Natural hazards articles within Nature Communications

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  • Article
    | Open Access

    This study shows that 716 million of the world’s lowest income people live in areas with unsafe levels of air pollution, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa. With limited access to healthcare, they are especially vulnerable.

    • Jun Rentschler
    •  & Nadezda Leonova

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Storm severity indices of European winter storms in climate models show future increased storm losses in northwestern Europe, caused by changes in the location and intensity of storms, and increasing population.

    • Alexander S. Little
    • , Matthew D. K. Priestley
    •  & Jennifer L. Catto

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Atlantic Niño, the Atlantic counterpart of the Pacific El Niño, increases the likelihood of powerful hurricanes developing near the Cape Verde islands, elevating associated risks for the Caribbean islands and the U.S.

    • Dongmin Kim
    • , Sang-Ki Lee
    •  & Jason Dunion

  • Article
    | Open Access

    In this study, the authors use a global dataset of satellite-derived shoreline positions, and demonstrate that their interannual evolution is dominated by El Niño through its worldwide influence of sea level, river discharge and ocean waves

    • Rafael Almar
    • , Julien Boucharel
    •  & Fei-Fei Jin

  • Article
    | Open Access

    This paper presents a method for quantifying the benefits of beaches in reducing storm and long-term coastal flood risk. This method can contribute to cost-effective decision-making on climate change adaptation in many of the world’s coasts.

    • Alexandra Toimil
    • , Iñigo J. Losada
    •  & Gonéri Le Cozannet

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Satellite imagery enhanced with deep learning sheds light on the mechanisms driving lava dome construction-destruction cycles. Results suggest that gas retention and escape from the magma system control the dome and crater morphological evolution.

    • Sébastien Valade
    • , Diego Coppola
    •  & Servando De la Cruz-Reyna

  • Article
    | Open Access

    In this study, the authors use a thermodynamically constrained model of melt-mush reaction to simulate the chemical, mineralogical, and physical consequences of reactive flow in a multi-component mush system.

    • Matthew L. M. Gleeson
    • , C. Johan Lissenberg
    •  & Paula M. Antoshechkina

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Changes in climate preconditioned large-scale, recurrent Miocene to Pleistocene Antarctic submarine landslides through variations in biological productivity, ice proximity and ocean circulation, posing tsunami risk to Southern Hemisphere populations.

    • Jenny A. Gales
    • , Robert M. McKay
    •  & Zhifang Xiong

  • Article
    | Open Access

    This study presents a global analysis of the sensitivity of inundated areas and population exposure to varying flood event magnitudes globally for 1.2 million river reaches. The authors show that topography and drainage areas correlate with flood sensitivities as well as with societal behavior.

    • Laura Devitt
    • , Jeffrey Neal
    •  & Thorsten Wagener

  • Article
    | Open Access

    The authors use seismic and sedimentology data to estimate the volume of the Minoan eruption. The results show that the Plinian phase contributed most to the distal tephra fall, and that the pyroclastic flow volume is significantly smaller than previously assumed.

    • Jens Karstens
    • , Jonas Preine
    •  & Christian Berndt

  • Article
    | Open Access

    How much rain does it take to trigger a landslide? This work shows that deep learning can identify the driving forces that can cause rainfall induced landslides, opening up the possibility of forecasting landslide events over large areas

    • Alessandro C. Mondini
    • , Fausto Guzzetti
    •  & Massimo Melillo

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Earthquake rupture speeds significantly impact seismic hazards. Here, authors report laboratory earthquake experiments reproducing early and stable subEshelby supershear ruptures, and unlocking the correlation between rupture speed and driving load.

    • Peng Dong
    • , Kaiwen Xia
    •  & Jean-Paul Ampuero

  • Article
    | Open Access

    The global risk of record-breaking heatwaves is assessed, with the most at-risk regions identified. It is shown that record-smashing events that currently appear implausible could happen anywhere as a result of climate change.

    • Vikki Thompson
    • , Dann Mitchell
    •  & Julia M. Slingo

  • Article
    | Open Access

    The capacity of coral reefs to keep pace with sea-level rise is central to their ability to continue to provide shoreline protection to vulnerable coastal communities. Here, the study shows that whereas restoration has the potential to minimize climate-change impacts, doing nothing will amplify them.

    • Lauren T. Toth
    • , Curt D. Storlazzi
    •  & Richard B. Aronson

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Here the authors present a global scale classification of river channel belt extents as a resource for improved ecosystem accounting and river behavior analysis. Moreover, the methods show advances in pattern recognition to define new global landform products.

    • Björn Nyberg
    • , Gijs Henstra
    •  & Juha Ahokas

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Fragmentation-induced fluidization occurs in concentrated pyroclastic density currents where rapid particle breakage causes flow compaction and subsequent high pore fluid pressure, reducing friction and explaining their long runout.

    • Eric C. P. Breard
    • , Josef Dufek
    •  & Braden Walsh

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Clustering of earthquake magnitudes is actively debated. Here, the authors show statistically significant magnitude clustering present in many different field and laboratory catalogs at a wide range of spatial scales (mm to 1000 km).

    • Q. Xiong
    • , M. R. Brudzinski
    •  & J. C. Hampton

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Elevation-dependent warming trends have been previously identified, but its effect on fire danger is still unclear. Here the authors show that there has been widespread increases in fire danger across the mountainous western US from 1979 to 2020 with most acute trends at high-elevation regions above 3000 m.

    • Mohammad Reza Alizadeh
    • , John T. Abatzoglou
    •  & Mojtaba Sadegh

  • Article
    | Open Access

    This paper presents experimental evidence of thermal pressurization (TP) weakening of seismic faults, and suggests TP processes could be significantly promoted by wear-induced sealing during earthquakes even for relatively permeable faults.

    • Lu Yao
    • , Shengli Ma
    •  & Giulio Di Toro

  • Article
    | Open Access

    This paper shows that desertification combating practices decline incomes of farmers and herders, and China needs to adapt its ecological programmes to address the impacts of climate change and create positive synergies to combat desertification.

    • Xunming Wang
    • , Quansheng Ge
    •  & Fahu Chen

  • Article
    | Open Access

    This study shows that climate change is expected to result in a 41% increase in the frequency of lightning worldwide. This increase has the potential to amplify the risk of lightning-induced wildfires.

    • Francisco J. Pérez-Invernón
    • , Francisco J. Gordillo-Vázquez
    •  & Patrick Jöckel

  • Article
    | Open Access

    The 2021 unprecedented Pacific Northwest heatwave broke temperature records by extraordinary amounts. Impacts included hundreds of deaths, mass-mortalities of marine life, increased wildfires, reduced crop and fruit yields, and river flooding.

    • Rachel H. White
    • , Sam Anderson
    •  & Greg West

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) are a major hazard to downstream populations. Here, the authors show that 15 million people globally are potentially exposed to GLOF impacts, with more than half of these living in India, Pakistan, Peru and China.

    • Caroline Taylor
    • , Tom R. Robinson
    •  & Matthew Westoby

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Here the authors find that climate teleconnections modulate ~53 % of the global burned area with both synchronous and lagged signals, and marked regional patterns, with the Tropical North Atlantic mode being the most relevant.

    • Adrián Cardil
    • , Marcos Rodrigues
    •  & Sergio de-Miguel

  • Article
    | Open Access

    This study shows prominent synchronous co-evolution of drought events in drought hubs in sub-tropical regions, influenced by sea surface temperature patterns and teleconnections. Such simultaneous occurrence of droughts may have detrimental impacts.

    • Somnath Mondal
    • , Ashok K. Mishra
    •  & Benjamin Cook

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Heat extremes have been growing at staggering rates with global warming. This study shows that temperature variability is key to explaining the highly heterogeneous trajectories of future extremes and their rapid intensification in many regions.

    • Claudia Simolo
    •  & Susanna Corti

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Here, the authors use an advanced data-mining method to show how “extreme modes” of large-scale climate variability, such as El Niño, can lead to devastating marine heatwaves.

    • Christopher C. Chapman
    • , Didier P. Monselesan
    •  & Bernadette M. Sloyan

  • Article
    | Open Access

    This study presents the first rapid seismic multi-hazard and impact estimation system integrating advanced causal inference and remote sensing techniques, which jointly estimates regional-scale and high-resolution maps of seismic multi-hazards and building damage from InSAR imageries.

    • Susu Xu
    • , Joshua Dimasaka
    •  & Hae Young Noh

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Petrological studies along with volcano monitoring data relate the unusual 2019 explosive activity at Stromboli volcano (Italy) to deep magma recharges up to a few days prior the eruption and a direct link between deep and shallow magma reservoirs.

    • Chiara Maria Petrone
    • , Silvio Mollo
    •  & Mark Reagan

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Submarine fans play an important role in routing sediment in continental and deep water settings. Here the authors develop a framework is to explain the shape of submarine fans using a numerical model framework which can either predict seafloor topography from turbidity current flow properties or infer these flow properties from seafloor topography.

    • Abdul Wahab
    • , David C. Hoyal
    •  & Kyle M. Straub

  • Article
    | Open Access

    Using satellite observations, the authors show that the average tropical cyclone (TC) rain rate increases significantly with translation speed. On average, the rain rate of a fast-moving TC is about 24% higher than that of a slow one.

    • Shifei Tu
    • , Johnny C. L. Chan
    •  & Yu Zhang

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