI was higher than the BMI values for age and gender reported to pass through the adult BMI cut-off of 30, as recently suggested by Cole et al (2000), and overweight when their BMI was higher than the BMI values for age and gender reported to pass through the adult BMI cut-off of 25. BMI tables by Cole et al were used as reference. The standard deviation score of BMI was calculated for each girl. The physician made three blood pressure measurements on the left arm over a period of 30 min with the subject supine, using a mercury sphygmomanometer. The cuffs used hand bladders long enough to circle at least half of the upper arm without overlapping, and widths that covered at least two-thirds of the upper arm. Systolic (Korotkoff phase I) and diastolic (Korotkoff phase V) blood pressure were measured three times and the average used for analysis. Puberty development was clinically assessed on the basis of Tanner stages (Tanner, 1962).

Haemato-chemical parameters

Fasting venipuncture samples were drawn in fasting condition (12 h). The blood was immediately centrifuged and the serum obtained was frozen and stored at -20°C for later analysis of lipid, glucose and insulin concentrations. All the samples were collected and analysed in the Laboratory of the University Hospital of Verona. Plasma glucose concentrations were measured with a glucose oxidase method. Plasma triacylglycerol and cholesterol were measured enzymatically (Abbott VP, Milan, Italy) using spectrophotometric methods (Deeg & Ziegenhorn, 1983; Nagele et al, 1984). Plasma high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-ch) fraction was obtained after precipitation using phosphotungstic reagent. A 10% sample was randomly chosen each day to assess measurement error, and intra-class correlation coefficients ranged from 0.94 (HDL-ch) to 0.99 (triacylglycerol). Our core laboratory is monitored for the accuracy of total cholesterol, HDL-ch and triacylglycerol measurements. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-ch) was calculated using the Friedewald formula (LDL-ch=TC-HDL-ch-triacylglycerol/5). Insulin was measured in duplicate by a specific RIA (cross reactivity with human proinsulin <5%), using BIOSOURCE kit (Friedewald et al, 1972) (Fleurus, Belgium).

Insulin resistance was assessed at baseline by using the homeostasis model assessment (HOMA; Stumvoll et al, 2000), a method applicable to epidemiological studies. HOMA enables the examiner to estimate insulin resistance using plasma insulin and glucose. The insulin resistance index (IRHOMA) was calculated as follows: Ins0 (pmol/l)timesGluc0 (mmol/l)/135, where 'Ins0' was the plasma insulin concentration, and 'Gluc0' was the plasma glucose concentration, before glucose ingestion. This parameter was closely related to more accurate measurements of insulin sensitivity, such as those obtained with the glucose clamp technique, in adults with various degrees of insulin sensitivity and glucose tolerance, including type 2 diabetes (Bonora et al, 2000). HOMA has not been directly validated in children; however, circulating insulin levels, which are the main determinants in obtaining the HOMA score in euglycaemic subjects, are a reliable index of insulin resistance also in children, as demonstrated by the close relationship with measures obtained by using the glucose clamp (Caprio et al, 1996a, b).

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Statistical analysis

Data are shown as meanplusminusstandard deviation and range. The difference between the physical characteristics, blood pressure and biochemical parameters across the Tanner stage were analysed using the Tukey test. Zero-order correlation was performed first to assess unadjusted association between anthropometric parameters (BMI and waist circumference), blood parameters and blood pressure.

BMI and waist were correlated (r=0.76, P<0.001), therefore, to avoid problems of colliarity, we ran different analyses using BMI or waist separately as independent variables. The degree of association between waist circumference, plasma lipids, insulin, IRHOMA and blood pressure, adjusted for age and Tanner stage (covariates), was calculated using a multivariate linear model analysis. Several variables were not normally distributed, therefore they were expressed as their logarithm, which normalized the distributions. The same analysis was conducted using BMI as the independent variable and plasma lipids, insulin, IRHOMA and blood pressure as dependent variables, adjusting for age and Tanner stage (covariates).

In order to assess the risk of insulin resistance, a multiple regression analysis using an insulin resistance index (log IRHOMA) as the dependent variable and waist circumference, age and Tanner stage as independent variables was also run. The same analysis was conducted using BMI (logarithm), age and Tanner stage as independent variables.

To assess the effects of waist circumference on the risk of becoming insulin resistant, the children were divided into two groups based on their IRHOMA: group A, IRHOMA <2.6; group B, IRHOMAgreater than or equal to2.6. We ran a multiple logistic regression analysis using IRHOMA as the dependent variable and age, Tanner stage and waist circumference (quartiles) as independent variables.

In all the analyses, a probability level of P<0.05 was used to indicate statistical significance. All statistical analyses were carried out using SPSS version 9.0 software for Windows (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) package for personal computers.

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Results

The physical characteristics of the 154 obese girls are shown in Table 1. The mean BMI was 27.4plusminus3.8 (range 20.4–43.1); the mean waist circumference was 81.9plusminus9.2 (range: 60–108). The haemato-chemical parameters of the total sample are shown in Table 2. The mean values of LDL-ch and IRHOMA were higher than the cut-off limits conventionally used for normality. Twenty-nine percent of the girls had LDL-ch higher than 2.84 mmol/l and 75% had IRHOMA higher than 2.6. The mean values of the other variables were within the normal range. However, 58% of the girls had HDL<0.9 mmol/l, 16% had total cholesterol higher than 4.65 mmol/l, 19% had diastolic blood pressure higher than the 90th centile for age and gender and 10% had systolic blood pressure higher than 90th centile. The physical characteristics of the girls, divided into five groups on the basis of their Tanner stage, are shown in Table 3. As expected, age, weight, height, BMI and waist circumference significantly increased across puberty (P<0.01). Systolic blood pressure was statistically higher (P<0.05) with the increase of Tanner stage, but diastolic blood pressure did not change significantly. Except for triacylglycerol (P<0.03), biochemical parameters were not significantly different with the increase of Tanner stage (Table 4). Interestingly, fasting insulin levels as well as IRHOMA were lower in Tanner stage 5 than in the other stages, although not significantly (Table 4).





An analysis of the association between anthropometric parameters and cardiovascular risk factors showed that waist circumference was significantly correlated with BMI (r=0.76; P<0.001), plasma insulin (r=0.43; P<0.001), systolic blood pressure (r=0.22; P=0.007) and IRHOMA (r=0.40; P<0.001). No significant correlation was found between waist circumference and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol and triacylglycerol. IRHOMA also correlated with BMI (r=0.26; P=0.002) and triacylglycerol (r=0.30; P<0.001).

A multivariate linear correlation analysis was run using waist circumference as the independent variable and total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, triacylglycerol, insulin, IRHOMA, systolic and diastolic blood pressure and HDL as dependent variables; age, and Tanner stage were used as covariates (Table 5). The analysis showed that waist circumference was significantly associated with plasma insulin (r2=0.23; P=0.002), IRHOMA (r2=0.17; P=0.02), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (r2=0.20; P=0.006 and r2=0.32; P<0.001, respectively). The same analysis was conducted using BMI as the independent variable and plasma lipids, insulin, IRHOMA and blood pressure as dependent variables, adjusting for age and Tanner stage (covariates). BMI was associated with fasting plasma insulin (r2=0.26; P=0.03) and IRHOMA (r2=0.28; P=0.02) but not with the other cardiovascular risk factors.


A multiple regression analysis, using the IRHOMA (log) as the dependent variable and age, Tanner stage and waist circumference as independent variables, showed that waist circumference, adjusted for age and puberty, was able to explain inter-individual variability of the IRHOMA (r2=0.16; P<0.001; Table 6). The same analysis, conducted using BMI (log) as independent variable, demonstrated that BMI, adjusted for age and puberty, explained only 7% (P=0.02) of the inter-individual variability of the IRHOMA.


We also ran a logistic regression analysis using IRHOMA as the dependent variable and divided the girls into two groups on the basis of their IRHOMA: group A, IRHOMA<2.6 (non-insulin-resistant); group B, IRHOMAgreater than or equal to2.6 (insulin resistant). Age, Tanner stage and waist circumference were the independent variables (Table 7). Waist circumference was a significant independent risk factor of insulin resistance (IRHOMAgreater than or equal to2.6) in this group of girls (OR 1.10; 95% CI 1.03–1.18; P=0.003). When waist circumference was included in the same analysis as categorical variable (quartiles), the group of girls with the waist in the highest quartile (>87 cm) had more than 20 times (OR 19.14; 95% CI 2.19–166.85; P=0.008) higher risk to have insulin resistance (IRHOMAgreater than or equal to2.6) than the girls with the waist in the lowest quartile (<76 cm).


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Discussion

Persistency of obesity across ages and the increasing incidence of obesity-associated morbidity also in children is a public health as well as social problem in industrialized countries (WHO, 1998). The need for early diagnosis of obesity and, possibly, of its complications has encouraged research to find simple but sensitive and accurate indexes of obesity in childhood. At the moment, BMI is the recommended index of adiposity for epidemiological studies as well as for clinical practice (Dietz & Bellizzi, 1999). The validity of BMI as an index of adiposity in children was recently demonstrated by measurements taken with dual x-ray absorptiometry (Goran et al, 1996; Pietrobelli et al, 1998; Lindsay et al, 2001). However, BMI have some limitations. In fact, a comparison of BMI and fat mass obtained by DXA in 979 children showed that BMI, although it may describe the adiposity characteristics of a healthy paediatric population, is a poor predictor of fatness for the individual child, with a standard error for relative adiposity of 4.7–7.3% (Dietz & Bellizzi, 1999). Moreover, race can affect the level of correlation between adiposity and BMI, as demonstrated by the comparison of the BMIs of subjects from different ethnic groups having comparable body fat composition (Franklin, 1999; Daniels et al, 1997). Finally, the adjustment for height does not completely eliminate the stature effect so that the use of BMI in a clinical setting requires additional measures to confirm the diagnosis of obesity in children (Ellis et al, 1999). Moreover, studies in adults have revealed that the health risk was mainly associated with body fat distribution, more so than adiposity per se (Larsson et al, 1984). Therefore, it was suggested that anthropometric measures other than weight and height (BMI) were usable as indexes of body fat distribution and morbidity. Among these measures, waist circumference was proposed as a good index of intra-abdominal fat (Rankinen et al, 1999). Intra-abdominal fat is strictly associated with metabolic complications of obesity and cardiovascular risks in adults (Pi-Sunyer, 1991). In children, the relationship between intra-abdominal fat and metabolic disturbances is less evident for several reasons. First, only small amounts of intra-abdominal fat are physiologically present before adulthood (de Ridder et al, 1992; Goran et al, 1995); second, rapid changes of fat patterning are common during growth and sexual maturation with differences in the two sexes (Forbes, 1987); third, waist circumference has not yet been validated as an index of intra-abdominal fat during puberty. However, a clear relationship between intra-abdominal fat and cardiovascular risk factors has been reported in adolescents (Caprio et al, 1996a,b), whereas waist circumference has been shown to be a good measure for truncal fat in pre-puberty girls (de Ridder et al, 1992). In spite of the fact that an association between intra-abdominal fat and waist circumference has not yet been defined during puberty, the results of this study on young obese girls show that waist circumference is not just an index of obesity, but rather a better index of cardiovascular and metabolic risk factors than BMI. In fact, similarly to waist circumference, BMI is also associated with cardiovascular risk factors. However, waist and BMI have not the same predictive value. In particular, partial regression analysis revealed that IRHOMA was still associated with waist (r=0.28, P=0.001) when the effects of BMI were removed whilst IRHOMA was no longer associated with BMI (r=-0.02, P=N.S.) when the effects of waist were removed. Therefore, in spite of BMI being a potential predictor of cardiovascular risk factors during puberty, waist circumference seems to be a preferable parameter. Finally, to avoid problems of results interpretation due to colliarity, waist circumference and BMI were not included in the same model of multiple regression analysis.

In this study, some indexes of insulin resistance, such as IRHOMA or simple plasma fasting insulin, were associated with the waist circumference of the girls. This finding is not surprising because all but five of the girls had a waist circumference above the 90th centile of the reference for age and sex. Previous studies in prepubertal children have shown that subjects with a waist circumference above the cut-off value of the 90th centile for age and sex have a high risk of obesity-related morbidity (Maffeis et al, 2001). In addition, in our sample, more than 20% of girls had three or more metabolic or cardiovascular risk factors.

IRHOMA changes during puberty. Girls younger than 10 y had a significantly lower IRHOMA than girls older than 10 y (3.58 vs 5.42; P=0.04). IRHOMA increased from Tanner 1 to Tanner 2, was pretty constant from Tanner 2 to Tanner 4 and, finally, it returned to prepubertal values at Tanner 5. This finding is in agreement with the results of the study of Moran et al, who performed the measure of insulin resistance by euglycemic clamp technique in a group of male and female non obese children of different ethnic origin during puberty (Moran et al, 1999). It is very interesting that IRHOMA, which is a gross index of insulin resistance, showed the same patterns reported with the measure of glucose uptake with an accurate technique like euglycemic clamp. The variation of insulin resistance during puberty in girls may be likely explained by growth hormone/IGF-1 axis changes during puberty (Amiel et al, 1986; Cook et al, 1993).

Waist circumference was significantly associated with systolic and diastolic blood pressure, independently of age and puberty stage. This is in accordance with data reported for obese women on whom computed tomography was used to measure intra-abdominal and subcutaneous fat to investigate the relationship between blood pressure and fat distribution (Kanai et al, 1990). In particular, the Authors found a correlation between the ratio of intra-abdominal visceral fat to subcutaneous fat area ratio and blood pressure, that was independent of age and BMI by multiple regression analysis.

Multiple regression analysis showed that waist circumference is a good independent predictor of insulin resistance (IRHOMA) in girls during puberty. In fact, when age and Tanner stage were used as covariates, waist circumference was able to predict 16% of inter-individual variability of IRHOMA. Although the r2 value is not very high, waist was the anthropometric parameter showing the highest predictive value of IRHOMA. Other factors such as fat mass, fat mass distribution, skeletal muscle and liver metabolic activity and hormones may contribute to explain part of inter-individual variability of IRHOMA, which is not explained by waist. However, none of these factors may be measured during a physical examination. Moreover, logistic regression analysis showed that, adjusted for age and puberty, the increase of 1 cm of waist circumference increased the girls' risk of having an IRHOMA greater that 2.6 by more than 10%, ie developing insulin resistance. Moreover, independently from age and puberty, girls with a waist circumference greater than 87 cm had more than 20 times higher probability of being insulin resistant than girls with a waist circumference smaller than 76 cm. Therefore, waist circumference in obese girls offers the opportunity to easily obtain a gross estimation of the risk of insulin resistance in these subjects. The increasing incidence of type 2 diabetes in obese adolescents and the evidence that persistency of insulin resistance is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes suggests the need for early diagnosis of insulin resistance, especially in obese children (Kanai et al, 1990; Lillioja et al, 1993; Fagot-Campagna et al, 2001). The measure of waist circumference may be of help in this case.

In conclusion, the waist circumference of obese girls was independently associated with certain cardiovascular risk factors, insulin resistance and diastolic blood pressure in particular, independent of age and Tanner stage. Waist circumference measurement may be a good choice in clinical practice, since it is easy to do and has a good inter-individual reproducibility; it may also help to identify sub-groups of obese girls at higher metabolic risk across puberty.

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