A much-anticipated 'monster' El Niño failed to materialize in 2014, whereas an unforeseen strong El Niño is developing in 2015. El Niño continues to surprise us, despite decades of research into its causes. Natural variations most probably account for recent events, but climate change may also have played a role.
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McPhaden, M. Playing hide and seek with El Niño. Nature Clim Change 5, 791–795 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2775
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2775
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