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| Open AccessPricing indirect emissions accelerates low—carbon transition of US light vehicle sector
New research shows how large–scale adoption of electric vehicles due to expected technological change may not only reduce emissions from tailpipes, but also indirect emissions stemming from energy and battery production.
- Paul Wolfram
- , Stephanie Weber
- & Edgar G. Hertwich
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Article
| Open AccessAssessing costs of Indonesian fires and the benefits of restoring peatland
Deforestation and drainage have made Indonesian peatlands susceptible to burning. Here the authors find that Indonesia’s 2015 fires resulted in economic losses totaling US$28 billion, while the area burned and emissions released could have been significantly reduced had restoration been completed.
- L. Kiely
- , D. V. Spracklen
- & H. A. Adrianto
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Article
| Open AccessMulti-decadal increase of forest burned area in Australia is linked to climate change
The degree to which wildfire activity in Australia is affected by climate change is not well quantified. Here, the authors show that the frequency of forest fires and the area burned have increased significantly over recent decades, mainly due to an increase in dangerous fire weather conditions through warmer temperature and circulation changes.
- Josep G. Canadell
- , C. P. (Mick) Meyer
- & Vanessa Haverd
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Article
| Open AccessBreaking down barriers on PV trade will facilitate global carbon mitigation
Global trade of solar photovoltaic (PV) products has an important role to play in sustainable mitigation to climate change. Highlighting global PV product trade, this study explores the impeding effect of tariff and non-tariff barriers on global PV product trade and carbon emissions reductions.
- Mudan Wang
- , Xianqiang Mao
- & Eric Zusman
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Article
| Open AccessA national cohort study (2000–2018) of long-term air pollution exposure and incident dementia in older adults in the United States
Air pollution has been linked to neurodegenerative disease. Here the authors carried out a population-based cohort study to investigate the association between long-term exposure to PM2.5, NO2, and warm-season O3 on dementia and Alzheimer’s disease incidence in the United States.
- Liuhua Shi
- , Kyle Steenland
- & Joel Schwartz
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Article
| Open AccessHealth impacts of wildfire-related air pollution in Brazil: a nationwide study of more than 2 million hospital admissions between 2008 and 2018
Brazil is a wildfire-prone region, and few studies have investigated the health impacts of wildfire exposure. Here, the authors show that wildfire waves are associated with an increase of 23% in respiratory hospital admissions and an increase of 21% in circulatory hospital admissions in Brazil.
- Weeberb J. Requia
- , Heresh Amini
- & Joel D. Schwartz
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Article
| Open AccessDelaying carbon dioxide removal in the European Union puts climate targets at risk
The implications of delaying carbon dioxide removal (CDR) are poorly understood. Here the authors highlight the potential extra costs and reduced removal potential of delayed CDR action, with a special focus on direct air capture and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (DACCS and BECCS).
- Ángel Galán-Martín
- , Daniel Vázquez
- & Gonzalo Guillén-Gosálbez
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Article
| Open AccessMitigation potential of global ammonia emissions and related health impacts in the trade network
Ammonia emissions from agricultural sources can cause severe health impacts. Here, the authors show that about 25% of global agricultural ammonia emissions in 2012 were related to international exported goods and caused 61 thousand PM2.5 related premature deaths, which points out large ammonia mitigation potential in international trade.
- Rong Ma
- , Ke Li
- & Jing Meng
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Article
| Open AccessGlobal distribution, trends, and drivers of flash drought occurrence
Flash droughts can have devastating impacts but are notoriously difficult to predict. This study identifies global hotspots of flash drought, driven by evaporative demand and precipitation deficits across varying geographic regions and crop-type, providing a framework for flash drought prediction.
- Jordan I. Christian
- , Jeffrey B. Basara
- & Robb M. Randall
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Article
| Open AccessCompound jetting from bubble bursting at an air-oil-water interface
How structurally complex interfaces mediate bubble bursting might significantly impact environmental and industrial processes. Here, authors investigate the bubble-bursting jets dynamics of oil-covered aqueous surface and show how these can also disperse insoluble organic contaminants.
- Bingqiang Ji
- , Zhengyu Yang
- & Jie Feng
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Article
| Open AccessConsumption in the G20 nations causes particulate air pollution resulting in two million premature deaths annually
Worldwide exposure to ambient PM2.5 causes millions of premature deaths annually. Here the authors quantify the global footprint of PM2.5-driven premature deaths for the G20 countries, which are in a position to lead internationally coordinated mitigation efforts.
- Keisuke Nansai
- , Susumu Tohno
- & Manfred Lenzen
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Article
| Open AccessAssessing the importance of thermogenic degassing from the Karoo Large Igneous Province (LIP) in driving Toarcian carbon cycle perturbations
The emplacement of the Karoo LIP occurred synchronously with the Toarcian crisis, which is characterized by negative carbon isotope excursions. Here the authors use carbon cycle modelling to show that thermogenic carbon released during LIP emplacement represents a plausible source for the negative excursions.
- Thea H. Heimdal
- , Yves Goddéris
- & Henrik H. Svensen
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Article
| Open AccessGlobally consistent assessment of coastal eutrophication
Satellite-derived chlorophyll data and Google Earth Engine (GEE) are used to introduce the first global map of coastal eutrophication potential as a GEE app. The prospects of the app being used as a global framework for eutrophication screening/monitoring are discussed.
- Elígio de Raús Maúre
- , Genki Terauchi
- & Michael DeWitt
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Article
| Open AccessGlobal greenhouse gas emissions from residential and commercial building materials and mitigation strategies to 2060
Building construction causes large material-related emissions which present a serious decarbonization challenge. Here, the authors show that the building material sector could halve emissions by increasing efficiency until 2060 but even then its emissions would be twice as high as needed to meet the 1.5 °C target.
- Xiaoyang Zhong
- , Mingming Hu
- & Paul Behrens
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Article
| Open AccessENSO impacts child undernutrition in the global tropics
The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences the weather around the world and, therefore, has strong impacts on society. Here, the authors show that ENSO is associated with child nutrition in many countries, with warmer El Niño conditions leading to more child undernutrition in large parts of the developing world.
- Jesse K. Anttila-Hughes
- , Amir S. Jina
- & Gordon C. McCord
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Article
| Open AccessGlobal syndromes induced by changes in solutes of the world’s large rivers
Rivers are increasingly plagued by “syndromes”, i.e. salinization, mineralization, desalinization, acidification, alkalization, hardening and softening. A global look at river biogeochemistry reveals dramatically increased flux estimates and anthropogenic drivers of syndromes.
- Jiang Wu
- , Nan Xu
- & Jinren Ni
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Article
| Open AccessRecycling lead and transparent conductors from perovskite solar modules
Perovskite photovoltaics has become more competitive against silicon counterpart in reducing cost of solar energy, yet the management of toxic lead hampers it application. Here, the authors propose a cost-effective environmental-friendly approach to recycle lead and transparent conductors.
- Bo Chen
- , Chengbin Fei
- & Jinsong Huang
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Article
| Open AccessSeasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning
Accurate seasonal forecasts of sea ice are highly valuable, particularly in the context of sea ice loss due to global warming. A new machine learning tool for sea ice forecasting offers a substantial increase in accuracy over current physics-based dynamical model predictions.
- Tom R. Andersson
- , J. Scott Hosking
- & Emily Shuckburgh
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Article
| Open AccessThe underappreciated role of agricultural soil nitrogen oxide emissions in ozone pollution regulation in North China
Summertime ozone air pollution in North China remains severe. Here the authors find large biogenic emissions of nitrogen oxides in North China, mainly driven by fertilizer application, challenge the mitigation of ozone pollution by only reducing combustion induced ozone precursors’ emissions.
- Xiao Lu
- , Xingpei Ye
- & Yuanhang Zhang
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Article
| Open AccessClosing the methane gap in US oil and natural gas production emissions inventories
Methane emissions from oil and gas systems are underestimated in official inventories. Here the authors synthesize thousands of field measurements and develop an inventory-based model for a better understanding of why this underestimation exists and how it can be fixed.
- Jeffrey S. Rutherford
- , Evan D. Sherwin
- & Adam R. Brandt
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Comment
| Open AccessGreen infrastructure can limit but not solve air pollution injustice
Outdoor air pollution contributes to millions of deaths worldwide yet air pollution has differential exposures across racial/ethnic groups and socioeconomic status. While green infrastructure has the potential to decrease air pollution and provide other benefits to human health, vegetation alone cannot resolve health disparities related to air pollution injustice. We discuss how unequal access to green infrastructure can limit air quality improvements for marginalized communities and provide strategies to move forward.
- Viniece Jennings
- , Colleen E. Reid
- & Christina H. Fuller
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Article
| Open AccessIrrigated areas drive irrigation water withdrawals
The global water demands of irrigated agriculture are estimated through country surveys or through hydrological models, but both approaches are taxing. Here, the authors show that they can simply be estimated as a function of irrigated areas.
- Arnald Puy
- , Emanuele Borgonovo
- & Andrea Saltelli
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Article
| Open AccessA generalizable and accessible approach to machine learning with global satellite imagery
This paper presents MOSAIKS, a system for planet-scale prediction of multiple outcomes using satellite imagery and machine learning (SIML). MOSAIKS generalizes across prediction domains and has the potential to enhance accessibility of SIML across research disciplines.
- Esther Rolf
- , Jonathan Proctor
- & Solomon Hsiang
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Article
| Open AccessGermanium-lead perovskite light-emitting diodes
Lead toxicity poses a big hurdle for the commercialization of perovskite optoelectronics, hence reducing the environmental impact holds the answer for its future application. To tackle this challenge, the authors utilize germanium to reduce the lead content, enabling highly luminescent eco-friendly compound for LEDs.
- Dexin Yang
- , Guoling Zhang
- & Dawei Di
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Article
| Open AccessCommon irrigation drivers of freshwater salinisation in river basins worldwide
Freshwater salinisation is a growing water quality problem, but impacts and drivers across regional to global scales have been lacking. A new assessment of inter-regional freshwater salinisation demonstrates the importance of irrigation as a driver of salinisation.
- Josefin Thorslund
- , Marc F. P. Bierkens
- & Michelle T. H. van Vliet
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Article
| Open AccessSolar energy and regional coordination as a feasible alternative to large hydropower in Southeast Asia
Hydropower dams in the Lower Mekong basin have profound impact on the riverine ecosystems. Here the authors use strategic dam planning and power system modelling to show that there are economically and technically feasible alternatives to these dams with solar energy and power trading.
- Kais Siala
- , Afm Kamal Chowdhury
- & Stefano Galelli
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Article
| Open AccessCo-benefits of protecting mangroves for biodiversity conservation and carbon storage
Conserving mangrove biodiversity has numerous co-benefits, including climate change-mitigation. Here the authors demonstrate that blue carbon storage in mangroves can be best sustained by combining site-specific dominant species with other species with contrasting functional traits.
- Md Mizanur Rahman
- , Martin Zimmer
- & Ming Xu
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Article
| Open AccessCommercial afforestation can deliver effective climate change mitigation under multiple decarbonisation pathways
Afforestation is an important greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation strategy but the efficacy of commercial (harvested) forestry is disputed. Here the authors apply dynamic life cycle assessment to show that new commercial conifer forests can achieve up to 269% more GHG mitigation than semi-natural forests, over 100 years.
- Eilidh J. Forster
- , John R. Healey
- & David Styles
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Article
| Open AccessEvaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects
Aviation contributes to climate change and ways to reduce its emissions are widely debated. Here, the authors assess the effects of technology improvements and the use of sustainable aviation fuels and find that even when these are considered aviation is unlikely to meet emissions goals in line with the Paris Agreement.
- Volker Grewe
- , Arvind Gangoli Rao
- & Katrin Dahlmann
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Review Article
| Open AccessCity footprints and SDGs provide untapped potential for assessing city sustainability
Whether or not a city achieves absolute sustainability is difficult to assess with existing frameworks. Here the authors, in a review, show that a further integration of consumption-based accounting and benchmarking is necessary to aid the monitoring and assessment of Sustainable Development Goals in cities.
- Thomas Wiedmann
- & Cameron Allen
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Article
| Open AccessEmission impacts of China’s solid waste import ban and COVID-19 in the copper supply chain
Advanced copper supply chain modeling shows China’s new waste trade policy may increase pollution, while limiting other low-value imports reverses this trend. Here the authors show that recycling is vulnerable to supply chain shocks, requiring investment during recoveries to promote a circular economy.
- John Ryter
- , Xinkai Fu
- & Elsa A. Olivetti
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Article
| Open AccessSource sector and fuel contributions to ambient PM2.5 and attributable mortality across multiple spatial scales
Ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is one of the most important environmental health risk factors in many regions. Here, the authors present an assessment of PM2.5 emission sources and the related health impacts across global to sub-national scales and find that over 1 million deaths were avoidable in 2017 by eliminating PM2.5 mass associated with fossil fuel combustion emissions.
- Erin E. McDuffie
- , Randall V. Martin
- & Michael Brauer
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Review Article
| Open AccessProtein nanofibrils for next generation sustainable water purification
Water scarcity is a rapidly spreading global challenge but water purification technologies are often not sustainable. Here, the authors review the research on water purification technologies based on protein nanofibrils as a green and affordable solution to alleviate a water crisis.
- Mohammad Peydayesh
- & Raffaele Mezzenga
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Article
| Open AccessOpen fire exposure increases the risk of pregnancy loss in South Asia
Open fires can increase heavy exposure to hazardous particulate matters, and thus harm human health, particularly among the vulnerable individuals, such as pregnant women. Here, the authors show an association between maternal exposure to fire smoke and increased risk of pregnancy loss in South Asia.
- Tao Xue
- , Guannan Geng
- & Tong Zhu
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Article
| Open AccessBiodegradation of bio-sourced and synthetic organic electronic materials towards green organic electronics
Waste build-up from organic electronic components is a major environmental issue; biodegradable electronic materials could be a solution to this. Here, the authors report on the biodegradation of bio-sourced and synthetic electronic materials in industrial compost at different temperatures.
- Eduardo Di Mauro
- , Denis Rho
- & Clara Santato
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Article
| Open AccessDisproportionate exposure to urban heat island intensity across major US cities
Individual exposure to heat is associated with adverse health and economic outcomes. Here, the authors show that people of color and people living in poverty bear a disproportionate burden of urban heat exposure in almost all major cities in the continental United States.
- Angel Hsu
- , Glenn Sheriff
- & Diego Manya
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Article
| Open AccessGlobal health effects of future atmospheric mercury emissions
Mercury is a neurotoxin and pollutant with enhanced emissions from anthropogenic activities. Here, the authors develop a global emissions, transport, and human risk model and find substantial future losses in revenue and public health if emission reductions proposed by the Minamata Convention are delayed.
- Yanxu Zhang
- , Zhengcheng Song
- & Ping Li
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Article
| Open AccessWhen timing matters—misdesigned dam filling impacts hydropower sustainability
Filling of dams, when coinciding with droughts, can lead to severe downstream hydrology and ecology problems. The authors hence here provide a multisectoral perspective, using a dam in Ethiopia as an example, to develop adaptive filling solutions that support decision making, favourable filling timing and an effective filling policy.
- Marta Zaniolo
- , Matteo Giuliani
- & Andrea Castelletti
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Article
| Open AccessGlobal land use changes are four times greater than previously estimated
Quantifying land use change is critical in tackling global challenges related to food, climate and biodiversity. Here the authors show that land use change has affected 32 % of the global land area in six decades (1960- 2019) by combining multiple open datasets to create the HIstoric Land Dynamics Assessment +.
- Karina Winkler
- , Richard Fuchs
- & Martin Herold
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Article
| Open AccessMarine ice-cliff instability modeling shows mixed-mode ice-cliff failure and yields calving rate parameterization
Ice-cliff failure that leads to marine ice-cliff instability could accelerate Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat. Here, the authors use 3D glacier models to investigate ice-cliff failure, derive a retreat rate relationship, and quantify mélange back force necessary to suppress ice-cliff failure.
- Anna J. Crawford
- , Douglas I. Benn
- & Thomas Zwinger
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Article
| Open AccessDeforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
Deforestation in the Amazon region has suggested to influence precipitation in a non-linear way. Here, the authors show that forest loss is associated with decreasing precipitation after a scale-dependent threshold is crossed, which can cause stress on agriculture if deforestation is expanded.
- Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho
- , Britaldo Silveira Soares-Filho
- & Jan Börner
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Article
| Open AccessCosmogenic in situ 14C-10Be reveals abrupt Late Holocene soil loss in the Andean Altiplano
The assessment of soil sustainability in prehistoric times requires comparing millennium-scale erosion rates with geological background rates. Here, the authors apply in situ cosmogenic 14C, 10Be, and 26Al to reveal rapid soil erosion on the Andean Altiplano in response to Late Holocene climate change and the onset of agropastoralism.
- Kristina Hippe
- , John D. Jansen
- & David Lundbek Egholm
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Article
| Open AccessWildfires increasingly impact western US fluvial networks
The authors investigate the impacts of wildfires on fluvial networks in the western US. They find that wildfires directly impacted ~6% of the total stream length between 1984 and 2014. When longitudinal propagation was included, they estimate that wildfires affected ~11% of the total stream length.
- Grady Ball
- , Peter Regier
- & David Van Horn
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Article
| Open AccessTracking the global reduction of marine traffic during the COVID-19 pandemic
The COVID-19 response has led to unparalleled changes in the functioning of human society, from travel restrictions to changes in consumption. Here the authors use high resolution satellite data to track the global reduction in marine traffic during the pandemic, and more recent hints of recovery to pre-lockdown levels.
- David March
- , Kristian Metcalfe
- & Brendan J. Godley
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Article
| Open AccessZooplankton grazing of microplastic can accelerate global loss of ocean oxygen
Microplastic pollution is a major threat to marine food webs, but the wider ranging impacts on global ocean biogeochemistry are poorly understood. Here the authors use an Earth system model to determine that zooplankton grazing on microplastics could exacerbate trends in ocean oxygen loss.
- K. Kvale
- , A. E. F. Prowe
- & A. Oschlies
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Article
| Open AccessEnergy implications of the 21st century agrarian transition
The global agrarian transition is characterized by a rise in large-scale land acquisitions (LSLAs), whose energy impacts are unknown. Here, the authors assess how LSLAs change land use, finding that they necessitate greater investment in energy to meet demands, and greater greenhouse gas emissions.
- Lorenzo Rosa
- , Maria Cristina Rulli
- & Paolo D’Odorico
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Article
| Open AccessGlobal connections between El Nino and landslide impacts
This study investigates the relation between El Nino and landslide impacts. The authors show how El Nino and La Nina can cause swings in exposure of population to landslides that are as large as those due to rainy-season/dry-season variability in key locations, particularly South America.
- Robert Emberson
- , Dalia Kirschbaum
- & Thomas Stanley
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Article
| Open AccessThe presence of Superfund sites as a determinant of life expectancy in the United States
Superfund sites have hazardous wastes that could affect the health of those who live near them, but this has not been assessed across the USA. Here the authors find that proximity to superfund sites decreases life expectancy and is further exacerbated by sociodemographic and climate change factors.
- Amin Kiaghadi
- , Hanadi S. Rifai
- & Clint N. Dawson
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Article
| Open AccessIncreased respiratory morbidity associated with exposure to a mature volcanic plume from a large Icelandic fissure eruption
Large fissure eruptions can cause air pollution events when the volcanic plume returns to the same area after the initial advisory has been lifted. Here, the authors show that these events had a significant impact on health care usage in Iceland, and the impact was exacerbated when advisories were not issued successfully.
- Hanne Krage Carlsen
- , Evgenia Ilyinskaya
- & Thorolfur Gudnason